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10 Realities of Ukraine

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Posted By: earlybird, 3/19/2022 12:57:22 PM

One — Reassuring an enemy what one will not do ensures that the enemy will do just that and more. Unpredictability and occasional enigmatic silence bolster deterrence. But President Joe Biden’s predictable reassurance to Russian President Vladimir Putin that he will show restraint means Putin likely will not. Two — No-fly zones don’t work in a big-power, symmetrical standoff. In a cost-benefit analysis, they are not worth the risk of shooting down the planes of a nuclear power. They usually do little to stop planes outside of such zones shooting missiles into them. Sending long-range, high-altitude anti-aircraft batteries to Ukraine to deny Russian air superiority is a far better

Comments:

Hanson bullet points the 10.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: earlybird 3/19/2022 1:05:30 PM (No. 1104308)
Read all of them, but especially #10. VDH is a very wise man. Wisdom borne of educating himself in history and applying his learning to present circumstances. Even the nonreaders should read what he has to say. It is that important.
11 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: stablemoney 3/19/2022 1:47:49 PM (No. 1104328)
China and Russia are adversaries. They are not enemies, and I do not agree with starting a war with them. The U.S. administration is such a failure that we have to erase everything, and start over.
8 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: TJ54 3/19/2022 2:31:01 PM (No. 1104360)
Hanson is always a good read. CNN fans lack the mental capacity to understand him
9 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: DVC 3/20/2022 2:40:00 PM (No. 1105107)
All good points, by the much esteemed VDH.
1 person likes this.

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