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Climate Science does about-face,
dials back 'worst-case scenario'

Original Article

Posted By: DVC, 2/11/2020 5:00:48 PM

A comment published last week in Nature, a leading scientific journal, has thrown a monkey wrench into hundreds of studies and media stories that previously predicted dire climate consequences in the future due to increased carbon dioxide (CO2) in our atmosphere. The consequences were predicted by a computer model called Representative Carbon Pathways (RCP), and the worst-case scenario model, RCP8.5, had been cited more than 2,500 times in scientific journals and in hundreds of media stories as the primary need for "urgent action" on climate. Predictions from the RCP8.5 model suggested maximum global temperature increases of nearly 6°C (10.8°F) by the year 2100, shown in Figure 1.

Comments:

The newest computer model projections 🙄 are that in 180 years the level of atmospheric CO2 will level off at around 540 ppm. The pre-industrial levels that were measured were about 335. Current levels are about 400 ppm, a 20% increase, with significant input from volcanic activity in addition to mankind's contribution.
Regardless, now their models say that CO2 will level off in about two centuries at about 1.6 times the pre-industrial level. Their "hysterical levels" (now an abandoned smoking ruin) were based on 500% increase in coal usage (ridiculous!) and claimed that CO2 would reach well over 1,000 ppm in 2 centuries.
Note that this (unattainable) 1,000 ppm is still only one tenth of one percent, not much. And yet, Teen Nag Greta tells us we only have a few more years to live.....🙄
They are nuts, and we need to continuously fight against them getting any more power.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: franq 2/11/2020 5:21:44 PM (No. 315296)
They're wrong. Occasional-Cortex gave us twelve years, and the clock's been ticking.
5 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: Northcross 2/11/2020 5:41:05 PM (No. 315316)
Solution. Blackball anybody who doesn't believe in the soon coming catastrophe.
5 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: belwhatter 2/11/2020 6:19:32 PM (No. 315355)
Excellent scientific article in Canada Free Post today about the Mankevicz [sp?] Cycles that control our weather, all the rest is bilge. Article also identifies euphemisms coined to sweeten matters too horrible to contemplate, pc stuff at its worst.
3 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Catherine 2/11/2020 6:23:35 PM (No. 315361)
I totally enjoy both Smithsonian and National Geographic magazines. I'll get a subscription to them every few years then let it lapse until I forget why I let it lapse. They both write articles that make man made global warming/climate change sound like a real thing. They throw sentences in almost every article that point to destruction here and there because of it. I won't subscribe to them again.
7 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: JediJerry 2/11/2020 6:24:25 PM (No. 315363)
Computer models are not based on reality. Nothing here. This isn’t the climate disaster you are looking for. Move along.
5 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: Plex 2/11/2020 6:31:02 PM (No. 315372)
Forgetting about papers that claim 1/10 the sensitivity based on historical studies.
2 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: bad-hair 2/11/2020 6:55:18 PM (No. 315390)
Garbage in, Garbage out. Real data in + fudge factor, garbage out. Real data in + selective graphical scaling, garbage out Any data in + political interference, garbage out with some to spare. #3 You are absolutely correct and beyond CFP some not so hard technical reading on the subject is possible. DuckDuckGo it (never Google) We are in a cooling cycle. Don't panic it will last centuries.
6 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: Lawsy0 2/11/2020 7:59:34 PM (No. 315458)
Given what we know about the ''climate people'' maybe they just got tired of being laughed at by more knowledgeable intellects. Or, maybe they were fed up being pulled around by the nose at the demands of Scoldilocks Greta. Could be that Spotted Algore found another way to get rich from their ''hard work'' and just said to H E double hockey sticks to the entire project.
2 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: chumley 2/11/2020 8:54:50 PM (No. 315502)
From junior high on, every year we had to study some kind of science. Some years it was physics, some years chemistry, still others biology. The years I hated were climate science/ecology. Nothing was concrete. There were so many unknown variables it was impossible to predict anything with any certainty. Everything was "might" or "could", and very little "will". It wasn't even a real science.
5 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: DVC 2/12/2020 3:13:22 AM (No. 315718)
#4, I had a 30+ year subscription to Nat Geo, which I started in HS. When they got a new editor and he wrote in his first "From the Editor" column about how he was going to change the focus of the articles to explaining about MMGW and it's importance......I sent a note to cancel my subscription. I have never looked back. Similarly, we used to subscribe to Smithsonian let it lapse permanently when their MMGW bias became just too much to enjoy the magazine any more. I really miss the Old Nat Geo, it was a really fine magazine. I started gettting it for the detailed space coverage with amazing photos, and enjoyed the rest of the articles and photos, too. I once had the opportunity to spend an hour discussing photography the Nat Geo way with a Nat Geo photog doing research on our hybrid vehicle program in the early 70s. An interesting guy, and he had amazing travel stories. But they have ruined all of that.
2 people like this.

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