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The governor’s unscientific and misleading
COVID-19 dials

Original Article

Posted By: Ron_lfp, 5/15/2020 11:24:26 AM

On April 29, Governor Inslee released a series of dials called the “COVID-19 Risk assessment dashboard,” reflecting the data he claims to be using to make decisions about reopening the state economy. He told the reporters that he was doing this “so we can be completely transparent with Washingtonians about how we are making these decisions,” which he promised he is doing “based on data and science.” Analysis of that dashboard and the dials, however, shows this is simply not true and there are several problems. The dial settings do not match the underlying data trends. The dials are extremely imprecise, and some of the metrics the governor uses are meaningless.

Comments:

Gov. Inslee always say "data and science" over and over.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: MickTurn 5/15/2020 11:44:28 AM (No. 412006)
Cookin' Da books...er, the Charts
1 person likes this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: hershey 5/15/2020 12:05:01 PM (No. 412027)
Meaningless metrics from a meaningless guberner....
3 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: Sully 5/15/2020 1:16:51 PM (No. 412116)
Let us review: Atheists explained that religions in the Middle Ages used terror to control people by warning that, unless they heeded the clergy, they would die and go to hell. The people conformed because they were illiterate and uneducated. Scientism now controls us through terror by warning that unless we heed “the science” we will live in hell and then die. People conform because they are scientifically and mathematically illiterate. Dashboard data for covid? How 'bout a dashboard of people's personal total wealth degrading and 3rd world starvation if the lockdown continues?
2 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: TLCary 5/15/2020 1:22:56 PM (No. 412120)
Scary thing is... it didn't work. The measure we took to reduce the spread of the ChiCom Virus should have had precisely the same effect on the spread of the seasonal influenza virus. Deaths from influenza this year are about normal (and in TN, 10X more than from Corona Virus) and the rate of transmission did not drop off substantially with the lockdown. If this virus had a mortality rate of 8.0% or 80% instead of 0.8% or was dangerous to children instead of people 20 years past life expectancy with compromised respiratory systems... we would have a very serious problem with no way to address it.
1 person likes this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: bad-hair 5/15/2020 1:43:50 PM (No. 412141)
Be thankful Washington that you have such a scientific expert as governor with his comprehensive understanding of statistical analysis. He should though recall the two first principles of statistics. 1. Garbage in = Garbage out. 2. Statistics is the shortest didstance between and unwarranted assumption and a foregone conclusion.
0 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: worried 5/15/2020 3:06:07 PM (No. 412189)
Who was it said "there are lies, damn lies and statistics"?
1 person likes this.

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The governor’s unscientific and misleading
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Posted by Ron_lfp 5/15/2020 11:24:26 AM Post Reply
On April 29, Governor Inslee released a series of dials called the “COVID-19 Risk assessment dashboard,” reflecting the data he claims to be using to make decisions about reopening the state economy. He told the reporters that he was doing this “so we can be completely transparent with Washingtonians about how we are making these decisions,” which he promised he is doing “based on data and science.” Analysis of that dashboard and the dials, however, shows this is simply not true and there are several problems. The dial settings do not match the underlying data trends. The dials are extremely imprecise, and some of the metrics the governor uses are meaningless.
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