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VIDEO: A good, quick analysis about China’s
serious internal problems

Original Article

Posted By: DVC, 8/16/2023 10:52:09 PM

China is a problem. It’s an immediate problem for Taiwan, but it’s also a long-term problem for America, given that it’s our greatest geopolitical enemy (no matter what Democrats say about Russia! Russia! Russia!). However, Ben Shapiro has put together an excellent short video detailing the structural problems that bedevil China and that put it both at risk of implosion and explosion. Over the years, I’ve written often about China, both the threat it poses and the weaknesses it has. I’ve covered its demographic problems, the way it’s overreached itself with its belt-and-road policies, its shaky internal economy, and its showy but surprisingly weak military.

Comments:

I agree with the video. China has made a mess of it, and other countries pulling back their supply lines, and moving more 'on shore/near shore' will greatly exacerbate China's weaknesses. The demographic bomb is unfixable. Shapiro does a good job of synthesizing what I have gathered from dozens of other sources. China is in deep chow mein. (Yeah, I know it's faux Chinese)

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Reply 1 - Posted by: Omen55 8/16/2023 11:00:48 PM (No. 1535872)
When you add the corruption in the PLA invading Taiwan is fool's gold for Xi.
4 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: Rumblehog 8/16/2023 11:22:41 PM (No. 1535880)
China has never been an expansionist power. It was Genghis Khan's Mongolia who did that. Red China's involvement in the Korean War wasn't quite war on their own terms either. Red China got their arses handed to them in the 1980's/90's by Vietnam, and India recently bloodied Xi's nose in more than one northern border skirmish. I don't think Xi want's to be the "Dead Leader" known for losing a war, once they decide to embark on one.
6 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: DVC 8/17/2023 12:04:41 AM (No. 1535909)
The article's internal reference to "a smart friend's" comments are on target, too. If Taiwan hit the Three Gorges Dam with enough missiles to breach it (no small task, but probably doable), the downstream flooding damage would be immense, far more than could be done with anything short of a few hundred nukes. And the idea of a successful amphibious operation against Taiwan is ludicrous. We had to essentially wipe the Luftwaffe from the skies before the Normandy landings had a chance, and we had built hundreds of LSTs which could driver right up onto a beach and drive off dozens of loaded trucks and tanks onto the beach, then close the front clam shell doors, reballast and back off of the beach. China doesn't have these, and they won't be able to create the required near total air superiority over an invasion fleet. One of the big lessons from the Russian invasion of Ukraine is that without the very specialized aircraft and very skill-dependent SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defense) capability that the US has invested 50+ years in creating, you CANNOT fly over a modern battlefield in your jet fighters or attack helos. Russian aircraft dare not venture over the front lines in Ukraine now, and they have lost somewhere north of 60 aircraft, 90+ by some accountings, proving that it can't be done. And around 50-70 helos destroyed, too. China will find that it also has neglected to develop this complex SEAD capability that only the USA apparently has fully developed. We started with the Wild Weasels of Vietnam, and they still did that mission in Desert Storm. A friend was a Wild Weasel Phantom driver in Desert Storm, and tells of many very "hairy" missions. But, once you destroy all the enemies air defenses, giving you air superiority, then you can pound them on the ground and from the air. China attempting to invade Taiwan would be a massive disaster for China, and a bloody mess for Taiwan, unfortunately. I hope Xi isn't so stupid as Putin by insisting on proving that his military is far less capable than it was thought to be.
16 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: JimBob 8/17/2023 1:28:43 AM (No. 1535953)
Clicked on the article. The photo right at the beginning, of one of the Chinese 'Ghost Cities' gave me an idea. How about we ship all the Illegal Aliens over there, and let them live in those empty Chinese cities? Housing problem SOLVED! .... oh, /sarc off
36 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: czechlist 8/17/2023 8:25:20 AM (No. 1536109)
#3 China doesn't need to invade Taiwan. A naval and air blockade would starve them into capitulation. We and our Pacific allies are at a huge logistical disadvantage to defend a distant country that the US doesn't even officially recognize.
8 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: jeffkinnh 8/17/2023 10:13:23 AM (No. 1536201)
On top of the mentioned impacts of an attack on the dam, it would be a loss of a massive electrical capacity that could not be repaired for YEARS. Imagine a NYC blackout lasting for years. The logistics of dealing with that plus the other damage would be overwhelming. As to a blockade, a blockage of Commercial ship traffic from all approaches to Taiwan would be far from simple and would have international ramifications and response as many nations ships would be threatened. The existence of an effectively independent Taiwan for over 70 years hardly makes this an URGENT issue. The PRC escalating it to open warfare, like a blockade, without a realistic and acute threat from Taiwan would put the PRC at great diplomatic disadvantage. The PRC is posturing. They may have significant problems but starting a major war that could escalate to global involvement would NOT work out well for them.
7 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: Dodge Boy 8/17/2023 10:22:46 AM (No. 1536207)
Having traveled extensively to China on business, IMO, Widburg's analysis is accurate and so is the video. But to think China will implode thus becoming Amerika's saving grace, would be short-sighted. But I agree that an attempt by the chicoms to take over Taiwan would be a grave mistake. China's move toward global supremacy is only made possible by Amerika's own march to communism.
9 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: Zigrid 8/17/2023 11:32:15 AM (No. 1536255)
I've often wondered why our government doesn't fly over the interior of china and throw out phablets telling the peasants just how weak china is....they turned off the media for the peasants...and only allow corrupt news on their TV sets...kinda like Washington's media here in the good ole USA....but real folks close to the ground...know what's going on...and I suspect that's why china is in trouble....buy American only and boycott all stores that carry Chinese goods...and use only U.S. cash...the credit cards are monitored by all the globaloney oligarchs ...take control back for yourself....buy a throw away phone so you can't be monitored when you travel....
4 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: LC Chihuahua 8/17/2023 12:12:19 PM (No. 1536287)
I remember reading a story about a large city experiencing civil unrest. The police force was not large enough to contain the unrest. It was a very large city. The police main objective was to make sure no warring faction learned that the police force could not stop them. Unrest would be much worse. Eventually the police got the upper hand as the riot ran out of steam. Strongly suspect China has the same problem. They do not have enough police if the crowd turns ugly. So does the USA, btw. As for China taking back Taiwan, it may be more than they can handle. Taiwan has 23.5 million people. How many people would it take to pacify Taiwan? What would be the price tag? The last thing China wants to deal with is an insurgency, especially if it gets to the mainland. Just like Ukraine moving the war with Russia to Russian soil. Bet Putin has had second thoughts by now.
4 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: Luandir 8/17/2023 1:11:26 PM (No. 1536330)
1) I love Ben, but yes, his rapid-fire delivery makes me crazy. 2) China's biggest asset in overseas adventurism is that they have a bought-and-paid-for stooge leading their opposition.
3 people like this.

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