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Will Black Voters Back Republicans? A
Political Science Perspective

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Posted By: Moritz55, 4/10/2024 6:57:34 PM

One of the less expected outgrowths of the Internet is the increased access political scientists and other academics have to the greater public. In 2008 and 2012, statistical modeling of elections surged from the pages of journals found on library shelves (we still used those back then) to the front page of The New York Times. In 2016, books like Kathy Cramer’s “The Politics of Resentment” helped explain the Trump phenomenon, while reminding us that in a world of seemingly magical wonkery, qualitative works still mattered (the less said about 2020 the better). For the current campaign cycle, the “book of the year” might well be “Steadfast Democrats: How Social Forces

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Reply 1 - Posted by: SkyKing1222 4/10/2024 7:45:44 PM (No. 1696885)
This voting pattern, by one particular group, has to be unique in the history of freedom. Think about it. At any dinner table siblings do not have monolithic political beliefs. Yet this group votes only one way, almost without variation. And this change, was 180 degrees over just a couple of election cycles. They originally voted Republican, because that’s who freed them. It would be really interesting to know what goes on here.
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Reply 2 - Posted by: john56 4/10/2024 7:51:25 PM (No. 1696888)
A good liberal Democrat friend always tells me that most Blacks and Hispanics should identify with Republicans as many have underlying conservative views. I find the news that increasing numbers of Black and Hispanic voters are trending towards Trump (but not necessarily down-ballot Republicans) encouraging, but like the Apostle Thomas, I may have to see it to believe.
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Reply 3 - Posted by: enemyofthestate 4/10/2024 8:15:10 PM (No. 1696902)
I say some blacks will wander off the plantation..... not in significant numbers, though.
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Reply 4 - Posted by: Catherine 4/10/2024 9:50:49 PM (No. 1696959)
I think a significant number will vote Republican. Illegals are taking their place in society with government money and if you don't think they care about that, think again.
2 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: mifla 4/11/2024 4:47:58 AM (No. 1697046)
The Biden administration is waiting until after the election to take their menthol cigarettes away. That will be enough for some, but high grocery and rent prices will be enough for others. How many is anyone guess.
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