Ukraine War Making Beijing More Cautious;
May Delay Taiwan Invasion Plan For Years: Taipei
Epoch Times,
by
Dorothy Li
Original Article
Posted By: earlybird,
4/1/2022 4:24:08 PM
Military lessons from Russia’s failures in its war on Ukraine will make the communist regime in Beijing more cautious about Taiwan, possibly delaying its invasion plan by years.
“Beijing is learning from Russia’s combat experience, Ukraine’s resistance, and global sanctions to deduce the possible situation of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait,” Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council said in a March 30 statement(snip)
“The Chinese Communist Party will not abandon its plan to seize Taiwan by force,” the island’s senior China policy advisers were cited as saying during the meeting on the Ukraine war.
Russia-Ukraine was “a great lesson for China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA).” Russia misjudged the war situation,
Oh yes... I'm sure that China would much rather wait until that "tough guy" is out of office! China knows better than to tangle with someone who beat up Corn Pop. China would be much better off to wait until there is no other wars or chaos of any kind going on... And furthermore, once Diaper Joe sends blankets and pillows it will all be over for China! Look out!!
30 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
Luandir 4/1/2022 5:19:57 PM (No. 1116821)
I'm with #1. Zho Beijing, between his senile incompetence and his bought-and-paid-for kompromat, provides the opportunity of the century.
20 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
SALady 4/1/2022 5:22:47 PM (No. 1116824)
Well, I guess we know where "Baghdad Bob" got a new job after Iraq fell.
He is now one of Taiwan's senior China policy advisers!!!
16 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
chance_232 4/1/2022 6:50:35 PM (No. 1116891)
In fairness.......
In military rankings, Russia is number #2 and Ukraine is #22, China is #3 and Taiwan is #21. Ukraine is giving Russia a run for its money and Russia has the benefit of sharing a border. China on the other hand has to cross 100 miles of open ocean. What's the likelihood that China crossing the Taiwan Straits will occur unhindered. China has a lot of armor and personnel that they can bring to bear.... after crossing 100 miles of open ocean. Russia is learning the hard way that their armor is no match for a motivated foe with Javelin missiles. China is probably paying very close attention.
Both China and Russia are capable of bombing Ukraine and Taiwan into ruble. Which is OK I guess, if your goal is to capture a starving population with zero infrastructure left.
If your goal is to capture your enemy relatively intact, you can't employ the tactic of leveling cities.
Russia has another advantage over the Chinese. Russia has actually conducted military operations since the 50's. China's military is largely untested. It looks formidable on paper, but so does Russia's.
22 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
Omen55 4/1/2022 7:02:58 PM (No. 1116901)
Having to cross 105 miles of open water would not be easy.
If you want to defeat an amphibious invasion you hit the Assault(troop)ships which are easy to spot.
Same for airborne the fat planes carry the troops.
Taiwan has a professional military with trained & equipped forces who are motivated against their one enemy.
In the meantime Taiwan, along with ROK & Japan, should nuke up.
15 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
MindMadeUp 4/1/2022 7:43:06 PM (No. 1116931)
China wants the golden treasure that is Taiwan, but taking it by force would probably break it. More likely they will take it by buying its leaders and infiltrating its education and news media. That tactic has worked in their takeover of the US, why not Taiwan.
27 people like this.
China is never in a rush. The culture is one of patience and face. Besides the practical: Taiwan is China's golden goose, #1 investor and a major trade partner. China gets all the benefit without the grief. When the time comes Taiwan will "reunite" with China through negotiations offering assurances of "special status." There is absolutely no point in invasion...that would be the American solution. And then we'd try to build a democracy and pay for the breakage we caused.
12 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
DVC 4/1/2022 11:18:22 PM (No. 1117063)
Countries who have never done a successful amphibious landing against a contended beachhead have no concept how difficult it is to 1) gain a toehold and FAR more critical 2) provide over water support for those troops who are fighting .
Churchill learned a very, very hard lesson from Gallipoli, and spent the next 30 years putting his considerable brainpower, and consulting with other experts, towards how to make this really work. And one less than intrepid general, at Anzio, damned near cost us that landing, caused far, far more casualties than a Patton type of general would have had.
I think that the ChiComs are fooling themselves if they think that they can take Taiwan at all. It will be a FAR harder "nut to crack" than Ukraine has been for Putin. Miles of ocean put a huge, huge level of difficulty for logistical support that most cannot grasp, and make the old saw of "disrupt their supply lines" far easier for the defenders. I will predict now that if the ChiComs try it, they'll wind up like Gallipoli.
Ultimately, the hardest part is NOT the landing and getting that toehold....although that is VERY difficult against determined defense, the hard part is the subsequent MASSIVE logistics. And modern weapons has made the WW2 solution, the LST, far less survivable than it was in WW2, and in Normandy we had pretty much absolute air superiority, something that the ChiComs are unlikely to have over Taiwan.
14 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
Faithfully 4/2/2022 12:26:19 AM (No. 1117092)
Leave Russia and Putin alone unless you want the third world war run by Biden and whatshername.
14 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
little guy 4/2/2022 8:39:03 AM (No. 1117282)
What a bunch of happy talk and whistling past the graveyard! Hooey.
Read your history books! While the world is distracted is a perfect time to move. Especially when the other king (in our case, POTUS) is a feeble and incompetent leader.
China knows darn well the world could not stop importing stuff from them just because a small island is getting eaten. And we're going to stop trading in their currency? Really.
6 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
ussjimmycarter 4/2/2022 8:48:46 AM (No. 1117290)
Who writes this tripe? They have ZERO knowledge of what China will or won’t do!
3 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
red1066 4/2/2022 9:16:12 AM (No. 1117312)
I suspect China is reviewing the number of Russian weapons they've purchased over the last twenty plus years after seeing what U.S. supplied weapons have done to the Russian equipment in Ukraine. Attacking a country that has been supplied with U.S. and its allies' weapons for decades might give China second thoughts about attacking Taiwan. Also, several clashes with India's troops over border issues over the last decade have shown that perhaps Chinese troops aren't all that good either. The Chinese military equipment looks impressive, but what about build quality. They can copy foreign products really well, but what about the quality of those products.
5 people like this.
Reply 13 - Posted by:
Lawsy0 4/2/2022 9:26:46 AM (No. 1117324)
I totally misread the news. I just figured that China was ''so loyal'' to its friends that their worry was having to bail out good buddy Russia. Well, what with having to pay off the Biden Crime Family and all, China didn't want to run low on cash.
6 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
Zigrid 4/2/2022 10:43:30 AM (No. 1117392)
China is good at stealing tech secrets from their adversaries...and infiltrating government politicians with pay outs...but...their generals have not been tested on the battlefield...Hong Kong was easy because china had land advantage...but with Taiwan they must cross the ocean and shell the country into compliance...and then..they will have no economic benefit from a destroyed countryside...
5 people like this.
Reply 15 - Posted by:
MDConservative 4/2/2022 11:03:45 AM (No. 1117419)
Hong Kong and Macau were "easy" because the treaties with Britain and Portugal were expired, #14, and the territories returned. There was no reason to fight, except to preserve some colonial asset that was indefensible. Both continue to have their own governmental system, legal, economic and financial affairs independent from the PRC. The PRC has proposed the same deal in unification with Taiwan. Chaing is long gone, and Taiwan has a "leftist" government these days. Who knows what could happen in the next years. Either way, it's not worth a war. The world has largely already recognized China's claim as a renegade province. The Chinese are in no hurry for reunification. That doesn't prevent their sending occasional "reminders" to the Taiwanese.
2 people like this.
Reply 16 - Posted by:
NotaBene 4/2/2022 1:11:50 PM (No. 1117562)
The CCP will deduce the Imperial USA-NATO is paper tiger that was defeated by the humble Ruble and a genetically engineered virus. All the CIA planning was hot air. The king Dollar is dead. I miss Donaldus Magnus.
1 person likes this.
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