Ranking the Democrats: Who has
best chance of winning nomination?
The Hill [DC],
by
Niall Stanage
Original Article
Posted By: Pluperfect,
1/2/2020 5:01:00 AM
The battle for the Democratic nomination is nearing crunch time with roughly one month left before the Iowa caucuses.
Some big-name candidates have dropped out — most notably Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) — while former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has joined the field.
Who has the best chance of winning the nomination?
1. Former Vice PresidentJoe Biden (July ranking: 2)
Biden has led national polls since he launched his campaign in April.
His advantage has eroded since then, but it is still significant. The former vice president is roughly 10 points ahead of his nearest challenger, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), in the polling averages
Reply 1 - Posted by:
dirtyjersey 1/2/2020 5:44:56 AM (No. 276242)
All of the current candidates are placeholders until Hillary steps in to “save” the party. Every demographic and geographic group is covered, but none of these candidates have realistic shot.
23 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
PChristopher 1/2/2020 6:02:00 AM (No. 276244)
A fine crop of losers. Can you imagine Bootyjudge as President? I doubt he could even find the front door of the WH without help.
10 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
WhamDBambam 1/2/2020 6:51:10 AM (No. 276256)
Better question: Who draws the short straw?
11 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
Kafka2 1/2/2020 8:04:05 AM (No. 276283)
Biden may be the best known, but age seems to have caught up with him. If elected, he would be a figurehead President with somebody else pulling the strings. It would be nice to know who that somebody would be. Possibly it would be his VP running mate, but it could be somebody hidden from view.
13 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
Bur Oak 1/2/2020 8:07:43 AM (No. 276285)
My opinion is that the Democrat nomination process is fixed. The DNC will select the nominee. The current process being played out is only for show.
27 people like this.
Just rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.
10 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
little guy 1/2/2020 8:22:38 AM (No. 276302)
Everyone needs to be aware of the loophole in the Democrat party rules. Should a nominee die or be disabled or even voluntarily step down AFTER winning the nomination at the convention but BEFORE the actual November election, then the Washington D.C. Democrat party "leaders" get to nominate the front-runner. The Vice President nominee does NOT automatically move up! This is where the devil is in the details.
Yes ... a month before the election Mooch-ele, Hitler-y or even Doom-berg could be given the nomination. Convention be damned. Some states make you keep the dead nominee as they can't change the ballot in time but those electors (remember them?) can vote in the Electoral College for the "new" guy/gal. Put nothing past the Dems!
10 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
NorthernDog 1/2/2020 8:36:14 AM (No. 276309)
I'm surprised the elder Fredo Cuomo has not jumped in. He could bumble and mumble his way to the nomination.
3 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
Mulhaven 1/2/2020 8:37:21 AM (No. 276310)
Mrs. Obama if the Democrat machine can divert the criminality of her husband.
5 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
chance_232 1/2/2020 9:05:02 AM (No. 276337)
Once upon a time, Howard Dean was sailing to the nomination until Iowa slapped him down. The resulting meltdown ended his candacy. Jeb Bush was the assumed front runner and never made it past 3rd.
If a candidate isnt running away in the polls, all bets are off.
5 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
LC Chihuahua 1/2/2020 9:15:23 AM (No. 276350)
I keep waiting to see if either Bloomberg or Steyer start gaining traction. They have been carpet bombing Florida with Ads on TV constantly. Is it like that everywhere else in the country? I can see either of them 'buying' the nomination or possibly the VP spot.
Befuddled Biden still looks to be the top contender, but mainly because the field is so weak. None of them are believable or have workable plans.
It should be a landslide for Trump in the general election, but with the way things are anymore don't bet on it. The best thing going for Trump is his own willpower. The man is driven. Will that be enough to get people to vote for him? There are many corrupt forces working against him. He cannot count on the Republican party or a fair media.
10 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
ROLFNader 1/2/2020 9:19:25 AM (No. 276353)
Further @ #3- It would be like buying a suitcase full of Lotto tickets and just tossing it in the garbage.
2 people like this.
Reply 13 - Posted by:
mathman 1/2/2020 9:35:34 AM (No. 276364)
To be at the front of a collection of nags does not make you less of a nag.
If all the current candidates really tried, they might find two brain cells to rub together. That they will actually do so is very doubtful. Remember the Hawkeye Caucii are exclusively blue-stocking Democrats who do not have to work for a living and can spend 8 PM--4 AM doing their caucus thing. This is not your average voter.
So the odds are on Bernie. It is his turn.
3 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
Dodge Boy 1/2/2020 9:38:32 AM (No. 276366)
Billary will not enter the race until Arkancide dispatches Ghislane Maxwell. Recall Billary's fetish for young women. Just a minor loose end. Right, Billary?
7 people like this.
Reply 15 - Posted by:
jeffkinnh 1/2/2020 9:51:44 AM (No. 276377)
They are all ranked as LOSERS in a imploding party. Unfortunately, 30% - 40% of voters are delusional and would vote for a dem donkey, a real one. Trump is going to win. The question is, how much of the mushy middle retains the sanity needed to vote to support the Republic? Enough for a landslide for Trump, solidly winning the House, and increasing our hold on the Senate?
4 people like this.
Reply 16 - Posted by:
bpl40 1/2/2020 9:52:10 AM (No. 276379)
It will Biden. And what's more , Joe or Hunter will make no difference.
1 person likes this.
Reply 17 - Posted by:
lakerman1 1/2/2020 11:14:34 AM (No. 276453)
I continue to believe the democrat nominee will be someone not talked about in this article.
I also can't believe that any of the candidates on the list are placeholders. Campaigning is a demanding sport - physical as well as mental. The party leaders, whoever they are, cannot give a big enough prize to a placeholder.
A better discussion would be to speculate whether any of those on the list would be selected as a vp running mate. Balancing the ticket, for a party of categories, is tricky.
Lady Lucifer, in 2016, selected an absolute dud as running mate.
DJT made a brilliant choice in Pence.
5 people like this.
Reply 18 - Posted by:
FLCracker 1/2/2020 11:32:22 AM (No. 276472)
#11, Steyr and Bloomberg are running a fair amount of ads here in Texas, too.
Do you think Bloomberg understands the appeal of a bunch of New Yorkers endorsing the mega-rich liberal mayor of NEW YORK CITY! has in Texas? "Get a rope."
(Hats off to the Pace Picante commercials of the late 1970s.)
4 people like this.
Reply 19 - Posted by:
BeatleJeff 1/2/2020 12:03:50 PM (No. 276506)
Biden as the front runner because he leads in "national polls" is as specious as PIAPS winning the election because she led the Popular Vote. It's meaningless. He is trailing in early individual primary states, and poor showings in those contests will expose him as a Potemkin Candidate. And he only leads in national polls because of the name recognition garnered from being The Won's Veep, not because of any great groundswell for his candidacy.
3 people like this.
Reply 20 - Posted by:
Grounded 1/2/2020 12:33:18 PM (No. 276538)
If I recall correctly, the dems' primaries and caucuses are not winner-take-all (any candidate that gets 15% of the vote gets a portion of the delegates) which means that there is a strong likelihood that none of these wannabes will get to the convention with a clear-cut majority of the delegates. And this time around super-delegates are barred from voting on the first ballot. Then the fun begins. Deal making; back stabbing; smoke filled rooms; garden variety chicanery and the whole spectrum of democrat depravity will be on display.
2 people like this.
Reply 21 - Posted by:
GoodDeal 1/2/2020 2:25:56 PM (No. 276610)
They all know Trump is going to win and at this point it will be a self sacrifice to be the nominee. It’s like who wants to be the first to see if the gallows works. They all have a sense of impending doom and dread knowing they just have no chance of winning. Even if Hillary pulls the football on the Charlie Brown conga line of wanna be’s even she knows it will be a two-peat major defeat even bigger than ‘16.
3 people like this.
Reply 22 - Posted by:
DVC 1/2/2020 3:38:06 PM (No. 276670)
Irrelevant.
0 people like this.
Reply 23 - Posted by:
JimBob 1/2/2020 5:09:19 PM (No. 276735)
The 'Rats don't have a 'best' candidate.
All that they have right now is a 'least bad' candidate.
As bad a candidate as Quid-Pro-Joe is, the others are ever worse.
What do the evil schemers behind the green curtain at the 'Rat party have in mind?
We KNOW they have a plan, we just do not know what it is.
Will they stage the HildeBeast swooping in on her broom to 'break the deadlock' in their pre-'brokered' convention?
Time will tell.
I believe that regardless of who the 'Rat candidate is, that President Trump will beat them (as Joe Dan Gorman says over at 'IntellectualFroglegs.com')
"Like A Red-Headed Rented Mule".
0 people like this.
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