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Hurricane Ian forecast to hit Florida's
west coast as Category 3 storm

Original Article

Posted By: DVC, 9/27/2022 2:16:18 PM

Hurricane Ian is expected to hit Florida's west coast late Wednesday as a Category 3 storm, officials said. "The National Hurricane Center is now predicting that landfall will be Venice in 35 hours, at 125 mph ... making it a major, Category 3, landfalling hurricane," Kevin Guthrie, director for the Florida Division of Emergency Management, said at a press conference Tuesday morning. Tampa and St. Petersburg had appeared to be among the most likely targets for their first direct hit by a major hurricane in a century. But the latest path projection means Ian is now expected to hit further south along the coast.

Comments:

Family in north central Florida is ready, generators tested, fresh fuel. This one is looking to be one of the worst for north central Florida in at least 10-15 years. Track predictions have landfall about Sarasota, then to Orlando, then up over Jax. The coast around Sarasota and Tampa Bay area will be getting the worst of it.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: FL_Absentee_Voter 9/27/2022 2:26:43 PM (No. 1289208)
A college buddy who fled Tampa yesterday said this one is potentially worse than Camille in '69. At least Florida has the right man in charge.
7 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: DVC 9/27/2022 2:50:21 PM (No. 1289226)
Seeming like my family in north central Fla will likely only see 50-70 mph winds and lots of rain. The coastal areas around Sarasota, and Venice will be getting the worst of it, and it looks like running right over Lakeland, sideswiping Tampa while still fairly powerful. This is a more sparsely populated part of Florida, once you leave the coastline.
4 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: mobyclik 9/27/2022 4:30:09 PM (No. 1289298)
I'm about 20 northeast of Tampa and they're forecasting 10-12'' of rain. Hope they're wrong with their forecasting, again.
4 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Hazymac 9/27/2022 4:43:22 PM (No. 1289307)
We're in Evacuation Zone A in upper Pinellas County, and should get out before the worst of it hits. Tomorrow I'll head to a motel 20 miles north for two nights, and return on Friday. The power will probably be off, but we've had to deal with that before. Forecasters are predicting that Hurricane Ian will make landfall in the Cedar Key and Venice area. That's terrible for those who live there, but what we were fearing was a direct hit up Tampa Bay, which would have affected a lot of locals at low elevations, especially along miles of the Hillsborough River. That might not happen now, but for the next two days we are going to have wind and rain galore. Try to stay dry. One never knows what these storms will do. Be prepared.
5 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: Rather Read 9/27/2022 5:05:00 PM (No. 1289322)
#1 my aunt and uncle went through Camille and even though they lived all their lives in New Orleans and went through a lot of storms, they said that was the worst.
3 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: Hazymac 9/27/2022 5:58:13 PM (No. 1289379)
Correction: Not Cedar Key, but Siesta Key, south of Sarasota. The latest 5 PM tropical update moves the expected landfall a bit farther south than the 2 PM update, but I'm not going to count on that, and plan to vamoose from Evacuation Zone A for two days. Odds are it won't hit me, but anything can happen. I won't mess with it. Taking no chances.
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Reply 7 - Posted by: Penny Spencer 9/27/2022 6:22:16 PM (No. 1289396)
Haven't posted here in ages, but had to chime in. I too am in North Pinellas, on CR 1. Preparing to head for my church which is on higher ground (for Florida!) in a non-evacuation zone. Packing up the fur babies and essentials in order to leave by 7. I love living in Florida, but this is a giant pain. Praying for minimal loss of life and property.
3 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: ladydawgfan 9/27/2022 8:22:23 PM (No. 1289517)
Just south of the Jax Beach area checking in. We have sandbags in front of the doors, food set in, empty water bottles to fill and lanterns and radios all batteried up and ready to go. We are far enough away from the beach that we don't need to evacuate, according to the automated phone message that I received this evening. I saw someone on the news who said that if this is your first hurricane, mimic your long established neighbors who have done this before. If they are getting sandbags, get sandbags. If they are setting in water and groceries and lanterns, do the same. And most important, if they are bugging out for the duration, pack a bag and your pets and valuables and follow them out of town!! Thankfully, around here folks are clearing off porches and patios and staying put.
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Reply 9 - Posted by: DVC 9/28/2022 1:14:45 AM (No. 1289709)
Swinging west, will significantly lower the winds that my relativesin north central Fla will get, perhaps peaks will now only be 50-60 mph for them. That will help a lot. When it looked like tracking right up the St. Johns river from Lake George, that would have been pretty bad. Now aiming for other relatives in Savannah area, but as a tropical storm, at least. I hope U99 and her family will be OK there.
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