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What We Can Learn From Russia's Debacle

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Posted By: Hazymac, 4/2/2022 5:16:06 PM

If Putin had followed the advice offered in the Belmont Club just before the Ukraine War, Russia might still be a first-rank power. On Feb 21, 2022, I argued that he had no chance of conquering Ukraine and would be crazy to try. “Fears over Vladimir Putin’s threatened invasion of Ukraine continue to grow despite the fact that the effort would burst both Russia’s military and economy, not to mention ruining its foreign relations. Swallowing a poison pawn makes so little sense that UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson says Russia’s Putin may be ‘irrational,’ unable to act in his own best interests.” Invading only to fail was so absurd

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Reply 1 - Posted by: Toby Ten Bears 4/2/2022 5:54:38 PM (No. 1117692)
Send Russia military aid! Tell Diaper Joe the weapons are for Iran or China... He'll fast track them!!
1 person likes this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: Cat Ballou 4/2/2022 6:40:23 PM (No. 1117722)
Perhaps to mind our own business...........
0 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: DVC 4/2/2022 7:10:05 PM (No. 1117749)
The capability of modern single soldier anti-tank weapons and anti-aircraft weapons radically changes the battlefield. And I saw a really interesting demonstration of how a modern platoon, by adding a very ordinary drone to do their own mortar fall observation and permit them to correct with near zero risk, means that a platoon sized unit, with nothing more than a 60 mm mortar and 20-30 mortar rounds can chew up a company or more, if they can catch them in the open. And they can do it with very little risk, from the back side of a hill, in heavy trees with no direct line of sight to their targets. THAT is a major reshuffling of the power on a battlefield. Previously, this required normal artillery tubes, and comms to them, and a skilled, trained artillery spotter with a view of the target to do this. Far larger, and more 'at risk' and less maneuverable military units needed. Now a 15 man platoon, operating independently, using local terrain knowledge can shatter a unit ten times their size in a 10 minute engagement, and then exfil the area rapidly, never even seen by their victims. One of the ways to counter this is with a helo gunship overhead or some armor.....a perfect target for a Stinger, or a Javelin. So now that same platoon can carry indigenous air defense which is capable of knocking down a gunship, and indigenous anti-armor capability which can knock out a armored vehicle. Asymmetric warfare, indeed.
2 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Jesuslover54 4/2/2022 8:03:57 PM (No. 1117784)
Quick reminder: It's not over.
4 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: RussZilla 4/2/2022 8:39:56 PM (No. 1117820)
The US wants to do to Ukraine what they did to Afghanistan. Ukraine should surrender, before they lose more lives. NATO caused the problem. For the good of NATO, they should engage in talks between Ukraine and Russia. Or just rot in the trashpile of history.
0 people like this.

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If Putin had followed the advice offered in the Belmont Club just before the Ukraine War, Russia might still be a first-rank power. On Feb 21, 2022, I argued that he had no chance of conquering Ukraine and would be crazy to try. “Fears over Vladimir Putin’s threatened invasion of Ukraine continue to grow despite the fact that the effort would burst both Russia’s military and economy, not to mention ruining its foreign relations. Swallowing a poison pawn makes so little sense that UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson says Russia’s Putin may be ‘irrational,’ unable to act in his own best interests.” Invading only to fail was so absurd
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