Professor Explains Flaw in Many Models
Used for COVID-19 Lockdown Policies
Posted By: Judy W., 5/11/2021 7:41:50 AM
Economics professor Doug Allen wanted to know why so many early models used to create COVID-19 lockdown policies turned out to be highly incorrect. What he found was that a great majority were based on false assumptions and “tended to over-estimate the benefits and under-estimate the costs.” He found it troubling that policies such as total lockdowns were based on those models. (Snip) Allen says most of the early cost-benefit studies that he reviewed didn’t try to distinguish between mandated and voluntary changes in people’s behaviour in the face of a pandemic. Rather, they just assumed an exponential growth of cases of infection day after day until herd immunity is reached.
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A Texas judge tossed out the National Rifle Association’s Chapter 11 bankruptcy petition on Tuesday, allowing a lawsuit brought against the group by the New York attorney general to move forward.
U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Harlin Hale said the NRA “did not file the bankruptcy petition in good faith,” arguing that the filing was made in an effort to avoid the lawsuit by state attorney general Letitia James’ office. The suit aims to dissolve the group over allegations of financial impropriety.
“The question the court is faced with is whether the existential threat facing the NRA is the type of threat that the Bankruptcy Code is meant to protect against,” Hale wrote.
Economics professor Doug Allen wanted to know why so many early models used to create COVID-19 lockdown policies turned out to be highly incorrect. What he found was that a great majority were based on false assumptions and “tended to over-estimate the benefits and under-estimate the costs.” He found it troubling that policies such as total lockdowns were based on those models.
(Snip) Allen says most of the early cost-benefit studies that he reviewed didn’t try to distinguish between mandated and voluntary changes in people’s behaviour in the face of a pandemic. Rather, they just assumed an exponential growth of cases of infection day after day until herd immunity is reached.
The flood of illegal immigrants from across the southern border is only one of many threats to America’s national security that have increased recently, thanks to the Biden administration’s contempt for the rule of law.
(Snip)
A third-generation rancher, Ladd told me that the full truth about President Joe Biden’s border policies is rarely reported. “The caliber of people that are coming now are criminals, what we are getting are not maids and gardeners, these people are working for the cartel,” he said in an interview with me.
“The illegals crossing now are in full camo. They pay $6,000 to get here, which only VIPs working with the cartel can afford
Pastor Artur Pawlowski, a resident of Calgary, Canada, has been a thorn in the flesh of Alberta Health Services (which is the equivalent of an American state’s health services) since the Covid pandemic began. Pastor Pawlowski had the temerity to believe that the Canadian Constitution meant it when it said that everyone has a fundamental freedom of conscience, religion, and peaceful assembly. When the government tried to shut him down over a virus with an average 98% survival rate, he vociferously resisted. The government got its revenge yesterday. (Snip) The police got their revenge three hours later, arresting Pastor Pawlowski and his brother as they were heading home after services:
Grandpa Knew Best
9 replies
My grandpa once told me, ”All my grandchildren were born smart. The longer they go to school, the dumber they get.” I thought he was teasing, but now that I’m his age, I see his point: You have to have spent a lot of time in school to be as dumb as the experts on everything including economics, energy policy, and even vote fraud. (and I’m not even getting into academia’s participation in gender bending, history revisionism, pronoun parsing like “birthing parent” instead of “mother.”) Economics.
Ask a first grader if he’d do his household chores if he got the same amount of money or even more from just sitting home
Tucker's Vaccine Skepticism
10 replies
Following a program devoted to a discussion of the “other side” of vaccination, Tucker Carlson came in for a slew of slams, one of which, by Brian Stelter for CNN Business, was titled “Tucker Carlson’s Fox News colleagues call out his dangerous antivaccine rhetoric.”
Carlson’s actual program on reactions, adverse events, various complications including deaths was based on VAERS, a data reporting service.
Trending on Twitter, 7 May, was this:
VAERS and Yellow Card databases show unverified reports of COVID-19 vaccine-related side effects and deaths that can be submitted by anyone, according to the CDC and fact checkers.
On April 23, Julie Appleby, a senior correspondent with the Kaiser Health News network, published a piece in the Los Angeles Times entitled “Michigan’s Outbreak Worries Scientists. Will Conservative Outposts Keep Pandemic Rolling?” implying that both the sleepy Michigan town where I live, and the college I attend, are biohazards:
Michigan’s outbreak could be an anomaly or a preview of what will happen in the nation as it emerges from the pandemic. Will pockets of covid denialism and vaccine resistance like that in Hillsdale—where the local college newspaper ran an opinion piece against the shots—serve as reservoirs for a wily virus, which will resurface to cause outbreaks in
I’m Still not Getting the Vaccine
25 replies
Nearly 50 percent of Americans polled think that at least some social distancing measures will be permanent. Who can blame them? We have decided to make avoiding disease our full-time job. It’s more important than going to work or seeing your friends. It’s worth destroying the established Western social convention that we be able to see each other’s faces in public.
I’ve got news for you: If you spend all your time worrying about getting sick, you’re sick already. America is having a giant, hysterical, hypochondriacal fit.
(Snip) As a young and healthy person, there is really no upside to vaccination. I’m simply not likely to get the disease.
Critical race theory is making its way into institutions across America.
Christopher Rufo, a visiting fellow for domestic policy studies at The Heritage Foundation, joins “The Daily Signal Podcast” to discuss how critical race theory is affecting what children learn in schools. (Snip)
“Critical race theory is an academic discipline … that holds that racism is the driving force in society, that in order to understand power relations, in order to understand institutions such as the law, education, the Constitution, [and] social relations, you have to understand that through the lens of race,” Rufo, also a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, says.
Rufo explains how critical race theory is affecting corporate America
The Never-ending Hunt for
a Trump Crime 15 replies
a Trump Crime 15 replies
The news that federal investigators searched and seized electronic devices from the apartment and office of Rudy Giuliani, a Trump lawyer, raises so many questions and involves so much missing information that even someone as skilled a mystery writer as Patricia Cornwell might have difficulty unraveling the story. I’m not that person, unfortunately, but let me try to make some sense out of this crime story.
Background
President Biden’s son, Hunter, had a lucrative position with a Ukrainian energy company, Burisma, and it raised suspicions that this created a conflict of interest respecting U.S. policy toward Ukraine. Suspicions about improper influence upon the Bidens by certain Ukrainian officials were heightened
UFOs exist — but the government doesn’t want you to know it, according to the ex-Pentagon official who says he ran the program investigating “unidentified aerial phenomena” or UAP.
Recalling the revelatory instant when he recognized that UFOs were bona fide, controversial whistleblower Luis “Lue” Elizondo exclusively told The Post, “It was a holy-s–t moment: ‘Oh, my gosh, it’s real. Well, crap, now we have to do something about it.’ ”
However, Elizondo has not been able to get the feds to act on what he describes as a serious national security risk due to a litany of roadblocks — including a cover-up of the existence of UFOs
Americans are being denied access to key information about COVID-19 by unelected bureaucrats who seek to expand government power and control, warned talk show host and author Steve Deace, whose new book “Faucian Bargain” recently topped Amazon’s bestsellers list.
(Snip) “For example, if the average American knew that almost half of the deaths in America with COVID occurred in nursing homes where less than one percent of Americans live, we would have never ever gone along with this level of subjugation,” Deace told host Jan Jekielek. “These are the sorts of data points that have been kept from the American people, so they have not been given the right to informed
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The removal of Liz Cheney from her House leadership position isn’t going over well with the Never Trump faction of the GOP. They have obviously failed miserably in their effort to reassert establishment control over the party. With the vote on the embattled Wyoming congresswoman’s fate expected to take place on Wednesday, over 100 “Republicans” have prepared a letter threatening to start their own political party if the GOP does “not make certain changes.”The existence of the group was reported by the New York Times, which also published the infamous op-ed that was written by a Department Of Homeland Security official
A large group of Iranian military fast attack boats on Monday harassed six United States Navy ships escorting a guided missile submarine into the Strait of Hormuz, the Pentagon said.
“Earlier today a large group of Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, also known as the IRGCN, fast boats conducted unsafe and unprofessional maneuvers and failed to exercise due regard for the safety of U.S. forces as required under international law while operating in close proximity to U.S. Naval vessels that were transiting the Strait of Hormuz,” Pentagon Press Secretary John Kirby said.
He said the Navy ships that were escorting the USS Georgia were exercising the right of transit passage
House Republicans planted themselves firmly in the camp of Donald Trump on Wednesday when they removed Rep. Liz Cheney from their leadership team after her criticism of the former president.
In a closed-door meeting in the basement of the Capitol, Republicans voted to oust Cheney after she repeatedly called out Trump's false claims he won the election and criticized his role in the January 6 insurrection.
After a voice vote, Cheney said: ‘I will do everything I can to ensure that the former president never again, is anywhere near the Oval Office.’ Cheney had addressed Republicans in the room before the vote.
It was said during our Mideast military adventures, and has been considered a truism of war, that you can’t really win a conflict without “boots on the ground.” For it’s difficult to completely subdue a people from afar. It may not be too different with battles for civilization. (snip) If you heard about a Third World country in which the leadership was purging the military of political opponents, would you assume it was just an exercise in ideological nepotism? (snip) So you need a purge. You do this by conjuring up a boogeyman — in our case “white supremacy”
Here is the 25-Foot Statue They Just Unveiled
in NYC Rockefeller Center to Honor
African Culture… 42 replies
in NYC Rockefeller Center to Honor
African Culture… 42 replies
The new 25 foot-tall statue unveiled in New York City’s Rockefeller Center to honor “African culture” was unveiled this week. (Tweets/Video) Eurweb reported on the project. This spring, multiple disciplinary artist Sanford Biggers will transform Rockefeller Center with several public art exhibitions, including the highly anticipated monumental Oracle sculpture. Presented by ART PRODUCTION FUND and ROCKEFELLER CENTER, in partnership with MARIANNE BOESKY GALLERY, and several years in the making, Biggers will be the first artist invited by Rockefeller Center for a multimedia survey exhibition campus-wide from May 5 to June 29, 2021.
You have to love liberal media. President Donald Trump is no longer in office, but he’s still living rent free in their heads. They’re still completely obsessed with him and basically can’t live without him. They always need him as a focal point.
The New York Times ran this “gotcha” story today, as though it were something truly significant, “Over 100 Republicans, including former officials, threaten to split from G.O.P.”
What is the issue, the New York Times says? The fact that the GOP still is supportive of Trump.
“This is a first step,” said Miles Taylor,
There can be no denying that the political left are an intolerant and authoritarian bunch. The Democratic party that represents it wants to cancel the rights of anyone who disagrees with them.Showing that fascism is all in the family, Chelsea Clinton has joined the calls for social media censorship. After all, it’s been a standard feature of her mother’s bitter Twitter diatribes since she was rejected by voters in the 2016 election.
The heir to the Clinton political dynasty joined the team effort to save Joe Biden from an early humiliation by steamrolling any opposition to his stated goal of vaccinating 70 percent of the U.S. by July 4th.
OJ Simpson Backs Liz Cheney: ‘Truth And
Honesty’ Is The ‘Enemy’ To Many ‘Republican
Politicians’ 29 replies
Honesty’ Is The ‘Enemy’ To Many ‘Republican
Politicians’ 29 replies
As Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) works for preserve her position within House GOP leadership, unlikely allies have rushed to her defense, including convicted felon O.J. Simpson. In a video posted to Twitter on Monday Simpson, who was famously acquitted of the murders of Nicole Brown and Ron Goldman in the mid-1990s before being convicted of armed robbery in the 2000s, said that Liz Cheney has earned his respect because she “stands up for truth.”“I gotta admit, I was not a fan of Liz Cheney,” he said. “Don’t get me wrong, I’m 50-50 on her politics, but I didn’t like her.
The head of the Vatican’s doctrine office is warning U.S. bishops to deliberate carefully and minimize divisions before proceeding with a possible plan to rebuke Roman Catholic politicians such as President Joe Biden for receiving Communion even though they support abortion rights.
The strong words of caution came in a letter from Cardinal Luis Ladaria, prefect of the Vatican’s Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith, addressed to Archbishop José Gomez of Los Angeles, president of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops. The USCCB will convene for a national meeting June 16, with plans to vote on drafting a document on the Communion issue.
FOX News anchor Bret Baier, never a huge Trump fan, joined Varney and Co. on Wednesday morning following the House GOP vote to remove Liz Cheney from leadership.Cheney was ousted from leadership in a voice vote. She then ran to the media to attack and smear President Trump and carry the Democrat message to America.What a sick, sick woman.Bret Baier said 100 GOP lawmakers may form a new political party. He said this with a straight face! Hah!
Is Anheuser-Busch Drunk? The Beer Behemoth Is
Forcing the Woke 'Gender Unicorn' on Its Employees 25 replies
Forcing the Woke 'Gender Unicorn' on Its Employees 25 replies
Another all-American brand, Anheuser-Busch, has jumped on the woke train. The maker of Budweiser, among other brands with a robust craft beer collaboration line, has partnered with radical professors in education and humanities at Arizona State University (ASU) to develop and implement a 15-module training program called “To Be Welcoming.” It is based on critical race and gender theory. According to a whistleblower who spoke with PJ Media, an e-mail from “Chief People Officer” Lindsay King announced the program on March 24, 2021.
In the letter, King uses typical language about an inclusive workplace and how diversity brings better ideas. This new curriculum follows “Psychological Safety” training
The GOP wants to make voting harder in Ohio
24 replies
Ohio Republicans are fond of saying that it’s easy to vote, but hard to cheat in the Buckeye state. Turns out they think voting is a little too easy.(Snip)The ostensible justification for these measures is to protect the “integrity” of elections, even though the 2020 presidential election was the most secure in the nation’s history. Nor is there any evidence to support former President Donald Trump’s ridiculous claim that widespread fraud cost him reelection.Republicans could have examined what made Trump such a flawed candidate and adjusted their message to appeal to a wider swath of voters.
Comments:
What is most horrifying is that most politicians refused to recognize the harm lockdowns were causing and out of their love for power, or sometimes raw stupidity, they have insisted on hanging on to the harmful policies even when they became as plain as day. The professor is Canadian, and he estimates that the harm done in Canada by lockdowns has been 282 times more harmful than beneficial, measured in years of life lost or saved.