Posts on Friday, August 7, 2026

Yesterday I took a stab at why the pollsters were so far off on the Michigan Senate race. I think it was a pretty good first stab at explaining the issue, and no doubt there will be a lot of focus on the issue by people more competent than I to explain how the pollsters got things so wrong. So I asked my friend-through-X, Scott Rasmussen, what he thought, and he was kind enough to give some insight into the issue. First, let's look at the magnitude of the problem: The polls weren't just off by a little; they missed the result by double digits. And it was everybody,

Hello, this is Victor Davis Hanson for the Daily Signal. We’re hearing more and more every day about Iran and [President Donald] Trump as the midterms now are only about 90 days away. (Snip) So the narrative has emerged that Donald Trump promises to hit them hard, they back down, and they say they want talks. They do not want talks. They want to delay, delay, delay, delay. Donald Trump then sporadically hits them. They come back to the table. (Snip) So, what’s going on? What’s the big picture? I think we’re missing what’s actually happening every day.