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The Fog of Prewar in Iran

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Posted By: FlyRight, 1/19/2026 5:26:50 PM

Everyone knows about “the fog of war.” What about the fog of prewar? There are a lot of similarities. In the fog of war, you can’t trust media reports, in part because the media have been fed disinformation by government sources and in part because much of the media is partisan, incompetent, or both. The same is true in the fog of prewar. There is lots of disinformation, oodles of partisan reporting, impatient jockeying for position, precedence, and “the scoop.” But the distorting miasma of prewar exhibits something else: irritable impatience. “Why aren’t the authorities doing something? Where are they?”

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Reply 1 - Posted by: mifla 1/20/2026 4:08:19 AM (No. 2057493)
I now think that all the talk of the Iranian leaders packing their bags of gold and heading for Russia was a bit of wishful thinking. The clerics still have the backing of the military and the military has no problem eliminating the protesters.
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The Fog of Prewar in Iran 1 reply
Posted by FlyRight 1/19/2026 5:26:50 PM Post Reply
Everyone knows about “the fog of war.” What about the fog of prewar? There are a lot of similarities. In the fog of war, you can’t trust media reports, in part because the media have been fed disinformation by government sources and in part because much of the media is partisan, incompetent, or both. The same is true in the fog of prewar. There is lots of disinformation, oodles of partisan reporting, impatient jockeying for position, precedence, and “the scoop.” But the distorting miasma of prewar exhibits something else: irritable impatience. “Why aren’t the authorities doing something? Where are they?”
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