Early voting trends show Democrats
falling short in 3 of 4 battlegrounds
Hill [Washington DC],
by
John Pudner
Original Article
Posted By: NorthernDog,
10/27/2020 2:04:16 PM
Polling indicates Joe Biden and the Democrats will win big. However, Democrats are falling short of the edge they need in early voting to offset the Republicans’ anticipated big edge in election day voting in three of four battleground states where data is available.If pollsters adjusted to fix 2016 mistakes, the RealClearPolitics average in each state shows Biden winning 341-197 and Democrats taking control of the Senate. This grid shows a middle scenario, that state polling averages are just as far off as in 2016, that would add Wisconsin, Iowa and North Carolina to the Trump column, still leaving Trump
Reply 1 - Posted by:
2assume 10/27/2020 2:13:33 PM (No. 586404)
I am a republican. I registered as a democrat in the primary. I voted for President Trump. How many registered Democrats do you think will vote for President Trump?
In regards to drop box and mail-in ballots. Try to follow up on verification of your vote.
I checked to see if my vote was received. It was but my husbands (registered republican) did not show up until the third time we checked. I suggest if possible check to make sure that your vote has been received.
10 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
Mizz Fixxit 10/27/2020 2:16:14 PM (No. 586408)
OP, I hope you are right. If President Trump wins, I am prepared to laugh at the democrats as they scream about Russia and voter suppression. Democrats are predictable. They should not be so predictable.
5 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
BeatleJeff 10/27/2020 2:16:42 PM (No. 586409)
I am so tired of lazy reporters writing articles based upon the RCP Average of polls. Taking a bunch of crappy, biased polls and averaging them all together doesn't make them anymore believable.
14 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
chance_232 10/27/2020 2:18:45 PM (No. 586410)
All of this early prognostication assumes that every dem votes fpr Biden and every republican votes for Trump.
We already know that Trumps party support is at least 10 points higher than Biden's support. So....you have to wonder, how much of that early democrat vote is actually going to vote for Biden? What about election day? Are Trump supporting democrats also waiting for election day?
9 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
ronniethek 10/27/2020 2:19:35 PM (No. 586411)
I hope these buttholes keep drinking the kool-aid. They will again be surprised come election day and thereafter. RED WAVE COMING.
9 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
Jesuslover54 10/27/2020 2:54:14 PM (No. 586468)
Already subtly conceding defeat.
3 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
anniebc 10/27/2020 3:08:43 PM (No. 586493)
Why do they torture themselves so?
3 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
Fireboy 10/27/2020 3:48:01 PM (No. 586537)
Riots in Philly sure aren’t going to help the Dems on Election Day. Also post election prediction- Trump gets 20% AA vote and Democrats will push for Voter ID laws.
2 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
DVC 10/27/2020 3:49:16 PM (No. 586538)
I am starting to believe more firmly that Trump will be re-elected.
I really hope that the primarymodel.com is right. He has predicted Trump 362 EC votes. Perhaps this could actually happen.
Praying.
6 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
john56 10/27/2020 4:02:50 PM (No. 586553)
The shock to me is the absolute lack of a Democrat "ground game." The days of "walking around money" and "retail politics," which to give the devil its due, was a hallmark of Democrat politics went away once Hillary Clinton and her egghead metrics folks took over. The consultant class has decided that the money spent for "walking around money" is better spent on their wise and sage advice (plus the "fees" they add to all their media and cyber buys).
It's the Republicans who are playing with the ground game. Gee, next thing you'll tell me is a bunch of rap stars are voting for Trump.
3 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
Timber Queen 10/27/2020 4:23:28 PM (No. 586579)
I'm as confident of Trump's victory as I was in 2016. I'm even optimistic for a 50 state landslide. Here in northern California the presence of Biden bumper stickers or displays are minimal, no where near the Hillary! pubic support. People are sick of Governor Gruesome and the lockdown BS. Our state reps pictures will soon be on milk cartons. There aren't even signs for local offices or for congress. I'm not sure what the subdued atmosphere portends; a silent Trump vote or Dems who decide to not participate. Either way its bad news for the Dems. California Trump supporters are fired up. Southern California is hosting some massive car rallies and there was a boat parade on San Francisco Bay. There are millions of California conservatives that gave up on voting decades ago and finally have a champion.
Yesterday we did a Trump group in Ukiah, the Mendocino county seat. We had six men, three were in their 30's, and I was the only woman. We stood on the sidewalk in front of the Redwood Fairgrounds on State Street...the main drag. We had a truck with a trailer with a HUGE "Trump" sign, and five USA & Trump/MAGA flags on poles behind us, plus three of the guys waving flags on the street. We looked bigger than we were. I had my TRUMP sign I waved at the headquarters last go-around. TK waved our TRUMP flag. We were there from 5-6pm. We all agreed that there was more positive reaction, and less negative reaction, than in 2016. I noticed a lot of young people, 20s-30s, giving a positive response including lots of young women. One truck with an older couple came back around again to thank us for being out there. Many people videoed us with their phones. We may do it again on Saturday and try to round up more alumni from 2016. The Big Red Wave will include California and every commie controlled state. The mandate will overwhelm their shoddy attempts at voter fraud. All their other schemes from ACME have failed, why do we believe their vote fraud will?
MAGA - Its for all 50 states or it ain't worth a damn.
8 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
HotRod 10/27/2020 6:27:54 PM (No. 586688)
A better idea would be for pollsters to compare President Trump's rallies to those of Biden. Much more reliable.
1 person likes this.
Reply 13 - Posted by:
udanja99 10/27/2020 6:34:25 PM (No. 586695)
OP nails it. Demonrats are falling short already and most Republicans have not voted yet.
4 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
DVC 10/27/2020 7:17:40 PM (No. 586750)
Thank you for the report from my birth state, #11, and thank you for doing that bit of campaigning.
Let's hope that this turns out in our favor.
No complacency....make sure everyone gets out to vote.
2 people like this.
Reply 15 - Posted by:
crashnburn 10/27/2020 7:29:53 PM (No. 586762)
I believe President Trump will beat Sleepy, Sniffy, Corrupt, Hidin' Biden like a rented DemoniKKKRat, that is mule.
And, not all of the early votes are cast in stone. A few states allow do-overs, and since Hunter's laptop has revealed the tip of massive corruption, there's a lot of inquiries about changing votes.
So, I'd say that the early DemoniKKKRat votes aren't all that secure
1 person likes this.
Reply 16 - Posted by:
JoElla Bee 10/27/2020 7:46:15 PM (No. 586779)
Drove over to my county seat and voted early today. Poll worker said the early turnout was not massive, but quite good and steady. Was gratified to see lots of Trump/Pence signs and Trump 2020 signs. No Biden signs.
1 person likes this.
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The Dems have no ground game for election day. If they don't run up the score early they will be overwhelmed with the GOP tidal wave on Nov. 3.