The Problem with Modelling
Posted By: DVC, 8/4/2023 6:38:13 PM
The book, The Plague of Models: How Computer Modeling Corrupted Environmental, Health, and Safety Regulations by Kenneth Green, is banned by Amazon. [snip] The book is available at Barnes and Noble. The Plague of Models is a wide-ranging attack on a broad spectrum of government regulation and policy, including alleged cancer-causing substances, air pollution, and doomsday predictions like global warming, acid rain, and the ozone hole. [snip] Scientists want to generate important-sounding, even sensational results. They want to be famous and enjoy the benefits of higher social status. That desire leads to stretching or breaking the rules
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DVC"
One of the things characterizing the Biden administration is incoherence. Biden is frequently completely unintelligible, mumbling sounds to himself and his audience. Kamala offers wordy, banal phrases that fail to hide that her premise, conclusion, and argument are all identical. And Karine Jean-Pierre, despite having her eyes glued to her notes most of the time, is the Sergeant Schultz of press secretaries, for she knows nothing most of the time. It’s hardly surprising, therefore, to learn that the Biden White House has purged over 30% of the people allowed press passes…none of whom belong to the major MSM outlets.
The Problem with Modelling
12 replies
The book, The Plague of Models: How Computer Modeling Corrupted Environmental, Health, and Safety Regulations by Kenneth Green, is banned by Amazon. [snip] The book is available at Barnes and Noble.
The Plague of Models is a wide-ranging attack on a broad spectrum of government regulation and policy, including alleged cancer-causing substances, air pollution, and doomsday predictions like global warming, acid rain, and the ozone hole. [snip]
Scientists want to generate important-sounding, even sensational results. They want to be famous and enjoy the benefits of higher social status. That desire leads to stretching or breaking the rules
“We did this to ourselves.”
Yes, yes you did, and you did it to everyone else too.
First up, we have the story of Dr. Mary Costantino, a “highly distinguished” radiologist with institutions like Stanford and Georgetown on her curriculum vitae, who found herself on the receiving end of an unprovoked and violent attack. [snip]--- ‘I do not hold the police accountable for this at all — I hold our city accountable for defunding the police… we don't have enough police force to protect our citizens, and we did this to ourselves.’
Questions for the UN and John Kerry
6 replies
The UN has gone from global warming to climate change and now the Earth is boiling.
U.N. chief Antonio Guterres warns Earth in ‘era of global boiling’
U.N. and European Union monitors said that July is set to be the hottest month in recorded history
Climate change is here. It is terrifying. And it is just the beginning. The era of global warming has ended; the era of global boiling has arrived.”
The extreme impacts of climate change have been in line with scientists’ “predictions and repeated warnings,” Guterres said
Will Chevron finally run out of gas?
4 replies
The Chevron doctrine is a rule adopted by the Supreme Court in 1984. It says that when the language of a statute is ambiguous, a court must defer to the regulatory agency's interpretation and may not substitute its own judgment.
[snip] .....as agencies have learned to game the system and to leverage any scintilla of ambiguity into a wholesale assertion of authority.
The Supreme Court has begun saying "enough" and has developed some caveats to check this game. For example, the newly articulated "major questions doctrine" is essentially the anti-Chevron: if an issue is big enough, then ambiguity dictates that the agency not receive deference.
In New Jersey, they stay in the dark.
See, they elected this lieutanant governor, who served as the acting governor, and well, she died.
Here's what the Associated Press reported:
TRENTON, New Jersey -- Lt. Gov. Sheila Oliver, who rose to become one of New Jersey's most prominent Black leaders and passionately advocated for revitalizing cities and against gun violence, died Tuesday after a sudden illness. She was 71.
No cause of death was given, according to a statement from her family issued by Gov. Phil Murphy 's office. Oliver was serving as acting governor while Murphy and his family are on vacation in Italy.
It seems that the sexually lurid fantasies of Tarek bin Zayid, a renowned jihadist who spearheaded the conquest of Spain in the eighth century, have finally been fulfilled.
When Tarek and thousands of other North African Muslim marauders first landed on the southernmost tip of Spain in A.D. 711, Tarek sought to further entice the men, who were already lusting after booty and plunder, by citing the women of Spain, who were supposedly waiting to welcome the Muslims with open arms. [snip]
These European women were, moreover, "as beautiful as houris," said the jihadist leader. (In Islam, houris are supernatural sex slaves — "big-bosomed" and "wide-eyed," says the Koran
Yellow Freight and an economy on the margin
18 replies
By John F. Di Leo
Yellow Freight, a massive, almost century-old LTL carrier, has gone out of business, and the “spin” of the business world will likely rival the spin of the political world in covering this news. [snip]Approximately 30,000 people are now unemployed, who had a job last week. That’s 30,000 experienced people - truck drivers, dock workers, mechanics, bookkeepers, sales reps, IT experts, customer service reps, and other employees in all levels of management and back-office clerical services.
They will now be competing with the millions of other jobseekers already in the marketplace. Hopefully they will find something better; they could hardly do worse.
Two news stories broke yesterday that seem entirely different superficially but that are, in fact, closely related. The first involves John Kerry. The second is the sad death of “vegan influencer” Zhanna Samsonova.
John Kerry is a weasel. I don’t say this because of his political positions. I say this because when it’s pointed out that he owns or has owned five homes, a yacht, a private jet, and multiple very big cars, he always denies it. [snip] he believes he’s so important that it’s only right and just that he benefits from these privileges of wealth.
A Leading Climate Scientist Expresses
Doubt About the Veracity of the Global
Warming Movement 15 replies
Doubt About the Veracity of the Global
Warming Movement 15 replies
A new book by a leading climate change scientist gives reason for hope that the light of truth is shedding a few rays into the dark, dystopian, ideologically driven pseudoscience known as global warming.
With the 2023 publication of Climate Uncertainty and Risk: Rethinking Our Response, geoscientist Judith A. Curry, Ph.D., acknowledges that, in 2007, she “joined the consensus” in supporting the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report as “authoritative.” What changed her perspective was Climategate, the 2009 hacking and unauthorized release of emails from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia. The email exchanges between climate scientists and IPCC authors
We often ask who's running the government with a White House led by doddering Joe Biden.
But with a new audit out, maybe the real question is what is the government.
According to the Washington Examiner:
The evacuation of federal headquarters during the COVID-19 crisis appears to have become permanent and costly with up to 90% of several agency headquarters empty, according to a federal audit.
At least 6 of 24 Washington area headquarters are 90% empty, including several that manage federal office space and employees such as the General Services Administration and the Office of Personnel Management.
Vigilantism occurs when mobs bypass the legal system to murder someone accused, but not convicted, of a crime. However, according to Wired, the venerable technology magazine, when homeowners work with law enforcement to turn over Ring footage of criminals on their (or their neighbors’) property, they are engaging in vigilantism…and are probably racists, too. Aside from being a witless perversion of language, it reveals the anti-black racism at work in leftist circles.
According to Dictionary.com, a core element of being a vigilante is to act outside of the law:
noun
1. a member of a vigilance committee.
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
According to a FOX News poll in December 2021, 78% of Republicans believed the 2020 election was stolen.
At least 70% of Republican voters still believe Joe Biden’s win was illegitimate, according to a recent poll this week by far-left CNN.
In January 2022, only 17% of Republicans and right-leaning independent voters said they would vote for a candidate that believes Joe Biden won the 2020 election.
On Friday, Governor Ron DeSantis said that the theories by President Trump about the 2020 election being stolen were “unsubstantiated.”
These two events are not coincidental.
Ron DeSantis megadonor Robert Bigelow (below right) is already into the failing DeSantis campaign for $20 million.
Billionaire donor Bigelow tells Reuters that he has told the DeSantis managers the candidate needs to take moderate positions, or he will not donate any more money {LINK HERE}. Ron DeSantis is then questioned by reporters in Iowa about the Trump indictment and the claims of the 2020 election being stolen. Immediately DeSantis changes his talking points. “All those theories that were put out did not prove to be true…”
More than two dozen House Democrats put forward legislation Friday that would slap "assault weapons" and high-capacity magazines with a 1,000% excise tax, a change that would raise the price of a $500 weapon to $5,000 in a bid to reduce access to guns across the country. Rep. Don Beyer, D-Va., and 24 other House Democrats introduced the legislation Friday. It’s the second time Democrats have put forward the idea. Beyer and 37 Democrats proposed the same idea last year when Democrats controlled the House, but it never moved. The text of Beyer’s new bill was not out as of
Four hundred ninety-eight electric vehicles (EVs) and over 3,200 other vehicles, including 350 Mercedes Benzes, were bound for Egypt on the Fremantle Highway when one or more of the EVs caught fire, costing at least one seaman his life and injuring several others. Curiously, the Dutch coast guard had initially reported that only 25 of the vehicles were battery-electric models.
At last report, the Dutch coast guard admitted that it has been unable to put out the fire and that the ship has taken on water and is “listing” and on a trajectory toward a capsize. Should the ship sink, the total loss would also threaten the Frisian island of Ameland,
Apparently there's some kind of bell that goes off in Kamala Harris's head, every time the topic of space travel comes up, that cues her into saying some of her stupidest things.
The latest such incident happened in Mongolia of all places, where Harris was on a mission to step up cooperation with the friendly landlocked country sandwiched between China and Russia, and she fell into another of her famous word salads in front of that country's leader, Mongolian Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai.
Where has THIS Ron DeSantis been?
21 replies
At a town hall in New Hampshire, Ron DeSantis was asked how he will respond when Trump starts belittling him and name-calling in personal attacks on the debate stage. His answer was a glimmer that the Ron DeSantis we’ve been waiting to show up on the campaign trail is still there.
Is he finally waking up? The question now is whether or not it is too late to make a difference. DeSantis pointed out what many Republican voters think – the way Trump speaks is not presidential. [Snip] A majority of voters don’t want a Trump-Biden re-match.
Staff at a life-coaching company have started questioning the Duke of Sussex's work there.
They have turned on the Duke – who reportedly earns a seven-figure salary as chief impact officer – after more than 100 San Francisco-based BetterUp employees were laid off last week.
The staff claim he has become a 'distraction' with one concluding that with Harry 'the juice isn't worth the squeeze'. Another BetterUp employee was asked about Harry's day-to-day responsibilities.
'From what I see I'm going to go with zero things,' he replied.
Motorists in Oregon are expressing excitement and confusion after a 72-year ban on self-serve gasoline pumps was lifted on Friday.
Across the Beaver State, drivers took to social media to boast of pumping their own gas, while local new outlets published step-by-step instructions to help bewildered first-timers.
The change came after Governor Tina Kotek signed a bill allowing people across the state to choose between having an attendant pump gas or doing it themselves. The law took immediate effect.
The Department of Justice implored U.S. District Court Judge Tanya Chutkan to issue a protective order curtailing Donald Trump’s ability to share information about his indictment online. Chutkan is presiding over the trial of Donald Trump in Washington, D.C., on four charges related to his alleged attempt to overturn the 2020 presidential election,
“If the defendant were to begin issuing public posts using details — or, for example, grand jury transcripts — obtained in discovery here, it could have a harmful chilling effect on witnesses or adversely affect the fair administration of justice in this case,” special counsel Jack Smith wrote in his court filing on Friday.
“Sell Out” and “Traitor” Mike
Pence Heckled During Campaign Stop in
New Hampshire (Video) 19 replies
Pence Heckled During Campaign Stop in
New Hampshire (Video) 19 replies
Former Vice President Mike Pence was met with vocal criticism and heckling from supporters of former President Donald Trump during a town hall meeting at American Legion Post 27 in Londonderry on Friday.
Pence was confronted by protestors questioning his loyalty to former President Trump and the American people and accusing him of disregarding the Constitution.
Trump supporters surrounded Mike Pence’s car as he arrived at his Friday town hall, shouting, “That’s a traitor,” “You’re a sellout,” according to ABC reporter Kelsey Walsh.
“Why did you sell out the people?” one protestor said.
Eric Adams Now Considers Housing Illegal
Immigrants in Tents in New York City’s
Central Park 19 replies
Immigrants in Tents in New York City’s
Central Park 19 replies
New York City is so overcrowded with illegal immigrants, that Mayor Eric Adams is now considering housing them in tents in the city’s famous Central Park.
A tent community in the city’s largest public park? What could possibly go wrong?
You voted for this, New York. Enjoy.
NBC News in New York reports: Central Park among NYC areas considered to house migrants: ‘Everything is on the table’
Hundreds of asylum seekers remain in place outside of the city’s arrival intake center, where many have waited for days in wait of a place to sleep — if there is one available.
Still Doubting the 2020 Election
17 replies
NBC is reporting — with a supposed sense of shock — the results of a Monmouth poll that nearly one-third of Americans think the 2020 presidential election was rigged.
And they further reiterate that there is no evidence for fraud.
There's no evidence widespread fraud affected the outcome of the 2020 election, but Trump and allies have spent years undercutting the election's legitimacy.
Wow! It must be so. The main stream media assure us that the election was honest. Yet one third of Americans still believe the election was a fraud.
I am shocked, shocked.
Anyone who questions the election result is called a fascist or subjected to a lawsuit or prosecution.
Comments:
Modelling can "prove" absolutely ANYTHING that the model creator intends it to "prove", and seemingly tiny errors or inaccuracies can massively mislead even honest, diligent modelers.