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JP Morgan: The Recession Has Been Called Off

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Posted By: Dreadnought, 5/13/2025 7:34:57 PM

Beege's excellent post on the financial bonanza that Trump's tariffs have brought highlights one side of the story that the Pravda Media didn't expect. JP Morgan's reversal of its prediction that Trump's trade policy would usher in a recession tells the other side. All the "best people" have missed the point of Trump's moves to reshape world trade. JP Morgan's prediction that the tariffs would usher in a serious recession was not insane. Any economist will tell you that, all other things being equal, reducing the friction involved in people trading will reduce the efficiency of the market. Inefficient markets increase costs, reduce economic activity, and lead to lower growth.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: jeffkinnh 5/13/2025 7:57:49 PM (No. 1949384)
"To the extent that we tolerated unfair deals, we would acquire political capital to draw upon when we needed help. The only problem with that theory is that our trading partners rarely return the favor. " And we have been doing this for decades, getting kicked in the teeth by our "friends". So if the country is not benefitting, who is? Is it possible all these people advocating the previous policy were benefitting somehow? We have been wondering how people in Congress get so rich on a Congress person's salary? Might this be part of the answer? You also have ask, Are all the people that are fighting against what Trump is doing really that stupid? It has been VERY clear that Trump has been negotiating from the beginning. Also, that America's economic clout gives us an enormous, even an insurmountable, advantage in these negotiations. These "analysts" position seems completely ignorant of reality and positioned as a weapon. Why is that? Going forward can these people be trusted or valued? Either they are stunningly stupid or politically corrupt and deceitful. Neither is good.
9 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: snowoutlaw 5/13/2025 10:07:09 PM (No. 1949427)
It may be more efficient markets but tell that to all those very productive US workers that got reduced in favor of less productive workers in China making pennies on the dollar.
3 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: DVC 5/14/2025 12:50:45 AM (No. 1949483)
The idiots who were claiming that a recession was coming were full of beans to start with, and are now having to backtrack from their lies.
2 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: paral04 5/14/2025 8:15:11 AM (No. 1949574)
Since I am not one of the "Best People", it was clear to me what Trump was doing and it worked. Folks, it is called negotiating. He is a master at it..
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