Even with high tariffs, Trump’s trade
war suddenly is starting to look not so
scary on Wall Street
CNBC,
by
Jeff Cox
Original Article
Posted By: Dreadnought,
7/29/2025 12:47:48 AM
U.S. tariffs on incoming goods look to be settling in only slightly less than what President Donald Trump had threatened in April, but the difference has been enough to ease some of Wall Street’s worst recession fears.
With the U.S.-European Union trade deal over the weekend, it now appears that the effective tariff rate, or the net impact aside from the nominal level, will end up in the 15%-20% range. That’s well above the low single-digit rate in place at the beginning of the year, but well off the feared 25% rate or worse that could have happened as a result of the April 2 announcement.
Economists had feared
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
NotaBene 7/29/2025 1:55:03 AM (No. 1983838)
Tariffs worked and the stock market is just fine. Enjoy your vote!
11 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
DVC 7/29/2025 2:16:53 AM (No. 1983839)
Wall street "experts" aren't actually expert about anything.
10 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
DVC 7/29/2025 2:48:29 AM (No. 1983848)
A relative on my wife's sideey used to be a "Wall Street expert" and was featured several times in her capacity as "an expert" to opine on the old "Rukeyser Wall Street Week", a fairly big national financial news show from the 1980s to about 2000 or so. She is intelligent, yes, but her educational background? She has a Master's Degree in Ancient Chinese History. She learned ZERO about economics or markets in college. She worked at a big NY bank in their home loan department -- learned everything there on the job, and IMO, just parroted the conventional wisdom of the day about real estate. But because she worked in NYC, she was "an expert" and appeared on TV three or four times.
Keep that in mind. And idiot Paul Krugman is "a financial expert" and often fraudulently reported to be a "Nobel Prize winner in economics". There is NO Nobel Prize for economics. There is a Swedish bank which has a much lesser prize "honoring Alfred Nobel".....but it isn't remotely a "Nobel Prize".
And Krugman is ALWAYS wrong. But he is well known as another "Wall Street expert".
11 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
Lawsy0 7/29/2025 4:20:02 AM (No. 1983854)
TDR is a mental disease for which there is no apparent cure, nor amelioration. AKA Ship of Fools.
3 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
jeffkinnh 7/29/2025 6:08:23 AM (No. 1983864)
"But doomsday pronouncements around the tariffs have abated since then."
And WHO has been making the doomsday pronouncements? Liberal media like CNBC? Dems? Liberal and timid financial "experts"?
This article is full of "but we still could be right about a recession if all sorts of bad stuff happened".
Trump is KNOWN for his "Art of the Deal" thinking. You understand the basic realities of the situation, set strong but achievable goals, understand the people you are dealing with and the bad things they could face if you act forcibly, and negotiate from strength.
So what does Trump have in his pocket as President? The strongest Country in the world in numerous areas. We are the strongest economically and militarily. We have a work ethic and skilled workers. We have a reward economy for those who produce. We produce some of the best stuff in the world in abundance. We have great natural resources. In almost every area we have the advantage.
What do we want? Free and FAIR trade. We have accepted an unbalanced market for decades for reasons that are no longer valid and it has been bleeding us to death. Enough.
We stand in a DOMINANT position and we only want a FAIR playing field.
For those dealing in reality, the deals Trump is negotiating are almost a foregone conclusion after all the posturing is done.
Will our trade partners suffer? Well, if they don't face economic realities and don't stop acting like morons, they will. They run their economies stupidly and their liberal policies are draining them. That's their choice and until now, we have been underwriting their idiocy. That is over, THEY will have to pay the price for their own bad decisions.
And the naysayers in this country will have to face the results of their liberal political opposition to Trump and the policies he uses to support our Country. We already KNOW the media is untrustworthy. It seems clear that many of the financial leaders are not so smart either and are also biased. Some of the changes may remove power and control from these institutions; things they didn't deserve to have in the first place.
Change is underway. For the people that despise this Country, their time is ending; being ripped out of their bloody hands. For the timid, change is inherently scary. For the bold and the people that love America, the future is bright.
9 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
bpl40 7/29/2025 7:56:45 AM (No. 1983911)
The kind of tariff/trade policy Trump is pursuing will be suicidal for any country in the world - except the United States. Over 40% of the world's consumer market exists here. Almost ALL technology necessary to run the modern world originates in America. So do global business constructs and entities. Airbus does not build it's planes based on European invented technology, not does Taiwan manufacture those microprocessors on Asian knowhow. That EU lady is a lot smarter (or less stupid) than the Prime Minister of France.
5 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
Strike3 7/29/2025 8:34:42 AM (No. 1983936)
The "experts" are finding that Trump's real-world education far surpasses what they learned at Harvard and Yale. Paul Krugman was not available for comment nor would he have the courage to make one.
5 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
DVC 7/29/2025 9:58:34 AM (No. 1983994)
Re #7, in addition to his 'real world education' that you cite, Trump started college at Fordham, then transferred to gett a business degree at the Wharton School of Business at University of Pennsylvania, a really good college. His degree was in economics, with a specialty in finance.
1 person likes this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
NYbob 7/29/2025 10:01:10 AM (No. 1983996)
I LOVE reality destroying the media narrative. What a nightmare for the talking head buffoons. Intelligent politicians like President Trump and VP Vance, can joyfully swat back media gotcha questions, without breaking a sweat, because the usual media propaganda is finally hitting the wall of results. Enjoy the talking heads and media masters agony.
1 person likes this.
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