Analysis: Election Remains Close, But
Biden Still Favored Despite Debate Abomination
Posted By: Dreadnought, 7/13/2024 1:33:06 AM
An analysis of the 2024 presidential election by FiveThirtyEight found that while the election was close, President Joe Biden was still favored to win, despite his poor debate performance. FiveThirtyEight found that Biden was favored to win the November presidential election “50 times out of 100,” whereas former President Donald Trump was favored to win the presidential election “49 times out of 100.” The predicted outcomes were a result of FiveThirtyEight’s “simulations of the 2024 presidential election.” Out of 1,000 simulations, FiveThirtyEight found that Biden won 505 times, while Trump won 491 times.
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In prime-time address, Biden warns of
election-year rhetoric, saying ‘it’s
time to cool it down’ 6 replies
election-year rhetoric, saying ‘it’s
time to cool it down’ 6 replies
WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden warned Sunday of the the risks of political violence in the U.S. after Saturday’s attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump, saying, “It’s time to cool it down.”
In a prime-time national address from the Oval Office, Biden said political passions can run high but “we must never descend into violence.”
“There is no place in America for this kind of violence — for any violence. Ever. Period. No exception. We can’t allow this violence to be normalized,” Biden said.
Biden spoke for about five minutes from the Oval Office. He noted that the Republican National Convention was opening in Milwaukee on Monday,
Stick a fork in Joe Biden. He's done.
After the recent turmoil his party went through after the debate, which significantly damaged his candidacy and prompted calls for him to drop out, Democratic strategists who spoke with NBC News on Sunday say that now the failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump most certainly was the true end of his hopes of getting reelected.
"We're so beyond f---ed," lamented a longtime Democratic insider, emphasizing that the image of Trump thrusting his fist in the air, blood dramatically smeared across his face, will be an unforgettable image between now and Election Day.
There's going to be an investigation into the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. There are already big questions about how a shooter was able to get up on a roof within reach of the president, when all the roofs should have been checked out and secured.
Trump was shot in the ear, rally attendee Corey Comperatore was killed after he bravely shielded his wife and daughter from the bullets, and two others were critically injured. (Happily, those two people are now reportedly in stable condition.)
We reported how people were warning about the "guy on the roof" before he fired any shots. There was this upset witness,
The bullet came within inches, maybe millimeters, of Trump’s cranium. Instead, the would-be sniper caught Trump's ear, leaving the former president bleeding profusely, pumping his fist as the Secret Service whisked him to safety.
Israeli Special Operations veteran Aaron Cohen said that it was but one tiny movement that saved Trump’s life:
Hours after the incident, Cohen told Fox News' Trace Gallagher that, if the former president had not turned his head when the shot was fired, he would not have survived.
"God must have been watching down on the president," he said.
"Snipers are typically trained to shoot into the cerebral cortex
The FBI says that the attempt to shoot Donald Trump is being investigated as a potential act of domestic terrorism, adding that the shooter acted alone and had no known ideology.
“We are investigating this as an assassination attempt, but also looking at it as a potential domestic terrorism act,” Robert Wells, assistant director of the FBI counterterrorism division, tells reporters.
The gun used in the attempted assassination was an “AR-style 556 rifle” that was purchased legally, FBI Special Agent Kevin Rojek tells reporters.
Watch: Late Again, Biden Speaks on Trump
Assassination Attempt, Signals No Accountability Coming 12 replies
Assassination Attempt, Signals No Accountability Coming 12 replies
Joe Biden was scheduled to give an update on the attempted assassination of Donald Trump on Sunday, but he kept the nation waiting, as has become his pattern. He showed up nearly an hour late to deliver just a few minutes of remarks before exiting the room without taking questions.
The president opened by denouncing all violence, saying there is "no place" for it in America. Biden then quickly dove into urging caution about assuming a motive. Nothing is more mind-numbing than when government officials play dumb about a motive because the truth is politically inconvenient. A man did not try to shoot Trump in the head
Dominic wrote on the long list of failures by the U.S. Secret Service over recent decades, but when it comes to the assassination attempt on Donald Trump, one question in particular rises above them all: How did they allow a shooter to get on a roof that was in striking distance of Trump?
There are other questions that have been raised. Why did the counter-sniper team appear to wait until the shooter fired at Trump before taking him out? Why didn’t police and Secret Service react more quickly to numerous people who were shouting at them for minutes that a gunman was crawling on a nearby roof? Why
Explosives were found in the car of would-be Trump assassin Thomas Matthew Crooks after he was killed in a failed attack on the former president during a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, according to multiple reports.
Crooks, 20, of Bethel Park, Pennsylvania was identified by the FBI as the man responsible for shooting Trump and numerous rally attendees in Butler, Pa. The shooter’s car was parked near Trump’s rally, and police dispatched bomb technicians after receiving multiple reports of suspicious packages, the Wall Street Journal first reported.
Former First Lady Melania Trump, in her first remarks since the assassination attempt on the life of her husband, Donald Trump, said that “the fabric of our gentle nation is tattered,” while she called for a more humane approach to political discourse that has gotten increasingly toxic.
“We have always been a unique nation,” Trump wrote in a message posted on her X/Twitter account. “America, the fabric of our gentle nation is tattered, but our courage and common sense must ascend and bring us back together as one.” She wrote that “when I watched that violent bullet strike my husband, Donald, I realized my life, and Barron’s life,
The nation escaped an unspeakable tragedy that would have been profoundly destabilizing for the country by perhaps a few centimeters.
As it is, what happened in Butler, Pa., is godawful enough. A gunman tried to assassinate former president Donald Trump and grazed his ear with a bullet, while killing one rally-goer and seriously injuring others. This was a heinous act of violence and an attack on American democracy.
Trump’s reaction was truly extraordinary and will long be remembered. After Secret Service officers threw themselves on the former president and then picked him up to begin to take him to safety, he insisted on pausing on the stage
The gunman who attempted to assassinate former President Donald Trump Saturday was identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks, sources told The Post.
Crooks, of Bethel Park, Pa., squeezed off shots — one of which grazed Trump in the ear — at an outdoor rally in Butler, just outside Pittsburgh.
Sources said Crooks was planted on a roof of a manufacturing plant more than 130 yards away from the stage at Butler Farm Show grounds. He was killed by Secret Service snipers. An AR-style rifle was later recovered.
Bethel Park is a village 40 miles south of where the Butler rally was held.
Why Crooks fired on the presumptive Republican presidential nominee is unclear.
How do I know that the reports over Democrat despair are credible? This one comes from Politico, but the New York Times has covered it wall-to-wall for the past two weeks as well. This isn't just conservative schadenfreude, but a real phenomenon unfolding on and being reported by the Left.
Before we get to Politico's more explicit report, we can certainly extrapolate establishment Democrat despair from this NYT report about Joe Biden's appearance in Michigan. He drew a crowd, but not any other high-ranking Democrat officeholder:
Conspicuously absent, however, were many of Michigan’s highest-profile Democrats, including Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, whose popularity
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Gunfire appeared to erupt at former President Donald Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania while he was speaking on stage. People in the crowd could be heard screaming as Secret Service Agents crowded Trump and rushed him off the stage. Trump appeared to grab his ear in the moments before he was taken to the floor by the Secret Service. He was heard asking for his shoes as the guards rushed him away. Trump was seen pumping his fist as he was rushed to a car by Secret Service. Soldiers in military gear were seen rushing into the rally.
President Trump was shot on Saturday at his rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Firearms expert Larry Johnson confirmed to The Gateway Pundit: ** The shooter was likely outside the venue, ** The shooter was on the right side of Trump, ** This was not a pistol used by the shooter, ** Likely a 22 Long Rifle – likely semiautomatic, ** The 22 Long Rifle is effective up to 200 yards, ** It appears no one else was shot on the stage, ** The audience was looking to their right after the shots were fired. ** Bullet was in a deceleration range
Law enforcement officials admitted it was “surprising” how the gunman was able to get so many shots off in the attempted assassination on former President Donald Trump before he was taken out by Secret Service snipers.
During a press conference early Sunday, officials from the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Pennsylvania State Police deferred several questions about security to the Secret Service — who were notably absent.
When asked if he was surprised at the number of shots the gunman was able to take at a former president, Kevin Rojek, special agent in charge of the FBI’s Pittsburgh field office, said:
The gunman who attempted to assassinate former President Donald Trump Saturday was identified as 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks, sources told The Post.
Crooks, of Bethel Park, Pa., squeezed off shots — one of which grazed Trump in the ear — at an outdoor rally in Butler, just outside Pittsburgh.
Sources said Crooks was planted on a roof of a manufacturing plant more than 130 yards away from the stage at Butler Farm Show grounds. He was killed by Secret Service snipers. An AR-style rifle was later recovered.
Bethel Park is a village 40 miles south of where the Butler rally was held.
Why Crooks fired on the presumptive Republican presidential nominee is unclear.
President Joe Biden on Saturday evening said there was no place for 'sick' political violence in America and said he was grateful that former President Donald Trump was safe.
He addressed the media about two hours after shots were fired at Trump during a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. There's no place in America this kind of violence, it's sick. It's sick,' he said. 'It's one of the reasons we have to unite this country.
The president said he was trying to reach Trump, who is believed to be in a hospital near the rally site. He said the investigation was ongoing and he steered clear of giving a definitive assessment
I was boarding a plane from Los Angeles back home to Philadelphia when the news hit that former President Donald Trump had been injured during a rally in Butler, Pa. The details were sketchy, but the responses online and on the plane were already wild — and entirely predictable. [SNIP] But the only response here isn’t to make Trump a god or a goat: It is to declare, once and for all, that we will finally stop pledging our allegiance to guns more than to one another.
An analysis of the 2024 presidential election by FiveThirtyEight found that while the election was close, President Joe Biden was still favored to win, despite his poor debate performance.
FiveThirtyEight found that Biden was favored to win the November presidential election “50 times out of 100,” whereas former President Donald Trump was favored to win the presidential election “49 times out of 100.” The predicted outcomes were a result of FiveThirtyEight’s “simulations of the 2024 presidential election.” Out of 1,000 simulations, FiveThirtyEight found that Biden won 505 times, while Trump won 491 times.
Flashback: J6 Chairman Bennie Thomspon
Proposed Revoking Donald Trump's Secret
Service Protection 28 replies
Proposed Revoking Donald Trump's Secret
Service Protection 28 replies
Former and potentially future President Donald Trump was shot at his rally in Butler County in Pennsylvania on Saturday night, an incident that could have been much worse had Trump turned his head a different way. Secret Service agents quickly sprang into action to escort him off of the stage and to safety. In light of such serious news, it's worth reminding that Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-MS), who was chairman of the January 6 Select Committee, just months ago introduced legislation to deny presidents who were convicted of felonies. Trump was ultimately convicted of 34 charges in New York City on May 30.
The FBI says that the attempt to shoot Donald Trump is being investigated as a potential act of domestic terrorism, adding that the shooter acted alone and had no known ideology.
“We are investigating this as an assassination attempt, but also looking at it as a potential domestic terrorism act,” Robert Wells, assistant director of the FBI counterterrorism division, tells reporters.
The gun used in the attempted assassination was an “AR-style 556 rifle” that was purchased legally, FBI Special Agent Kevin Rojek tells reporters.
An eyewitness at the Trump rally in Pennsylvania claims he saw a man with a rifle on a rooftop. He said he warned authorities but was ignored.
"We couldn't see [Trump], but we could hear him. So we walked up probably five to seven minutes from Trump speaking—I'm estimating here, I've no idea. But we noticed the guy crawling, bear-crawling up the roof of the building beside us, fifty feet away from us. So we're standing there, you know, we're pointing, we're pointing at that guy crawling up the roof."
"He had a gun, right?"
On July 8, CNN reported that while defending his campaign in a video call with top donors, President Joe Biden said:
“We’re done talking about the debate. It’s time to put Trump in the bull’s-eye. We can’t go another day, another day, without explaining what he’s doing, and we have to go after him.”
Five days later, someone apparently took Biden up on his word and tried to assassinate Donald Trump at a campaign rally north of Pittsburgh.
On Monday, during an appearance on “Morning Joe,” President Biden used violent rhetoric about Donald Trump.
“It’s time to put Trump in the bullseye,” Biden said.
Earlier this evening, Trump was shot at during a rally in Pennsylvania. As my colleague, Rick Moran, wrote earlier today:
For years, Republicans have been told their rhetoric leads to violence. Sarah Palin put a bullseye on the congressional district of Rep. Gabby Giffords. The "crosshairs" were not placed on Giffords. They were placed on her district on a map.
After Giffords was shot by a mentally unstable person, Democrats blamed Palin for the attack. School shootings, mass casualty events, and almost any act of violence