Looming food shortages is the next ‘slow-moving
disaster’ to hit world
New York Post,
by
Glenn H. Reynolds
Original Article
Posted By: Dreadnought,
3/17/2022 11:39:52 PM
Food prices are already skyrocketing. Some — a lot — of this comes from inflation caused by runaway government spending over the past two years. Some is from supply-chain issues. But a new problem is rearing its head, and government officials seem as likely to make it worse as to make it better.
That problem is shortages of food and fertilizer brought about by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions enacted by the West in response. Ukraine is a major wheat producer, but war is likely to ensure a poor spring planting and harvest. Russia is also a major grower, but sanctions and war will prevent it from exporting to most
Reply 1 - Posted by:
Ribicon 3/18/2022 12:03:37 AM (No. 1103016)
FTA: "Without fertilizer, corn and wheat yields in the United States would decline by more than 40%." A smart move off the top would be to scrap President Dubya's ethanol mandate (also stupidly endorsed by President Trump), but we're committed to making electric cars a necessity and eating delicious bugs too, because the World Economic Forum thinks it's funny, and they'll enjoy their riches all the more if we're drinking roach milk.
59 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
mifla 3/18/2022 3:58:46 AM (No. 1103055)
And the liberals will be the first to scream "this isn't fair!"
21 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
EJKrausJr 3/18/2022 4:00:45 AM (No. 1103057)
Stock up now. Grocery shelves will be as empty as former Soviet stores. Brought to you by FJB and FKH.
48 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
Mizz Fixxit 3/18/2022 5:08:21 AM (No. 1103076)
FTA: Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack’s response to concerns about fertilizer and food shortages: “Maybe sacrifices are necessary.”
Maybe food riots at Vilsack’s house is “necessary.”
49 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
jalo1951 3/18/2022 5:20:05 AM (No. 1103081)
Time for everyone to take care of their own. Our government certainly has no intention of doing anything constructive other than to blame it on someone else. After all, if we are ill and frail from not enough food that will be another reason to forward everyone more than one ballot for the Nov. election. Pioneer Spirit needs to kick into full gear. Check out your supplies and make a plan. Also heard last night that China was warning that another supply chain crisis was in the works as they have locked down 30 million people. People who make "things", get them to the ports, and get them on the ships. There are a lot of articles on the internet to help you. Do your research and think ahead. Most people still do not know this info is out there because basically no one is talking about it. When this finally hits the fan it will be to late. And remember more than food is involved. Research, make a plan and take care of business. You can only rely on yourself. While we struggle Tom will be eating steaks and baked potatoes with sour cream.
35 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
Petronius 3/18/2022 5:41:47 AM (No. 1103095)
All part of "The Great Reset", you all better start lowering your expectations.
36 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
ussjimmycarter 3/18/2022 5:46:08 AM (No. 1103097)
No problem! We burn our food in cars here in America because…FREEDOM???
16 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
Speedypetey 3/18/2022 8:17:49 AM (No. 1103171)
Reply #1 is correct that ethanol production requires more therms of natural gas and electricity to distill the smaller volume in therms of ethanol and uses corn that is normally surplused but now could slow fascist Democrat hyperinflation food prices to feed the population.
23 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
Bur Oak 3/18/2022 8:27:16 AM (No. 1103184)
First slowly and then all at once. The last to suffer will be those in the Washington DC area. I need to go buy garden seeds and canning supplies. Last year I had a hard time finding vinegar to can pickles.
15 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
walcb 3/18/2022 8:44:05 AM (No. 1103198)
The author is correct on all but one thing--FTA: "farmers will either have to skimp on fertilizer or raise prices of their own products a lot." Farmers do not set the price they receive for their produce, it is set by supply and demand. Modern US farmers make planting and fertilizing decisions based on the price they anticipate receiving when they sell their product. They attempt to balance their input cost against anticipated yields and prices for their produce and hope they have erred on the side that allows them to make a profit--its complicated by weather and government and other things (that's why fewer are doing it).
14 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
Venturer 3/18/2022 8:58:34 AM (No. 1103208)
Farmers need fuel and fertilizer, and we have an idiot who is stopping us from producing the fuel.
Open up our energy sources and stop this horse Scat of electric cars until the infrastructure is there to support it.
27 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
Dodge Boy 3/18/2022 9:08:00 AM (No. 1103221)
Glenn, you forgot to discuss the water crisis in the desert southwest of the US that will further complicate the shortages you discussed. Yes, it is being kept quiet by the federal agencies. But take a look at the few news reports that have been published just this year and the dangerously low storage levels in Lake Mead and Lake Powell. Fresh produce will be affected and severe shortages are already being forecasted.
16 people like this.
Reply 13 - Posted by:
TLCary 3/18/2022 9:34:10 AM (No. 1103242)
I call BS on blaming “brought about by the Russian invasion of Ukraine”. Farmers had dramatically reduced their fertilizer allotment before Putin ever made a move. We discussed it right here. In many cases we (farmers) simply can’t afford the short term investment because cash flow doesn’t allow it. In other cases the reduction in yield will be a lesser hit than the cost to full load fields with fertilizer. Year one of this gambit is going to be bad for the fields. Year two will be catastrophic.
10 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
LC Chihuahua 3/18/2022 10:08:01 AM (No. 1103272)
Well, I guess we better start producing our own fertilizer. Why does the US rely on China and Russia for ANYTHING? How much wheat does the US get from Ukraine? Would expect this to hit Europe rather than here. Is this a ploy to lift sanctions? We have had sanctions on Russia in the past without these types of problems. As for ethanol, it was always a stupid idea to use a food crop for something other than food.
16 people like this.
Reply 15 - Posted by:
MattMusson1 3/18/2022 10:25:58 AM (No. 1103299)
With $1000 a ton fertilizer, look for American farmers to move increasing amounts of acreage to Soybeans this year and away from Corn.
Also, the Chinese announced they are having the worst harvest in living memory. And, the world's top Grain Exporter just invaded the world's 5th largest grain exporter.
Ukraine alone produced 10% of all grain traded globally last year. And, if the war is not settled by April, there will be no Spring planting in Ukraine this year.
10 people like this.
Reply 16 - Posted by:
Zigrid 3/18/2022 10:56:43 AM (No. 1103348)
The ole saying..."you can bring a horse to water...but you can't make him drink"...is applicable...but WE tenacious Americans will find a way to overcome the shortages....time to stock up flour, sugar, and salt...fill your cupboards with soup and pasta and marinara sauce...my mother/in/law from Budapest had shelves of necessities lining the shelves in her basement...she had gone through many wars in Europe and understood she had to take care of her family...she was a tough ole bird...a lot like Ukrainians of today...
10 people like this.
Reply 17 - Posted by:
rikkitikki 3/18/2022 10:57:18 AM (No. 1103349)
Biden's policies are not just a train wreck...they are a Hindenburg flameout.
12 people like this.
Reply 18 - Posted by:
little guy 3/18/2022 11:12:59 AM (No. 1103362)
Take some time to read up on really bad food shortages that have happened throughout history. It makes no difference where or when --- the outcome is always the same.
Those who hoard food get away with that trick for only a few months before the relatives/friends/neighbors ... and then total strangers! ... find out. Mainly because you look healthy and they don't.
First they will ask for some food. Then they will demand it and then they will steal it from you. Finally --- if they have to --- they will kill you for it.
No point in storing food if you can't keep people away from it! And hungry people do horrible things.
7 people like this.
Shortages are definitely coming. I would suggest that like the Proverbs 31 Woman, it would be prudent to prepare for a future time of darkness.
5 people like this.
Reply 20 - Posted by:
udanja99 3/18/2022 12:31:44 PM (No. 1103454)
Buy nuts too! Great source of protein when there is no meat to be had. Store them in your freezer.
When the Ukrainians were being intentionally starved by Stalin, those who survived did so by eating sunflower seeds. No wonder the sunflower is their country’s national symbol.
5 people like this.
Reply 21 - Posted by:
ldb51 3/18/2022 12:32:58 PM (No. 1103456)
Thanks to Joe Dufus and his fellow Dem/Progressive travelers, we are being introduced to the Great Products of the Marxist path: Shortages, Lies, Subordination and Mediocracy in everything, shared Misery and general Melancholy. All of this intended to replace the American Dream and Optimism with hard, cold Authoritarianism.
As #18 implies, and Ukraine demonstrates, while putting away supplies for the coming storm, don't forget personal and family security... and ammunition.
7 people like this.
Reply 22 - Posted by:
earlybird 3/18/2022 2:27:04 PM (No. 1103573)
We are noticing shortage of pastas - including noodles. Bread. Milk.
California has its own huge dairy industry so the milk shortage is more apt to do with shortage of containers and/or transport. We had heard the containers would be a problem for the consumer market as there’d be no shortage of the milk itself.
3 people like this.
Reply 23 - Posted by:
earlybird 3/18/2022 2:35:22 PM (No. 1103581)
So now we have food porn. Foodpanicmongering. We saw what happened at the beginning of the pandemic. The hoarders hoarded and totally disrupted the normal supply chain. Anyone who managed to live through and survive the food rationing during WWII in this country (and the absence of food in other countries) knows that hoarding is not the answer. Most sensible people keep normal quantities of foodstuffs on hand during normal times. Stockpiling is ridiculous. And I’ve seen what happens when cans start to explode… Not pretty.
4 people like this.
Reply 24 - Posted by:
Farmwife1 3/18/2022 5:56:05 PM (No. 1103705)
The corn which makes ethanol for your car is not corn for human consumption. Field corn is fed to cattle, pigs, chickens etc. It is raised for animal feed. Corn that is fed to humans in the form of corn chips, corn syrup, or the corn on your plate is completely different. It is a special hybrid, and you have to have special fertilizers and seed. Even the machinery to plant and harvest is different. But this is also why some countries will not include corn in their diets. They believe it is animal feed.
After field corn (grown specifically for animal consumption) is sold to the ethanol plant, the ethanol is extracted and then the corn is sold back to cattle feeders as "distillers grain." The cattle love it and turn it into beef, again for human consumption. So those who think ethanol subtracts from the food supply, do not have the right information. The creation of ethanol does not hurt the food supply.
4 people like this.
Reply 25 - Posted by:
earlybird 3/18/2022 6:12:50 PM (No. 1103714)
Thanks, #24. A little education by someone who knows about such things is always welcome. Ignorance can be fixed. Unfortunately, stupid is forever.
4 people like this.
Reply 26 - Posted by:
wildcat1 3/18/2022 9:10:20 PM (No. 1103790)
#1 There is no ethanol mandate, and even if there was, that is NOT a problem. Quite harping on it. Any refiner who doesn't want to use it gets RINS to avoid using it. Ethanol is an oxygenate which replaced MTBE which replaced tetraethyl lead, both dangerous substances.
1 person likes this.
Reply 27 - Posted by:
wildcat1 3/18/2022 9:13:18 PM (No. 1103791)
#24......WELL SAID. I am a full time farmer for the last 51 years, you absolutely nailed it. Carry on.
1 person likes this.
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