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Can we finally stop listening to election pollsters?

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Posted By: Skinnydip, 11/15/2022 9:33:21 AM

A New York Times poll revealed that the Democratic candidate was leading the Republican candidate, 44 to 38. Another New York Times poll, taken days before the election, showed the candidates were running about even nationally. The results were horribly wrong. For New York voters, the Republican candidate won 47 to 44. Nationally, the candidates were far from even. The Republican defeated the Democrat 51 to 41. This wrong prediction was from 1980 and the presidential election between President Jimmy Carter and then-Republican nominee Ronald Reagan, and it's indicative of the unreliability of polling.

Comments:

It's pretty bad when weather forecasters are more accurate than pollsters.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: wilarrbie 11/15/2022 9:43:09 AM (No. 1333810)
Huh. Ya think mebee tryna bushwhack the public?
0 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: NorthernDog 11/15/2022 9:52:32 AM (No. 1333816)
Seems like throwing darts at a board is about as accurate. In some states like Georgia they were close - Kemp won by 8 and Herschel/Warlock are basically tied. But Arizona was way off. States that turn a blind eye to ballot harvesting seem to be the biggest ''surprise'' in favor of Dimmiecrats.
2 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: Attila DiMedici 11/15/2022 10:30:31 AM (No. 1333840)
It is hard to predict elections. First you have to predict how many voters will vote for each candidate. Then you have to figure out how many votes the Democrats will manufacture to make sure their candidate will win. Further complicating that is figuring out which races the Democrats will decide that they can leave to the actual votes in order to make it appear that elections are actually on the up and up.
4 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: janjan 11/15/2022 10:32:03 AM (No. 1333844)
The polls weren’t necessarily inaccurate. The vote counts were.
5 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: Daisymay 11/15/2022 10:53:23 AM (No. 1333861)
I think the Pollsters were RIGHT! It's the corruption in counting the Ballots that throws off what SHOULD have been a fair Election. The Pollsters were probably right on Target for a Red Wave! Unfortunately, in the Democrat States only Democrats are allowed to win!
3 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: earlybird 11/15/2022 11:44:17 AM (No. 1333921)
And please,please retire Kellyanne Conway. Droning away on every Fox program.
4 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: kono 11/15/2022 12:46:24 PM (No. 1333959)
In the spectrum of disinformation, you've got lies, damned lies, statistics, and poll reports. There is an art to getting others to think you are collecting their viewpoint, when you are actually trying to manipulate their viewpoint. Yet another way that our news media push a narrative more than report the news.
0 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: Luandir 11/15/2022 12:59:22 PM (No. 1333967)
I think it's worse than inaccuracy. I suspect many pollsters (possibly a majority) of vote suppression favoring Democratic candidates, by varying their samples from the actual makeup of the eventual voting population. Rush used to say that polling firms, as the election approached, shifted to a more accurate forecast, in order to claim that they'd gotten it right. This year the final forecasts showed an unusual number of near-dead-heats. Forgive me for being suspicious, but that could (a) cover for a fudged outcome, and (b) still allow the pollsters to claim they were as accurate as possible.
0 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: MickTurn 11/15/2022 5:03:56 PM (No. 1334219)
For sure, they only say what they are PAID TO SAY!
0 people like this.

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