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Poll-inspired cockiness and its hazards

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Posted By: NorthernDog, 10/15/2020 9:33:24 AM

In the buttoned-down field of survey research, Warren Mitofsky is remembered as something of a legend. In the 1960s, he developed the exit poll for CBS News, a technique in which voters are interviewed as they leave polling places. Mitofsky, who died in 2006, also helped initiate random-digit dialing by telephone, a randomized sampling method that revolutionized survey-taking and was polling’s gold standard for years. (Snip) Poll-inspired cockiness certainly helps explain the deep shock that accompanied Donald Trump’s election four years ago. The cockiest poll-related moment of the 2016 campaign centered around a vow by Samuel Wang, the neuroscientist who

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Biden leads in the polls because the media says he leads in the polls. The self-reinforcing narrative holds true, until the actual votes pour in.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: Sully 10/15/2020 9:48:22 AM (No. 573195)
Just saying...this time the haters won't spike the football on the two yard line. Their hate will propel them to vote, unlike last time. It concerns me. Plus, outright vote tapering will occur, proly is occurring. Is it even possible to eradicate that?
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Poll-inspired cockiness and its hazards 1 reply
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