Blue Flight Continues Apace
Power Line,
by
John Hinderaker
Original Article
Posted By: Dreadnought,
3/21/2026 11:06:51 AM
The most important contemporary phenomenon for our politics and, perhaps, for the future of our country is the ongoing sorting of our citizens into red and blue states. The dynamic is pretty simple: people are leaving blue states for red states, with the single exception of those whose first priority is lavish welfare benefits, who therefore seek out blue states. This might seem like a terrible deal for the blue states, and of course it is, in the long term.
But meanwhile, things are not all bad for Democratic politicians. They are getting rid of a lot of pesky businessmen and others who tend to vote against them,
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Reply 1 - Posted by:
seamusm 3/21/2026 11:12:40 AM (No. 2083168)
Almost wish they could not flee from their mistakes. They leave others to pay the price for their voting idiocy and we in the red states risk being poisoned by their bringing those voting booth habits to our states.
14 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
wilarrbie 3/21/2026 11:51:10 AM (No. 2083191)
Blues leave the nest they soiled and land in a Red nest. First thing they then do is get loud for all the things they miss about the old nest. Here in my bucolic red state, the 'neighborhood chat' forums are of late filled with the clamoring to attend No Kings rallies, and 'get involved' cheerleading. They presume we are not involved already. They presume to know better and want to 'fix' their new surroundings.
9 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
JHHolliday 3/21/2026 11:59:27 AM (No. 2083198)
Those of us older people remember the 'Laffer Curve' that shows the higher taxes that states impose, their revenue actually declines. The wealthy and those with the means to leave, do so. Others change their habits and start avoiding the higher taxes by engaging in some 'creative' tax returns once they believe taxes have become confiscatory and the government is wasting their money. Self-interest and simple economics always eventually rule.
7 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
mc squared 3/21/2026 12:02:12 PM (No. 2083200)
Traffic in Florida is getting awful. Bugs, mosquitos, gators, hurricanes, sunburn, rednecks .....You won't like it here. Stay home: you caused it, now step in it.
9 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
Geoman 3/21/2026 1:10:34 PM (No. 2083252)
The corollary to this article's premise is just as important for policy making today. In 1990, Peterson and Rom published a well-researched book through the Brookings Institution, that I was required to read and discuss in grad school, entitled "Welfare Magnets - A New Case for a National Standard." The authors cited strong empirical evidence that states with higher welfare benefits (today's Blue states) act as magnets by attracting poor people and those lacking the desire to actually work for a living from states with less generous welfare benefits (Red states). Despite the fact that federal tax dollars fund about 75% of the welfare dollars doled out by individual states. During the early 1990s, people from the midwest and northeast were flocking to Texas and other southern states with growing economies, for the availability of good jobs; conversely, there was a reverse migration of the indigent by choice or circumstance to states like MA, MN, CA, NY, WI, IL, and CT - all bright blue states. The federal welfare dollars were supplemented by high state income and business taxes. Many of the welfare magnet states tracked the inquiries made by prospective transplants, calling by phone to inquire, and presumably compare welfare benefits, seeking to optimize their hand-outs. The authors, Peterson and Rom, advocated establishing a nation-wide standard for the states' provision of welfare benefits to eliminate the "shopping sprees" of those looking to score the highest welfare benefits, with no thought to seeking better jobs or any sort of gainful employment. The 'shoppers' were overwhelmingly minorities and recent immigrants. The lack of any national policy movement on their findings has produced the clear Red-Blue divide that may ultimately metastasize into a civil war. Democrat senators - surprise! - killed every measure of reform passed by the House. Ecclesiastes 1:9 was proven once again: "The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun."
6 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
DVC 3/21/2026 1:18:10 PM (No. 2083255)
The fly in the ointment is that these 'blue flight' clowns all too often bring their leftist voting patterns and high government services expectations with them when they move....and wreck another state.
6 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
Catherine 3/21/2026 3:13:21 PM (No. 2083284)
For those who leave blue states, don't come to Oklahoma. It never rains, the heat is awful in summer, we have earthquakes and have you seen what a tornado can do? And we have those, by the bunches, in spring. And don't get me started on property taxes, outrageous. So as you run from your state, bypass Oklahoma. I hear Florida is nice this time of year.
3 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
Jesuslover54 3/21/2026 3:21:24 PM (No. 2083288)
I wish they could take a loyalty oath before they move in. But they would lie.
3 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
jeffkinnh 3/21/2026 4:09:43 PM (No. 2083298)
I question the overall "wisdom" that those fleeing Blue states carry their Leftism with them. Many are well off and have been willing to support Leftism until it peaked out, basically by the state saying. "What's yours is ours and what is ours is ours." or "All your base belong to us". These people are moving because they now know that there is a limit to what the Leftist state can demand without collapsing everything. Further, for all the Blue imports, there are many more Red natives that don't agree with Leftism. There may be microcosms where problems arise but enough to really matter?
The gathering place for Leftism tends to be in cities that have enough of a financial base to support indigents in the name of being humane. The more support, the more indigents are attracted. That also attracts the type of leadership that benefits from courting the indigent. All of it feeds on itself until it collapses. If you pay people for doing nothing, unfortunately, there are a lot of people willing to live like that. The better but harder choice is to require that they find ways to support themselves and work to create opportunities (businesses) for them to do so.
1 person likes this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
vhs68 3/21/2026 4:52:45 PM (No. 2083313)
Say #5 Geoman, i saw what you did there, quoting Kamala Harris.
3 people like this.
Don't come to Tennessee. We're full.
0 people like this.
I ask, will books be written about the out-migration from California as books were written about the migration to California from the Dust Bowl?
0 people like this.
Some bottle-blond ditz, the former mayor of some Orange County, California town, moved into my town and ran for city council when she had lived here less than a year. Arrogance. Entitlement.
0 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
hershey 3/21/2026 9:11:34 PM (No. 2083392)
The problem is when they leave a blue state they take their liberal tendencies with them...and infect red stateds..
1 person likes this.
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