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Will China Invade Taiwan?

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Posted By: Hazymac, 10/4/2021 8:21:17 AM

Will China Invade Taiwan? Despite the recent saber rattling, probably not any time soon. It lacks the amphibious capacity to land the 30 plus brigades it will need to overcome the island’s defense. “China does not appear to be currently investing in the equipment likely required for a direct assault on Taiwan, such as large amphibious assault ships and medium landing craft necessary for a large beach assault.” Beijing’s current naval build implies the prerequisite for taking Taipei is neutralizing the US navy. “China’s recent spate of military exercises and the PLA Navy’s focus on building large aircraft carriers, escort cruisers and amphibious transport dock (LPD) ships

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Reply 1 - Posted by: Toby Ten Bears 10/4/2021 8:22:36 AM (No. 934431)
If you say so...
3 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: PChristopher 10/4/2021 8:31:07 AM (No. 934441)
I wouldn't bet money against them doing it. Biden will likely sell them whatever landing craft they need.
11 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: Come And Take It 10/4/2021 8:35:55 AM (No. 934448)
What makes you think the USN under Xiden will intervene at all?
9 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: AmericaFirstAlways 10/4/2021 8:43:43 AM (No. 934455)
They had better not. If they do, Creepy Joe will send them a strongly-worded letter, and he might even get a UN resolution to condemn them. Now that's a deterrent!
8 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: chance_232 10/4/2021 9:00:33 AM (No. 934470)
They don't need to invade. They can bomb them into submission. THEN send in troops to occupy after surrender. China has the capacity to bomb 24/7 and blockade the island for as long as it takes.
8 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: reefdiver 10/4/2021 9:10:59 AM (No. 934487)
The answer is Yes.
6 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: Strike3 10/4/2021 9:11:03 AM (No. 934488)
Essentially he's saying, don't worry, China is preparing to do battle with the United States. Once that is accomplished Taiwan is just another plum on the tree.
6 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: Strike3 10/4/2021 9:12:52 AM (No. 934492)
Since we've been playing at desert warfare for the past 30 years I doubt if the Marines have any working landing craft left.
5 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: Dodge Boy 10/4/2021 9:22:56 AM (No. 934497)
Does the sun rise in the east, Richard?
4 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: red1066 10/4/2021 9:24:35 AM (No. 934499)
China's not making all these practice flights for nothing.
7 people like this.

Reply 11 - Posted by: chillijilli 10/4/2021 9:29:26 AM (No. 934504)
O, look! A squirrel!
5 people like this.

Reply 12 - Posted by: hershey 10/4/2021 9:51:22 AM (No. 934523)
Wouldn't surprise me...fake president Biteme wouldn't do anything about it except provide the chi-coms weapons (from Afghanastin) and money...
4 people like this.

Reply 13 - Posted by: MDConservative 10/4/2021 9:54:36 AM (No. 934530)
Those renegades in Taiwan are to China what those scary Commies in NoKor are to the USA...they're both convenient boogeymen for domestic consumption by the Chinese and Americans respectively. Let's put GIs in pillboxes along the Taiwanese coastline, the Straits of Formosa Wall, to act as a tripwire to WW3. No, let's not. An invasion of Taiwan is almost certainly not in the cards. It would end the renegade schtick, and it would expose China to lose face and more internationally. Sanctions would quickly cripple the Chinese economy...they rely on imports for many key materials, exports for economic vitality. Name a developed country that is not in decline, particularly demographic. Are the Brits, French, Germans or anyone else seeing an ever younger society, or have they peaked and now suffer from the general decline in births. It's one reason for relaxed immigration in Europe and here. And that creates other problems...
2 people like this.

Reply 14 - Posted by: bighambone 10/4/2021 10:04:21 AM (No. 934556)
The Biden “woke” military said that the USA’s commitment to Taiwan is “rock solid” but from what has been going on with the Biden-Harris Administration that commitment could well actually resemble a rock sinking in a swamp if the balloon ever goes up creating a real battlefield and the going gets tough, all you have to see is what the Democrats did in Vietnam, Iraq, and the recent Biden retreat and effective surrender to the primitive 7th Century style Taliban of Afghanistan.
3 people like this.

Reply 15 - Posted by: smsnod 10/4/2021 10:19:15 AM (No. 934572)
The short answer is, "yes". Probably sooner rather than later. There will be no response from the US, so why not?
5 people like this.

Reply 16 - Posted by: snowoutlaw 10/4/2021 10:29:39 AM (No. 934585)
No need to invade, their plans to Conquer the USA from within is well on its way to succeeding, then Taiwan will be easy.
3 people like this.

Reply 17 - Posted by: qr4j 10/4/2021 10:50:51 AM (No. 934622)
China could invade Taiwan today. It does not need to neutralize the US Navy. The powers that be would do nothing but complain about China's actions; they would not actually do anything about it. And we'd still be importing goods from China. All this saddens me.
3 people like this.

Reply 18 - Posted by: kewmac 10/4/2021 10:51:16 AM (No. 934624)
Taiwan should have 'nuked up' shortly after the US abandoned Vietnam demonstrating our unreliability and fecklessness.
2 people like this.

Reply 19 - Posted by: Highvoltage 10/4/2021 12:00:55 PM (No. 934717)
Prime time to strike Taiwan is anytime during the Biden/Harris administration because there will be no significant response from the US under their leadership.
1 person likes this.

Reply 20 - Posted by: DVC 10/4/2021 12:30:38 PM (No. 934759)
Fernandez is correct in the estimation of military capacity for an amphibious operation. Reading extensively on the history of WW2, it becomes clear that learning from Gallipoli, Churchill's idea of a ship which could run right up to a shore, open the bow, and have loaded trucks and tanks drive right off, was crucial to many amphibious landings around the world. The Land Ship, Tank (LSTs) were an enabling technology to make an amphibious landing feasible. Churchill's ideas were turned into a landing ship by British marine architects. US ship designers asked why it was so small, and greatly enlarged and improved the design, and we build a bunch of LSTs which were crucial to successful landings around the world. Wretchard is right. China isn't going to invade soon if they don't have some sort of large landing craft in great numbers. Assaulting fixed defenses normally requires a 5:1 numerical superiority in troops. With 22 brigades defending, that means delivering over 100 brigades and equipment, and supplying them from the sea. Clearly, China has other plans. And whether China is failing seems unclear at this point. Clearly Traitor Joe is failing, and our oligarchs are destroying the USA as rapidly as they can. FTA:"American democracy? It looks more and more like an oligarchy by the day, the rule by/for/of the rich and special interests." Sadly, the author gets this right, too. And many Americans see it happening.
1 person likes this.

Reply 21 - Posted by: A.I. 10/4/2021 12:45:28 PM (No. 934790)
The CCP is preparing its people for the eventual conflict by rationing electrical power among the masses. This is how it would be once the war starts with Taiwan.
1 person likes this.

Reply 22 - Posted by: Historybuff 10/4/2021 12:56:55 PM (No. 934811)
Who is going to stop them?
3 people like this.

Reply 23 - Posted by: bighambone 10/4/2021 3:36:28 PM (No. 935018)
Whatever the Chinese Communist Party does they will be tricky, and Biden will not know what hit him some weekend when he is snoozing in his Delaware basement.
1 person likes this.

Reply 24 - Posted by: JimBob 10/5/2021 2:04:59 AM (No. 935517)
How many airliners and cargo planes does China have? How many paratroopers? If they can land enough paratroops to take over the larger airports, they can airlift in whatever equipment and supplies they need, and go from there. They can also land enough paratroops to take over whatever vital positions need to be taken over. It'll be over and done by the time the sun rises the next day here in the US. The ChiComs know that Crooked Dementia Joe, who is in their pocket, will do nothing to stop them.
0 people like this.

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