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Another Pollster Sees a Trump Win

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Posted By: Garnet, 10/28/2020 10:10:47 AM

The Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly is an outlier among pollsters in that he thinks President Trump will carry Michigan, Pennsylvania, or both, and hence be reelected with roughly 280 electoral votes. (I explained his thinking here.) Last week another pollster, Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling and Research, echoed some of Cahaly’s points about shy Trump voters being missed by pollsters. “There is definitely a submerged Trump vote,” Lee said. Asked for a prediction, he hedged a little but then predicted a Trump win: “I can’t call it. If the turnout is going to be what I think, Trump wins it.”

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Reply 1 - Posted by: MMC 10/28/2020 10:30:42 AM (No. 587275)
So? Bus loads of voters at multiple locations and mail in ballots in Texas and swing states.. the pollsters don’t account for fraud.. Sorry- Feeling Debbie Downer
3 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: Calvinesq 10/28/2020 10:43:13 AM (No. 587284)
Hope so, but I don’t like what the stock market is doing. Some are in fear.
3 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: udanja99 10/28/2020 12:58:02 PM (No. 587465)
#2, it’s pretty obvious that the swamp has played up the covid numbers not just to scare people away from the polls, but to trash the stock market a week before the election. Ignore it. PDT will win and the market will take off like nothing we have ever seen.
4 people like this.

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