The Democrats May Not Survive Callais Ruling
Posted By: gaboy, 5/4/2026 1:51:58 AM
If the title of this column seems to exaggerate the potential impact of last week’s Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, it’s probably because most political pundits have focused on its effect below the Mason-Dixon Line. But the majority-minority congressional districts that will need to be altered pursuant to the Court’s ruling are far more pervasive than most realize. Ballotpedia, using data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2024 American Community Survey, estimates that these racially gerrymandered districts account for 148 seats in the House of Representatives. This is about one third of the House’s 435 districts.
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The evening of April 21 there were a lot of smiles to be seen on the faces of Virginia Democrats. The voters of the Old Dominion had gone to the polls and approved an amendment to the Commonwealth’s constitution allowing a radically redistricted congressional map. No one was happier than Virginia’s new Democrat Governor, Abigail Spanberger, who had reversed her position on partisan gerrymandering to dramatically increase her party’s power in Congress. Like her Democrat accomplices (snip) she assumed that the challenges to the amendment under consideration by Virginia’s Supreme Court (SCOVA) would immediately collapse once “the people had spoken.”
The Democrats May Not Survive Callais Ruling
11 replies
If the title of this column seems to exaggerate the potential impact of last week’s Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, it’s probably because most political pundits have focused on its effect below the Mason-Dixon Line. But the majority-minority congressional districts that will need to be altered pursuant to the Court’s ruling are far more pervasive than most realize. Ballotpedia, using data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2024 American Community Survey, estimates that these racially gerrymandered districts account for 148 seats in the House of Representatives. This is about one third of the House’s 435 districts.
During a press conference held shortly after an armed gunman ran through a security barrier at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner with the obvious intention of shooting President Trump and other members of his administration, Fox News reporter Peter Doocy asked this question: “Respectfully, why do you think this keeps happening to you?” Trump answered, “The people who do the most, the people who have the biggest impact, they’re the ones that they go after.” And by “they,” Trump meant Democrats. He has, for obvious reasons, studied presidential assassinations and knows that all but one of the victims were Republicans.
I wouldn't say nobody. That's the problem. One side keeps playing games while the other side keeps demonstrating its seriousness.
That pattern will likely repeat itself today in Islamabad, but the US plans to let it unfold in the open so no one will get confused. Donald Trump has sent J.D. Vance again to lead the negotiations with Iran to end the war on American terms. It's not clear yet whether Vance, Steven Witkoff, and Jared Kushner will see anyone across the table, but the US will show up as the ceasefire deadline approaches:
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Black Caucus could be wiped out by redistricting wars 30 replies
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