Trump's paths (plural!) to 270 electoral votes
and victory
American Thinker,
by
James L. Swofford
Original Article
Posted By: ladydawgfan,
10/29/2020 4:58:43 AM
I recently argued that the toss-up states may be different from what media and pollsters present and what you think.
Based my view from the 2016 results, I have the race at 231 electoral votes for President Trump, 183 electoral votes for Mr. Biden, and 124 electoral votes as toss-ups. This implies that there are several paths to 270 electoral votes for a Trump victory.
The Blue Wall Falls Again
If, as in the last time, President Trump sweeps Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, he will have 277 electoral votes. This is without Trump carrying Florida or blue wall holdout Minnesota.
Reply 1 - Posted by:
SkeezerMcGee 10/29/2020 6:06:52 AM (No. 588140)
Electoral Votes for President Trump
It was 306 in 2016. It will be 326 in 2020.
10 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
worried 10/29/2020 7:16:41 AM (No. 588175)
Please stop counting chickens before they are hatched! That's what PIAPS did and she lost! So, get out and VOTE!
17 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
Toby Ten Bears 10/29/2020 7:18:07 AM (No. 588177)
Biden will get ZERO electoral votes! (How's that)?
6 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
msjena 10/29/2020 7:30:44 AM (No. 588188)
I find it hard to believe Trump will lose Florida, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio and, I hope not, North Carolina. That means he only has to win Pennsylvania to win. There are other paths, too, but this seems the most direct.
6 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
DVC 10/29/2020 10:03:52 AM (No. 588398)
I am just not going to play this 'what if game'. I didn't last time and I won't this time.
If it is fun for you play away, but I don't think we have enough info to make very useful estimates, too much intentional lying by pollsters and the Enemedia.
3 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
MorningStar 10/29/2020 10:09:24 AM (No. 588408)
From our FERVENT PRAYERFUL LIPS to GOD'S SACRED HEARING!! Amen.
3 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
hershey 10/29/2020 11:04:38 AM (No. 588511)
I want to see a blowout of 400 votes so the libs can't do any complaining....
2 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
TrueBlueWfan 10/29/2020 11:07:05 AM (No. 588515)
There is no way Pres. Trump will lose Ohio or Florida. I worry about Pennsylvania, but Biden shot himself in the foot with fracking, so it should be easier for Trump to win there now. I like the looks of Michigan and Arizona. North Carolina should come our way since their senate candidate has been exposed as a typical philandering jerk dem. I would love to see Minnesota come our way, but Wisconsin should be in Trump's column too. I think all those casino workers in Nevada would like thejr paychecks back, so I hope they will vote Trump too. Colorado, I fear, has gone to the dark side ever since they legalized marijuana.
I am optimistic that Pres. Trump will win more electoral votes, and will definitely win the popular vote but that does not mean anyone should not vote or rest until Nov. 4.
In the senate, I think we will lose Collins (ME) and RINO Gardner (CO) BUT we win conservatives in Michigan, (James), and Tuberville in AL. I think Montana could come our way, NC is safe now. Hopefully McSally can pull it off in AZ. Republicans with a net gain of 1 or 2.
4 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
swarfer 10/29/2020 11:22:10 AM (No. 588541)
Common sense tells you that the election will be similar to 2016. TRUMP is at least as popular now because he has a successful agenda. Biden is worse candidate then Hillary, no campaign visibility, not a women, fading memories of Obama, clearly elderly and hard left policy positions etc. Republican voter registration in most key states equals or exceeds Democrat registrations. Early Democratic voting trends are less favorable.
Regardless, this election is not about TRUMP no matter how the liberal media tries to spin it. It’s whether America goes radical left or retains traditional values and institutions. This is the single most compelling political issue faced by voters.
4 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
john56 10/29/2020 11:27:52 AM (No. 588553)
I feel a little better about Penna. Some reports I've read is that the Philly vote isn't turning out as strongly for Sleepy Crooked Uncle Joe than they thought. Hillary won Philly by 85-15 but some of the early intel is showing more like 74-26 Trump (could that be the increased share of black vote for Trump). I don't see Trump losing much, if any, elsewhere in the state, so all that means is a bigger margin.
But I take NOTHING for granted in 2020. The Dems, as Biden has stated, has the most extensive voting fraud organization ever developed. The one way you beat vote fraud is to get too many legitimate votes that they can't steal that many.
3 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
Strike3 10/29/2020 11:27:55 AM (No. 588554)
Enough with the polls and predictions. The Red Wave is going to wash over all of them. Even Kalifornia is not beyond the radar range.
2 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
NeverForget 10/29/2020 11:34:20 AM (No. 588561)
Even if you're in a hopelessly Blue State or a very red state, VOTE!
winning the popular vote, although meaningless from a Constitutional point of view might, and I say might, shut up some of these fools.
Also, we need to crush the Democrats all the way up and down the ballot.
2 people like this.
Reply 13 - Posted by:
vinegrower 10/29/2020 2:26:01 PM (No. 588791)
#11 I'm in California, Napa Valley. It's hard to believe that Trump could possibly win Calif but I do think that he will get a larger percentage of the vote. There are a couple of things happening here. 1- People are really angry at Newsom, the shut downs have put so many people out of business and the economy here sucks. So I don't think Biden saying he would shut everything down again goes over very well. 2- There are NO signs out for Biden and I mean none. I drive between Napa and Marin County on a regular basis and I don't even see any bumper stickers for Biden. In 2016 I saw lots of Hillary signs and even more bumper stickers. Napa is a Dem county but Marin is off the charts. They vote for Dem candidate for president at about 94%, they really do.
1 person likes this.
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