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The GOP odds of winning the House as of
this morning are 99.97%

Original Article

Posted By: Big Bopper, 11/11/2022 10:14:56 AM

The GOP performance in the midterm elections is very disappointing, but here’s some good news. It would take a miracle for the Democrats to retain the House of Representatives. Let’s do the math. According to Wall Street Journal and other credible sites, the GOP has won about 211 seats and the Dems have won 192. That means about 32 seats are still undecided. The GOP needs at least 7 of those 32 to reach the bare majority of 218. It’s fair to assume that the odds on each of those races is about 50/50. If it were otherwise, they’d have been decided. They’re “toss-ups”

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Reply 1 - Posted by: chance_232 11/11/2022 10:37:19 AM (No. 1330812)
Has president Hillary Clinton weighed in on the odds yet??? While promising, I've stopped relying on polls and odds.
4 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: Dreadnought 11/11/2022 10:41:17 AM (No. 1330816)
The Republicans will probably take the House and quite possibly the Senate baring voter discouragement. (Why did autocomplete put 'lying' after possibly? What triggered the AI? It wasn't amusing.)
6 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: bpl40 11/11/2022 10:46:39 AM (No. 1330823)
This is when Democrat fraud and fixes are at their fiercest. Beware! Having said that a 225 House and a 52 Senate seems likely. Now get rid of the Turtle and that RINO McCarthy.
15 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Krause 11/11/2022 10:54:06 AM (No. 1330834)
The bad guys are working hard to reduce that %.
9 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: Italiano 11/11/2022 11:12:09 AM (No. 1330846)
It took a miracle for the dessicated pervert Demento to "beat" Donald Trump. The only thing that Democrats do well is election fraud.
9 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: Mizz Fixxit 11/11/2022 11:12:46 AM (No. 1330847)
Coin flips don’t matter. There are 10-11 uncalled California US House districts --- Republicans lead many of these --- with current estimated votes counted between 26 percent and 64 percent. Recall what happened in Orange County races in 2018.
4 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: NorthernDog 11/11/2022 11:21:44 AM (No. 1330854)
There are a number of House seats where the Republican is clearly in the lead but the media still says ''too close to call''. In California Mike Garcia is up 56 - 44 % and is Kevin Kiley is up more than 6 points. Boebert in Colorado is still leading by 1,100 votes with little left to count, and then seem afraid to update the totals today. They want to drag this out for days on end.
4 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: buckeye1 11/11/2022 12:16:50 PM (No. 1330920)
There is only one poll that matters and that was Nov 8 th.. EVERYBODY got it wrong. All have egg on their faces and that includes the GOP as well as the Dems punditacracy and not to exclude the reading public. If people want Trump to stand down, it's only fair that McConnel and McCarthy not get their new positions they so believe are owed to them. They did little except to take millions upon millions of dollars from people who want something in return.
4 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: lakerman1 11/11/2022 12:57:49 PM (No. 1330953)
There is an impllcit presumption (or is it assumption?) when using that formula that the count will be honest. I make no presumption or assumption.
5 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: Birddog 11/11/2022 1:21:46 PM (No. 1330976)
The same Logic suggests Repubs will get 50% of the 32...16 seats, But....The ONLY place a coinfilp actually means anything is those areas where an actual tie is determined by one. How is it that 4 days after the election many many places haven't even counted 3/4 of the votes, some well less than 1/2. There are several west coast races with 44% or less, many are fairly small counties/districts with very few votes to begin with. IF they were ALL being counted by hand then might make some modicum of sense, but they are not. These are all places that purchased ever more expensive, complicated machinery that simply does not FUNCTION in performance of a very simple task. The ONLY thing they should do is simple addition.
2 people like this.

Reply 11 - Posted by: moebellini3 11/11/2022 1:30:41 PM (No. 1330988)
Don't count on it. The counting will end once the democrats are done bringing in their fake ballots. They know how much they need to win and its only a matter of time.
3 people like this.

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The GOP odds of winning the House as of
this morning are 99.97%
11 replies
Posted by Big Bopper 11/11/2022 10:14:56 AM Post Reply
The GOP performance in the midterm elections is very disappointing, but here’s some good news. It would take a miracle for the Democrats to retain the House of Representatives. Let’s do the math. According to Wall Street Journal and other credible sites, the GOP has won about 211 seats and the Dems have won 192. That means about 32 seats are still undecided. The GOP needs at least 7 of those 32 to reach the bare majority of 218. It’s fair to assume that the odds on each of those races is about 50/50. If it were otherwise, they’d have been decided. They’re “toss-ups”
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