Why the race isn't as close as you think:
With one week to go, analyst Craig Keshishian
predicts the polls are missing a hidden
voter surge
Posted By: NorthernDog, 10/30/2024 10:18:11 AM
In the final week of this 'dead heat' presidential election, I am reminded of Ronald Reagan's landslide 1980 victory. Then as now, President Jimmy Carter was polling neck-and-neck with his Republican challenger. A Gallup poll showed Carter up one percentage point nationally in late October. Only four days before the vote, a CBS News/New York Times survey showed the race to be just as close. Then the bottom dropped out of Carter's campaign - and Reagan won by nearly 10 points in the popular vote, and a staggering 489 to 49 in the Electoral College. I was a young campaign
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NorthernDog"
DETROIT — Ford Motor plans to halt production of its all-electric F-150 Lightning from mid-November until early next year to address bloated inventories and narrow losses on the pickup trucks. The automaker on Thursday confirmed the seven-week shutdown would occur at its Rouge Electric Vehicle Center in suburban Detroit from Nov. 18 until Jan. 6, including previously planned holiday downtime at the end of the year. “We continue to adjust production for an optimal mix of sales growth and profitability,” Ford said in an emailed statement. The roughly 730 hourly workers at the Michigan plant will be placed on temporary
The owner of New Jersey's largest newspaper says it will stop publishing a daily print version of the paper early next year, but its online version will continue. The Newark Morning Ledger Co. said the decision announced Wednesday was due to rising costs, decreasing circulation and reduced demand for print copies of the Star-Ledger. The company also said it will close its Montville production facility in February 2025, the same time the newspaper's print version will cease. The closing of that facility means another daily newspaper, The Jersey Journal, will cease publication on Feb. 1 after operating for 157 years.
In the final week of this 'dead heat' presidential election, I am reminded of Ronald Reagan's landslide 1980 victory. Then as now, President Jimmy Carter was polling neck-and-neck with his Republican challenger. A Gallup poll showed Carter up one percentage point nationally in late October. Only four days before the vote, a CBS News/New York Times survey showed the race to be just as close. Then the bottom dropped out of Carter's campaign - and Reagan won by nearly 10 points in the popular vote, and a staggering 489 to 49 in the Electoral College. I was a young campaign
Joe Rogan says he has shot down a podcast interview with Vice President Kamala Harris after her campaign made several demands — but insisted he hopes it can still happen. The mega-popular podcaster said the Democratic presidential nominee’s team had wanted him to travel to her and for their chat to last for only an hour. “They offered a date for Tuesday, but I would have had to travel to her and they only wanted to do an hour. I strongly feel the best way to do it is in the studio in Austin,” Rogan said in a statement on
WASHINGTON — Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump continue to be locked in a tight race in Minnesota, with few undecided voters left to boost either candidate. A new MinnPost-Embold Research poll showed Harris with a slight edge over Trump, 48%-45% in the state, a result that was virtually unchanged from Harris’ 49%-45% lead last month in a similar poll. Both results were within the poll’s 2.4 percentage point margin of error. One reason there’s no movement among Minnesota’s likely voters? Very few undecided voters remain this late in the campaign cycle; only 2% of the poll’s
Dems need to ramp up early voting efforts
to match GOP momentum in North Carolina: analyst 4 replies
to match GOP momentum in North Carolina: analyst 4 replies
The Democratic Party needs to get competitive with Republicans in battleground North Carolina to turn out more voters before Election Day, says a former political consultant from the Tar Heel State. (Snip) Mills, who worked on the direct mail team for the Democratic National Committee in 2004, identified two problems that Democrats need to address, quickly, to compete in the state: early voting and low African American voter turnout. "They [Republicans] seem to be on the right track right now. Democrats, on the other hand, need to boost their turnout. I mean, what we don't know is how people are
Michelle Obama blasts Trump in battleground
Michigan: ‘Why on earth is this race
even close?’ 11 replies
Michigan: ‘Why on earth is this race
even close?’ 11 replies
Former First Lady Michelle Obama hit the campaign trail for Vice President Harris in battleground Michigan on Saturday, blasting former President Trump and railing against what she cast as a double standard in the high-stakes presidential race. “I gotta ask myself: why on earth is this race even close? I lay awake at night wondering: what in the world is going on?” Obama told a raucous rally crowd in Kalamazoo, Mich. (Snip) Her searing remarks against the former president come as the polls show Harris and Trump neck-and-neck as Nov. 5 nears. Polling averages from Decision Desk HQ and The
Worried about Vice President Kamala Harris potentially facing a Republican-controlled Senate if she wins the White House, two Democratic strategists tell NewsNation senators are discussing an emergency plan to approve her Cabinet during a December Senate session. (Snip) To solve this issue for Democrats, strategists told NewsNation that the most extreme plan is for current Democratic President Joe Biden’s Cabinet to resign during his lame-duck Senate session. Biden would then appoint Harris’ picks, and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer would then confirm the new Cabinet with his current 51 to 49 Senate. One source, however, conceded that this might not
ST. LOUIS – Less than two weeks away from the November general election, FOX 2 has released the results of our exclusive, new Emerson College/The Hill/Nexstar poll, shedding light on where support for Missouri’s U.S. Senate race stands. (Snip) The new Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll finds that Hawley leads in support among all five candidates. Poll results reveal 50.6% support for Hawley, 40.5% support for Kunce, 1.2% support for Kline, 0.6% support for W.C. Young and 0.2% support for Jared Young. Around 6.8% of poll respondents said they were “undecided” in the Missouri U.S. Senate race. Poll results indicate
The editor of the Los Angeles Times opinion section has resigned from her post after the newspaper’s owner prevented the editorial board from endorsing a candidate for president. Mariel Garza, editor of the illustrious newspaper’s editorials, resigned in protest of the decision by Patrick Soon-Shiong, owner of the Times, to block the editorial staff from endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris.
“I am resigning because I want to make it clear that I am not okay with us being silent,” Garza told the Columbia Journalism Review in a phone interview with her former colleague Sewell Chan. “In dangerous times, honest people
Veteran pollster Nate Silver said his “gut” right now is that former President Trump will win the election in less than two weeks, but he cautioned against putting faith in anyone’s gut feeling. Silver wrote in a guest essay published Wednesday by The New York Times that calling the race a 50-50 toss-up is the “only responsible forecast,” with polls showing the race as razor-tight in all seven key battleground states that are likely to determine the outcome. But, the 538 founder added, if people press him to give an answer on who is favored, he will say Trump. “My
AURORA, Colo. — Another retail closure is coming to a troubled intersection on E. Colfax Avenue in Aurora. The Walgreens store at Havana Street and E. Colfax Avenue will close next month. Walmart shuttered its Neighborhood Market store at the same intersection in June. (Snip) The company cited "increased regulatory and reimbursement pressures" as the reason why it's closing the 10501 E. Colfax Avenue location. However, Willmann doesn't believe that's the entire story. "I hate to say this, but I think it’s shoplifting," he said. The Walmart Neighborhood Market across the street has been closed for three months. The company
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CBS News anchor Norah O’Donnell accused former President Donald Trump “and his supporters” of not giving President Joe Biden “grace” over his “garbage” remarks.
O’Donnell referred to how Trump rode on a garbage truck to his rally in Wisconsin a day after Biden described Trump voters as being “garbage.” “Former President Donald Trump was in North Carolina earlier, and tonight he’s also in Wisconsin,” O’Donnell. “He landed in Green Bay just a short time ago, and pulled, then, this campaign stunt, speaking to reporters from a garbage truck, proof that he and his supporters are giving no grace to a gaffe by President Biden, where he in his explanation, inadvertently
Days before President Joe Biden called the tens of millions of Americans who support former President Donald Trump “garbage,” Hollywood actor Robert De Niro called Trump “a piece of s***” while speaking at a rally in Pennsylvania for Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign.
“It makes me so f****ng angry that we’re here talking about a piece of s*** like Donald Trump,” De Niro said, eliciting cheers from the audience. (X Video) As Breitbart News reported, De Niro joined fellow actor Leonardo Di Caprio, along with several other celebrity elites, in an attempt to boost Harris in the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania on Saturday.
An ad that encourages women to lie to their husbands about supporting Kamala Harris is getting blasted on social media.
The ad supporting Vice President Kamala Harris, which was released by Vote Common Good, was voiced by actress Julia Roberts. “In the one place in America where women still have the right to choose, you can vote any way you want,” Roberts says. “And no one will ever know.”
In the ad, a woman wearing a bedazzled American flag hat votes for Harris. When she leaves the voting booth, her husband asks if she made the “right choice.”
President Joe Biden bizarrely bit three babies as he greeted the children of staff to his final Halloween party at the White House.
Biden - infamous for his playful interaction with children at public events - also feigned fright at the creepy costumes of his young visitors alongside his wife Jill who was dressed in a full-body panda suit.
The 81-year-old president was pictured biting the leg of a baby dressed as a turkey, chomping the toe of a child in an ice cream cone costume and nibbling at a third baby wearing a blue dress.
How Barack Obama really feels about daughter
Malia’s decision to drop her last name professionally 25 replies
Malia’s decision to drop her last name professionally 25 replies
Barack Obama shared his reaction to his daughter Malia dropping her last name for her directorial debut.
The former president said he warned her that dropping her name wouldn’t hide her connection to her famous parents.
“Her first film went to Sundance and all these fancy film festivals and she didn’t use Obama as a director on the credits,” he said during Tuesday’s episode of the “Pivot” podcast.
“I was all like, ‘You do know they’ll know who you are.'”
The Supreme Court ruled Wednesday that Virginia is entitled to remove noncitizen aliens from its voter rolls, siding with the commonwealth over lower courts less than a week out from the election.
The order comes two days after Virginia attorney general Jason Miyares filed an emergency application, requesting that the Court stay an injunction that ordered Virginia to restore some 1,600 suspected noncitizens who are ineligible to vote to the state’s voter rolls. A federal appeals court upheld the injunction on Sunday, quickly prompting the attorney general to appeal to the Supreme Court.
President Trump called on a crowd of supporters to "forgive" President Biden after he compared the former president's supporters to garbage.
"Wow. That's terrible," Trump said, invoking Hillary Clinton’s infamous "deplorable" remarks in the weeks before the 2016 election. "And then she said irredeemable. That didn't work out."
The Republican nominee called on his supporters to forgive him during a packed rally at the PPL Center in Allentown, Pennsylvania. "Garbage, I think, is worse," he said. "But he doesn't know. You have to please forgive him."
Staffers quit and 200,000 subscribers
cancel after WaPo says its role is to
report the news 24 replies
cancel after WaPo says its role is to
report the news 24 replies
The venerable Washington Post may or may not have been a force for good, but it certainly was great.
They brought down Richard Nixon for crimes that were only modest by today’s inflated standards but serious at the time. They helped lose the Vietnam War – a war that was criminal, or just, depending on your view of history, but the losing of which was certainly a tragedy for the conquered South Vietnamese and most of the rest of the world.
They won the Pulitzer Prize 76 times, and many of those times were back when the Prize rewarded true excellence.
ABC ignited a flurry of conspiracy theories after it aired what appeared to be official election results for Pennsylvania that showed Kamala Harris easily winning the key swing state — more than a week before Election Day.
The shocking result popped up at the bottom of the screen during Sunday’s broadcast of the Formula 1 Mexico Grand Prix by ABC local affiliate WNEP-TV, which services the northern part of the Keystone State.
It showed the Vice President capturing 52% of the votes, compared to 47% for Republican challenger Donald Trump, with 100% of the precincts reporting.
The White House and its media allies ran a coverup for President Biden after he maligned former President Donald Trump’s supporters as “garbage” — going so far as to edit an official transcript of his remarks, to the outrage of conservatives and other critics who called out “flat out lying” by Democrats and their allies.
Democrats went into damage-control mode Tuesday night due to the president’s trash talk, claiming that Biden hadn’t intended to demonize his party’s political opponents just seven days before voters head to the polls.
“The President referred to the hateful rhetoric at the Madison Square Garden rally as ‘garbage,’” White House spokesman Andrew Bates said in a statement.
Arnold Schwarzenegger has made a rare presidential endorsement just six days before the 2024 election.
The former Republican Governor of California - who refused to vote for Donald Trump in 2016 - announced that he will be voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.
In the shocking endorsement, the actor wrote: 'I don’t really do endorsements. I’m not shy about sharing my views, but I hate politics and don’t trust most politicians.'
Despite that, the Terminator star, 77, said that it's time for the country 'to move forward', and that 'the only way to do that is with Harris and Walz'.
ABC has sparked wild conspiracy theories after mistakenly airing election results for Pennsylvania.
The results appeared on the ticker along the bottom of the screen during a broadcast of the Formula 1 Mexico Grand Prix by ABC local affiliate WNEP-TV on Sunday.
It showed Kamala Harris taking the state with 52 percent of the votes, while Donald Trump's share was 47 percent.
It instantly prompted claims of election rigging on social media, with one person tweeting: 'The cheat is on.'
WNEP-TV said that the numbers came up on the screen in 'error' and that they had been 'randomly generated' as part of a test ahead of election night on November 5.
Comments:
I think the country has changed too much for a 1980-style landslide when Reagan won 44 states. But even a 2-point win by Trump would make Democrats melt down in tears.