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Polls find Trump leading
Biden in four battleground states

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Posted By: MissMolly, 10/31/2020 4:56:17 AM

A new round of polls this week from the Trafalgar Group has President Trump leading Democratic presidential nominee Joseph R. Biden in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Michigan, showing Mr. Trump’s 2016 path to victory has not yet been upset. The two candidates are also in an incredibly tight race for Wisconsin, according to a recent survey conducted by Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster for Trafalgar Group. Mr. Cahaly has been described as one of the most accurate pollsters from the 2016 election, and he is now warning about a “hidden Trump vote” not accounted for in other polls.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: DCGIRL 10/31/2020 5:42:21 AM (No. 590371)
I pray that it ends well. I'm not feeling safe about this entire thing. I never saw so much interference with an election in my entire life. The democrat governors are making up their own rules, just like they did with COVID. I hope this is a lesson for everyone.
22 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: jeffkinnh 10/31/2020 6:24:57 AM (No. 590391)
It will be messy, like the hearings were for Barrett. The dems will be extreme and make fools of themselves. But in the end we won. We won because we had an excellent candidate even though the Left/dems/media saw her as "***** Nut". The public, after seeing and hearing Barrett in the hearings, approved of her 51 - 28, about 65%. 21% of respondents are brain dead and had no opinion (equate this to the people who don't bother to vote and therefore don't count). This also went well because Republicans had the votes locked up ahead of time and Graham made it pretty clear that a repeat of the Kavanaugh debacle would NOT be allowed. If the polls say that Trump is pulling even, it is VERY likely he is WELL ahead. Trump's general approval is in the good range for reelection. Trump is demonstrating his energy and enthusiasm and drawing large, happy, eager to vote crowds. Biden is drawing tiny crowds, swamped by Trump supporters that are honking their car horns and generally harassing him. His "supporters" are hemmed in weird white circles. Biden is planning to "Mobilize ‘Trunalimunumaprzure’", you know, "the thing". Most days his whole campaign has lidded by noon. Biden's whole campaign is surreal and the media is in full panic chasing him around with a pooper scooper and generally making fools of themselves. Our best way to cut to the chase is to VOTE! An overwhelming victory will quickly quash dem idiocy, even ballot fraud, and Hillary can grab a chardonnay and go back to the woods to scream at squirrels, BO can go back behind his fenced in property and work on his next book that no one will read, Nasty can hand over her gavel and eat ice cream, Chuckie can slink back into obscurity, and the pack of Leftist nuts can whine into the shadows or be arrested and jailed.
22 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: Califedup 10/31/2020 7:10:31 AM (No. 590405)
We have to prepare for the worst case scenario which is the election is stolen and the democrat communists take total control over the government by theft, suppression, and fraud. It is incredible that any half way rational citizen could ever vote for Biden/Harris or any other democrat for that matter. So what do we do if President Trump is forced out of office by the power mad totalitarians? They will come for our guns, our homes, our cars, our food, our ability to have medical treatment and that's just a start. How to we resist this takeover at the local and state level and restore our Republic? There will be no compromises possible with these deadly enemies. They hate us and will destroy us if we let them. So how do we win? Fair and honest elections are a thing of the past. Do our Governors in the red states band together and declare a new government based on our constitution and initiate a Second Civil War? Do we mobilize our National Guard to march on Washington? Will our military blindly obey the communists in power? We must Prepare for the Worst and Hope for the best. We cannot meekly submit. If that filthy, corrupt, senile Traitor Biden and the equally repulsive Harris get elected I will not accept them as President and I will not meekly submit without a fight. I will resist to my dying breath. It has come to the point that anyone who votes for a democrat is a traitor to this country and their neighbors. Pray for a Trump and Republican Victory on Tuesday. It is our only hope for saving our country and our way of life without a bloody struggle..
16 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Daisymay 10/31/2020 7:48:24 AM (No. 590432)
I check Trafalgar every day. IBD/TIPP is my second stop! The other polls are a waste of time. Real Clear Politics always leans to Biden. I go right to the two pollsters who got it right in 2016. It keeps my spirits up! I watch the Trump Rallies and see tens of thousands showing up at every stop, then I read polls that tell me Trump is losing by a lot! Doesn't make any sense. So, I just don't pay attention to them any more. Go straight to the Two who know how to project, and so far, they project Trump is on his way to a win!
14 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: udanja99 10/31/2020 8:15:19 AM (No. 590460)
But, but, but, some leftist pundit on Fox yesterday said that early voting was favoring Fingers 3 to 1! I look for Fingers to cancel his election night fireworks on Sunday.
6 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: KatieJo 10/31/2020 8:25:00 AM (No. 590470)
I'm trying not to get my hopes up, only because of the massive fraud, but I've noticed more of these stories as election day draws nearer. Seems like a good sign.
5 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: SkeezerMcGee 10/31/2020 8:33:07 AM (No. 590476)
Prediction: President Trump is going to win Florida by at least 500,000 votes. In 2016 he won Florida by only 112,290 votes. In 2016 he lost Dade County by 290,147. He is winning big in Dade County. In 2016 he lost Hillsborough County (Tampa area) by 41,026. He wiling big in Hillsborough County.
9 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: bpl40 10/31/2020 8:33:40 AM (No. 590477)
#4, reports like RCP work only if the polling is honest. Then various polls will err on opposite sides and cancel each other out. RCP was designed with this in mind. There was a time when it worked. 2016 showed that all polls make a 'mistake' in the same direction. Averages are not just useless, they are deliberately misleading. people who run RCP are otherwise honest professionals. I wonder why they insist on doing this.
4 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: Dodge Boy 10/31/2020 9:07:56 AM (No. 590502)
This is it. God Almighty, please help us on Tuesday and save the United States of America, as founded.
24 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: 49 Ford 10/31/2020 9:52:38 AM (No. 590575)
AMEN! to that, # 9.
8 people like this.

Reply 11 - Posted by: MDConservative 10/31/2020 10:36:22 AM (No. 590645)
The last gasp is coming for the Biden poll numbers. We will witness another miraculous swing toward PDT...or the pollsters will be laughed out of business. I doubt anyone is printing "Biden Defeats Trump!" headlined newspapers, although someone ought to for a Trump photo.
3 people like this.

Reply 12 - Posted by: hershey 10/31/2020 11:12:34 AM (No. 590698)
If they find he is 'leading', you can bet he is kicking Slo Jo's behind...TRUMP! 2020 Crawl over broken glass to vote for him...some 'pollwatcher' tries to keep you out, steamroll them...seems like the Black Panthers tried that some elections ago...won't see it out here in 'flyover' country though...too bad...I keep wearing my Trump hat and face mask hoping, hoping, but no one has said anything other than 'I like that' or a thumbs up...but then in a county of 40.000 I've seen only ONE Biden sign...set waaaaay off the road behind a brick wall....
1 person likes this.

Reply 13 - Posted by: Starboard_side 10/31/2020 11:57:22 AM (No. 590751)
Interestingly, Biden is running lots of commercials on TV in the Los Angeles market. Isn't California a lock for the Democrats? Why would they bother spending money in CA like that at this late stage?
1 person likes this.

Reply 14 - Posted by: SkeezerMcGee 10/31/2020 12:09:53 PM (No. 590775)
Biden is running ads in California because of down ballot candidates and the popular vote. 2016 votes: Clinton: 8,753,788 (61.73%) Trump: 4,483,810 (31.62%).
2 people like this.

Reply 15 - Posted by: stablemoney 10/31/2020 12:53:00 PM (No. 590821)
Trump is leading in every one of the battleground states, and will take all of them. I think Trump will get more electors from some of the blue states, because they thought it would be better to have proportional electors. I think Trump is going to get a lot more blue state votes, because there are a lot of unsatisfied people in those states.
3 people like this.

Reply 16 - Posted by: kono 10/31/2020 12:56:51 PM (No. 590824)
It helps me to process these reports if I replace "polls" with "liars". Then I can avoid being jerked around by the media into a bipolar wretch, based on whether my side seems to be ahead or behind on any given day. Most polls are total crap, and it's almost impossible to spot which aren't, except in hindsight.
1 person likes this.

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