Post New Article

Even with high tariffs, Trump’s trade
war suddenly is starting to look not so
scary on Wall Street

Original Article

Posted By: Dreadnought, 7/29/2025 12:47:48 AM

U.S. tariffs on incoming goods look to be settling in only slightly less than what President Donald Trump had threatened in April, but the difference has been enough to ease some of Wall Street’s worst recession fears. With the U.S.-European Union trade deal over the weekend, it now appears that the effective tariff rate, or the net impact aside from the nominal level, will end up in the 15%-20% range. That’s well above the low single-digit rate in place at the beginning of the year, but well off the feared 25% rate or worse that could have happened as a result of the April 2 announcement. Economists had feared

Post Reply

Reminder: “WE ARE A SALON AND NOT A SALOON”

Your thoughts, comments, and ideas are always welcome here. But we ask you to please be mindful and respectful. Threatening or crude language doesn't persuade anybody and makes the conversation less enjoyable for fellow L.Dotters.


Reply 1 - Posted by: NotaBene 7/29/2025 1:55:03 AM (No. 1983838)
Tariffs worked and the stock market is just fine. Enjoy your vote!
11 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: DVC 7/29/2025 2:16:53 AM (No. 1983839)
Wall street "experts" aren't actually expert about anything.
10 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: DVC 7/29/2025 2:48:29 AM (No. 1983848)
A relative on my wife's sideey used to be a "Wall Street expert" and was featured several times in her capacity as "an expert" to opine on the old "Rukeyser Wall Street Week", a fairly big national financial news show from the 1980s to about 2000 or so. She is intelligent, yes, but her educational background? She has a Master's Degree in Ancient Chinese History. She learned ZERO about economics or markets in college. She worked at a big NY bank in their home loan department -- learned everything there on the job, and IMO, just parroted the conventional wisdom of the day about real estate. But because she worked in NYC, she was "an expert" and appeared on TV three or four times. Keep that in mind. And idiot Paul Krugman is "a financial expert" and often fraudulently reported to be a "Nobel Prize winner in economics". There is NO Nobel Prize for economics. There is a Swedish bank which has a much lesser prize "honoring Alfred Nobel".....but it isn't remotely a "Nobel Prize". And Krugman is ALWAYS wrong. But he is well known as another "Wall Street expert".
11 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Lawsy0 7/29/2025 4:20:02 AM (No. 1983854)
TDR is a mental disease for which there is no apparent cure, nor amelioration. AKA Ship of Fools.
3 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: jeffkinnh 7/29/2025 6:08:23 AM (No. 1983864)
"But doomsday pronouncements around the tariffs have abated since then." And WHO has been making the doomsday pronouncements? Liberal media like CNBC? Dems? Liberal and timid financial "experts"? This article is full of "but we still could be right about a recession if all sorts of bad stuff happened". Trump is KNOWN for his "Art of the Deal" thinking. You understand the basic realities of the situation, set strong but achievable goals, understand the people you are dealing with and the bad things they could face if you act forcibly, and negotiate from strength. So what does Trump have in his pocket as President? The strongest Country in the world in numerous areas. We are the strongest economically and militarily. We have a work ethic and skilled workers. We have a reward economy for those who produce. We produce some of the best stuff in the world in abundance. We have great natural resources. In almost every area we have the advantage. What do we want? Free and FAIR trade. We have accepted an unbalanced market for decades for reasons that are no longer valid and it has been bleeding us to death. Enough. We stand in a DOMINANT position and we only want a FAIR playing field. For those dealing in reality, the deals Trump is negotiating are almost a foregone conclusion after all the posturing is done. Will our trade partners suffer? Well, if they don't face economic realities and don't stop acting like morons, they will. They run their economies stupidly and their liberal policies are draining them. That's their choice and until now, we have been underwriting their idiocy. That is over, THEY will have to pay the price for their own bad decisions. And the naysayers in this country will have to face the results of their liberal political opposition to Trump and the policies he uses to support our Country. We already KNOW the media is untrustworthy. It seems clear that many of the financial leaders are not so smart either and are also biased. Some of the changes may remove power and control from these institutions; things they didn't deserve to have in the first place. Change is underway. For the people that despise this Country, their time is ending; being ripped out of their bloody hands. For the timid, change is inherently scary. For the bold and the people that love America, the future is bright.
9 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: bpl40 7/29/2025 7:56:45 AM (No. 1983911)
The kind of tariff/trade policy Trump is pursuing will be suicidal for any country in the world - except the United States. Over 40% of the world's consumer market exists here. Almost ALL technology necessary to run the modern world originates in America. So do global business constructs and entities. Airbus does not build it's planes based on European invented technology, not does Taiwan manufacture those microprocessors on Asian knowhow. That EU lady is a lot smarter (or less stupid) than the Prime Minister of France.
5 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: Strike3 7/29/2025 8:34:42 AM (No. 1983936)
The "experts" are finding that Trump's real-world education far surpasses what they learned at Harvard and Yale. Paul Krugman was not available for comment nor would he have the courage to make one.
5 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: DVC 7/29/2025 9:58:34 AM (No. 1983994)
Re #7, in addition to his 'real world education' that you cite, Trump started college at Fordham, then transferred to gett a business degree at the Wharton School of Business at University of Pennsylvania, a really good college. His degree was in economics, with a specialty in finance.
1 person likes this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: NYbob 7/29/2025 10:01:10 AM (No. 1983996)
I LOVE reality destroying the media narrative. What a nightmare for the talking head buffoons. Intelligent politicians like President Trump and VP Vance, can joyfully swat back media gotcha questions, without breaking a sweat, because the usual media propaganda is finally hitting the wall of results. Enjoy the talking heads and media masters agony.
1 person likes this.

Below, you will find ...
Most Recent Articles posted by "Dreadnought"
and
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
Most Recent Articles posted by Dreadnought"
Texas Has Released Its New Congressional
Map, and It's a Bloodbath for Democrats
3 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 7:36:59 PM Post Reply
Republicans may have finally learned how to fight fire with fire. In an unexpected move, Gov. Greg Abbott (R-TX) called a special session in mid-July to redraw his state's congressional map. The plan? To nuke the Democrats' dominance in several key areas, garnering five new seats. That would provide the GOP with a significant boost going into the 2026 midterms. With that said, the new map has now been released, and it's a bloodbath for Democrats. Texas Republicans unveiled a new congressional map on Wednesday that would provide their party with five new red-leaning districts, a plan that — if enacted
Virginia councilman set on fire in personal
attack at his office: Police
10 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 5:57:49 PM Post Reply
A Virginia councilman was set on fire in an apparent personal attack on Wednesday, authorities said. The suspect, Shotsie Michael Buck Hayes, allegedly confronted Danville City Councilman Lee Vogler, 38, at his office, at Showcase Magazine, and covered him with a flammable liquid, the Danville Police Department said. Both went outside where Hayes allegedly set Vogler on fire, police said. Vogler has been taken to a hospital in unknown condition, police said. Showcase Magazine said he sustained “serious burn injuries.”
The Trump Economy Is Booming, and the
Left Is Having a Meltdown
3 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 5:28:19 PM Post Reply
Watching the mainstream media flail as Donald Trump’s booming economy keeps thrashing the doomsday script is something to behold. Since Trump came back to office, these so-called “experts” and their media lapdogs have prayed for a recession, rooted against the American worker, and prophesied disaster if Trump continued to put America First. What have they gotten instead? Solid, irrefutable growth, the kind that should have had them eating crow instead of spinning fantasy. The latest economic report blew the doors off expectations. Second quarter GDP rocketed up by 3%, which is higher than any of the legacy media “experts” dared predict. Consumer confidence just posted another gain.
Trump hits Brazil with 50% tariffs, excludes
aircraft, OJ, energy
3 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 5:16:58 PM Post Reply
WASHINGTON - U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday slapped a 50% tariff on most Brazilian goods to fight what he has called a "witch hunt" against former President Jair Bolsonaro, but softened the blow by excluding sectors such as aircraft, energy and orange juice. That came as a relief for many in Brasilia, who since Trump announced the tariff had been urging protections for major exporters caught in the crossfire. Shares of planemaker Embraer and pulpmaker Suzano rose. "We're not facing the worst-case scenario," Brazilian Treasury Secretary Rogerio Ceron told reporters. "It's a more benign outcome than it could have been."
Divided Fed holds key interest rate steady,
defying Trump’s demands for aggressive cuts
8 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 5:12:09 PM Post Reply
WASHINGTON – A divided Federal Reserve on Wednesday voted to keep its benchmark interest rate steady, despite a barrage of criticism from President Donald Trump and dissents from two top officials. The Federal Open Market Committee, the group that sets the overnight borrowing rate, voted 9-2 to stay on hold. The federal funds rate will continue to be set in a range between 4.25%-4.5%. The level sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending, but influences a slew of other rates across the economy. However, the decision met opposition from Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, both of whom have advocated
U.S. Economy Rockets up to Three Percent
Growth in Second Quarter Under Trump
7 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 9:57:21 AM Post Reply
The U.S. economy under President Donald Trump exceeded expectations and grew at an annualized rate of three percent in the second quarter, according to Commerce Department data released on Wednesday. The Commerce Department report found the American economy, as measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP), made the gains from April through June. GDP is a measure of a basket of goods and serves to measure growth throughout the U.S. economy. The three percent figure exceeds the Dow Jones estimate at 2.3 percent and reversed the 0.5 percent decline the first quarter of the year experienced.
Democrats Turned Their Backs on Men and
Men Returned the Favor
8 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/30/2025 1:06:45 AM Post Reply
Last week PEW published a Party Affiliation Fact Sheet based on a big annual survey it does every year. What the fact sheet shows this year will not be a surprise to anyone who pays any attention to politics. Men, especially young men, have stepped away from the Democratic Party. Today, Americans are about evenly split between the two parties: 46% identify with or lean toward the Republican Party, and 45% identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party. This balance of partisanship is similar to 2024, but the current near-even division marks a shift from the affiliation advantage the Democratic Party enjoyed a few years ago...
Tsunami alerts issued for Alaska, West
Coast after magnitude 8.7 earthquake off Russia
7 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 9:17:34 PM Post Reply
A magnitude 8.7 earthquake struck off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on July 29, triggering tsunami alerts for the entire U.S. West Coast and portions of the Alaska Aleutian Islands, the U.S. Geological Survey said. The earthquake was recorded at 7:24 p.m. ET, about 78 miles east-southeast of of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) said in its updated assessment. The agency said the quake was shallow, at a depth of about 11 miles. Tsunami advisories are in place along Alaska’s remote Aleutian Islands. The National Tsunami Warning Center advises that tsunami activity is possible at Shemya, Alaska beginning at 4:46 p.m., Alaskan Daylight Time, then at 5:46 p.m.
Trump administration moves to repeal climate
‘holy grail’
14 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 6:11:53 PM Post Reply
The Trump administration on Tuesday proposed repealing the federal government’s bedrock scientific declaration on the dangers of greenhouse gases — a move that would run afoul of decades of research and topple most of the Environmental Protection Agency’s climate regulations. The rollback is the most audacious attempt yet by President Donald Trump to undo federal restrictions on fossil fuels. The so-called endangerment finding, which the Obama administration issued in 2009
Blackstone Executive Killed in N.Y.C.
Shooting Identified as a Mom of 2 and
Leader of Firm's Women's Initiative
6 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 5:59:33 PM Post Reply
Blackstone confirmed that one of its executives was among those killed in the July 28 mass shooting at the company’s Park Avenue office building in New York City. In a statement shared with PEOPLE, the global investment firm said that Wesley LePatner was killed in the attack, which left three other innocent victims dead including off-duty NYPD officer Didarul Islam and injured other people. “Words cannot express the devastation we feel. Wesley was a beloved member of the Blackstone family and will be sorely missed. She was brilliant, passionate, warm, generous, and deeply respected within our firm and beyond," the statement read. "She embodied the best of Blackstone.
Americans are growing hopeful about the
economy as trade talks progress
8 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 3:42:21 PM Post Reply
Washington — The Trump administration’s trade agreements with a handful of countries are helping Americans feel somewhat more confident about the economy’s health and its future. Consumer confidence climbed 2 points this month to a reading of 97.2, the Conference Board said Tuesday, showing people’s attitudes about the economy have stabilized after deteriorating sharply during the spring when Trump unveiled massive tariffs that threatened to jack up prices and weaken the labor market. But consumer confidence has recovered somewhat since then. The stiff levies Trump unveiled in April have been delayed several time
CNN's Harry Enten Delivers More Heartbreak
for Dems With Just How Bad Numbers Are
for Them
6 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 2:43:23 PM Post Reply
We've been reporting just how bad the Democrats' approval/favorability numbers have been. There was the Quinnipiac poll that had Congressional Democrats at 19 percent approval, the lowest in the history of asking the question. Then there was the Wall Street Journal survey that showed the party was 30 points underwater with registered voters - far worse than the Republicans. CNN's data analyst Harry Enten summed up how bad things were for the Democrats. He explained that the CNN poll had the Democrats at 26 points underwater, and he also referenced the WSJ poll. Both numbers were the lowest ever.
Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)
France denounces US-EU trade deal: ‘Submission’ 36 replies
Posted by Mercedes44 7/29/2025 6:10:23 AM Post Reply
French Prime Minister François Bayrou is criticizing the trade deal struck by President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen as an act of “submission” by the European Union (EU). “It is a dark day when an alliance of free peoples, united to affirm their values and defend their interests, resolves to submission,” Bayrou said in a post on social platform X early Monday. The agreement sets tariffs at 15 percent for European imports, including automobiles. That’s lower than the 30 percent tariff Trump had threatened to impose on the EU but higher than some European officials would have liked to see —
What Will It Take For Never Trumpers To
Return Home?
28 replies
Posted by RockyTCB 7/29/2025 9:08:00 AM Post Reply
The political left will never recover from Trump Derangement Syndrome. President Donald Trump could put the economy on a perpetual growth path, stop World War III, bring permanent peace to the Middle East, resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict and in his spare time cure cancer and put a man on Mars, and the Democrats and progressives would still blindly hate him. Would the Republicans and conservatives who have battered and cursed him since 2015 continue to bitterly disapprove of him, as well? Trump has had an extraordinary run so far. An AI analysis by Newsweek says the first six months of Trump’s second term “have been the most
Starmer says UK to recognize Palestinian
state if Israel doesn't agree to ceasefire,
Hamas must 'disarm'
23 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 2:25:32 PM Post Reply
The United Kingdom will recognize a Palestinian state if Israel does not agree to a ceasefire and move toward peace in Gaza by September, U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer warned Tuesday. Starmer made the announcement during a press conference on Tuesday, just a day after meeting with President Donald Trump in Scotland and discussing the Israel-Hamas war and the hunger crisis in Gaza. "I can confirm that the U.K. will recognize the State of Palestine by the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in September, unless
“They Begged for That Beatdown! I am
Grateful” – Cincinnati City Council
Member Openly Celebrates Vicious Mob Assaulting
White People in Downtown Cincy
21 replies
Posted by DW626 7/30/2025 2:06:38 PM Post Reply
While most of the country has erupted in outrage after an angry mob savagely assaulted two white people in downtown Cincinnati over the weekend, one prominent local politician has the exact opposite reaction to the story. As The Gateway Pundit reported, a group of black individuals smacked around a bald white guy at the intersection of West Fourth Street and Elm Street in downtown Cincy and beat him so bad that he could not get up. Then, a white woman got slugged by one of the cowards. Her head slammed down onto the concrete, and she lost consciousness. Blood was seen coming out of her mouth.
Zohran Mamdani’s NYC election rivals
have little chance — even if they team
up — stunning new poll finds
21 replies
Posted by FlyRight 7/30/2025 6:43:09 AM Post Reply
The scandal-scarred independents running for New York City mayor stand little chance against frontrunner Zohran Mamdani — even if the rivals team up against the socialist candidate, a shocking new poll found. Mamdani, a Queens assemblyman and Democratic nominee, is projected to handily win the November general election with 50% of likely voters in the latest survey, released Tuesday by Zenith Research/Public Progress Solutions. Ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who has decided to continue his comeback tour after his embarrassing June primary loss to 33-year-old Mamdani, came in a distant second at 22%, while the GOP nominee Curtis Sliwa pulled 13%.
CNN anchor Erin Burnett flamed for saying
NYC shooter Shane Tamura was ‘possibly white’
20 replies
Posted by Mizz Fixxit 7/29/2025 11:19:57 AM Post Reply
CNN’s Erin Burnett is being skewered for reporting that the gunman who opened fire in a Midtown skyscraper — killing an NYPD cop and three others — was “possibly white” after viewing the initial security footage released immediately after Shane Tamura’s deadly rampage. In the photos first shared online, Tamura, 27, was captured in broad daylight walking into 345 Park Ave. with a Palmetto State Armory AR-15 rifle in his hand. Burnett said police knew the gunman had “sunglasses, mustache, male, possibly white” during a broadcast shortly after the shooting Monday evening.
Federal employees can pray and preach
in the workplace under new Trump rules
19 replies
Posted by Dreadnought 7/29/2025 2:29:00 PM Post Reply
Federal employees can preach in the workplace under new guidelines issued Monday by the Trump administration that have alarmed advocates for the separation of church and state. The guidelines, outlined in a memo from the Office of Personnel Management, allow public employees to pray and discuss religion, including efforts to “persuade others of the correctness of their own religious views,” but do not endorse a specific faith. Supervisors are also allowed to encourage workers to engage in expressions of faith, including prayer.
Zelenskyy on Ropes – Ukranian Regime
Grabs More Authoritarian Power Then Backtracks
When Protests Erupt
18 replies
Posted by earlybird 7/29/2025 9:41:56 AM Post Reply
The terms Ukraine and government corruption are synonymous regardless of who is funding the schemes. After Volodymyr Zelenskyy grabbed more power by stripping two key anti-corruption agencies, the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU) and the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAP), of their independence, protests erupted. European leaders immediately noticed the intent of the power move and threatened Zelenskyy with a withdrawal of support. The current dictatorship of Zelensky and his small team then quickly reversed course. However, the damage is done, and once again Ukranian corruption is center stage.
Kamala Harris Rules Out California Governor
Bid, Leaves 2028 POTUS Run Open: “For
Now, My Leadership – And Public Service
– Will Not Be In Elected Office”
17 replies
Posted by NorthernDog 7/30/2025 4:41:52 PM Post Reply
The runner-up in the 2024 U.S. presidential election won’t be running for California‘s top job next year, but Kamala Harris isn’t ruling out a 2028 White House bid yet. After months of speculation and impressive polling, the former Vice President has made it official: She’s not going to be on the ballot to lead the Golden State. “After deep reflection, I’ve decided that I will not run for Governor in this election,” Harris said Wednesday. Earlier this year, around the time of the Oscars, Harris told friends and deep-pocketed donors that she would make a final decision on running for
NYC mayoral front-runner Zohran Mamdami
addresses Midtown mass shooting from Uganda compound
17 replies
Posted by NorthernDog 7/29/2025 10:22:43 AM Post Reply
Democratic nominee for mayor Zohran Mamdani addressed the mass shooting at a Park Avenue office building while at his family’s private compound in Uganda, where he is celebrating his wedding. “I’m heartbroken to learn of the horrific shooting in midtown and I am holding the victims, their families, and the NYPD officer in critical condition in my thoughts,” Mamdani wrote in a post to X. (Snip) Mamdani is in Uganda celebrating his nuptials at a heavily guarded private compound in the wealthy Buziga Hill area outside the capital city, Kampala. Police said four people were shot dead — including married
What to know about Israel’s claim that
UN has tons of food in Gaza that it won’t distribute
17 replies
Posted by Mercedes44 7/29/2025 6:06:22 AM Post Reply
Israel is blaming the UN for the lack of vital food deliveries to Gaza — as harrowing video captured hundreds of desperate Palestinians swarming aid trucks over the weekend. Israel officials are hitting back at claims that they have delayed aid from coming into Gaza — sharing images of tons of aid piled up inside the Gaza Strip, which they said is just waiting to be delivered to hungry Palestinians. Col. Abdullah Halabi, from the Coordination of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), told reporters last week that around 1,000 truckloads of aid remain undelivered “due to a lack of cooperation from the international community and international organizations.”
BREAKING: FBI Caught Burying Smoking-Gun
Thumb Drives Containing “Unreviewed
Info” on Clinton Email Scandal for Six
Years — Grassley Demands Kash Patel
Review Materials ASAP
15 replies
Posted by JoElla Bee 7/30/2025 12:08:39 PM Post Reply
Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford (R-AR) have dropped a political nuke on Washington: Smoking-gun thumb drives containing unreviewed evidence in the Hillary Clinton email scandal have been sitting in an FBI office collecting dust for over SIX YEARS. The letter, addressed directly to FBI Director Kash Patel, demands that the unevaluated materials — which include sensitive intelligence, foreign communications, and damning evidence related to the Clinton Foundation and Barack Obama — be immediately reviewed and exposed to the American people.
Post New Article