Nate Silver’s Latest Shows
Biden Is Headed for
a Very Bad November
Red State,
by
Scott Hounsell
Original Article
Posted By: Dreadnought,
9/3/2020 7:50:52 PM
Nate Silver, the popular statistician and data geek who publishes his predictions for political outcomes throughout the country has released some new findings for the November Presidential Election and the news for Team Biden isn’t great. In fact, they are downright bad. In 2016, Clinton won the national popular vote by just over 2.8 million votes or 2.1%. Her enthusiasm rating was just 12 points behind Trump at this same time in the election (early September) in 2016. Polls found that of Trump’s base, 58% were enthusiastic about voting for the now-current-President versus just 46% of the same voters for the now-defeated Clinton. In other words
Reply 1 - Posted by:
EQKimball 9/3/2020 8:07:42 PM (No. 530731)
From his lips to God's ears.
15 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
bad-hair 9/3/2020 8:09:31 PM (No. 530732)
Biden's campaign staff are way way overpaid. When your winning strategy is hide in the basement and attempt to stitch together a somewhat coherent recording it ain't working. Trying to put off the first debate before the early voting starts ain't working either. And if your "message" amounts to coming out days, or weeks after Trump does something to say "If you elect me I'll do that" really really ain't working.
11 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
jeffkinnh 9/3/2020 8:46:08 PM (No. 530750)
"Biden continues to respond to Trump as opposed to blazing his own trail of narrative."
Biden is not capable of blazing a trail and even if he were, he has nothing to do it with. Biden's time with BO was a failure marked with deep scandal. The dem party hates America but is asking the Americans they denigrate for their votes. It is an insane strategy, Trump instead offers a vision of pride in America and in Americans and a bright future. And when Trump speaks, it is clear than he is absolutely sincere. It's not a political game. As much as is practical, Trump is trying to get the government out of the way of the success of We the People and before the virus mucked things up, it was working.
11 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
MindMadeUp 9/3/2020 9:07:22 PM (No. 530760)
But Biden's enthusiasm rating among dead voters is at about %99.9.
7 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
Shadow722 9/3/2020 9:11:07 PM (No. 530761)
Just to be clear, the entire 2.1% margin that Hillary "won" the popular vote by came from just one state, California. She lost the the combined total of votes from all the other 49 states, the District of Columbia, and the US Territories by 1.5 Million Votes......
10 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
anniebc 9/3/2020 9:41:51 PM (No. 530781)
First of all, hitlery did not win the popular vote; stop perpetuating that lie. Second, people are enthusiastic about voting for President Trump. Only leftists want to see a biden win, because it's a leftist win. Biden means nothing to them.
6 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
Urgent Fury 9/3/2020 9:48:08 PM (No. 530785)
Did he predict Hitlery in '16?
6 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
Trigger2 9/4/2020 1:00:04 AM (No. 530860)
My version is that thousands show up for Trump and 2-3 people for the pervert Joey.
0 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
DVC 9/4/2020 3:44:47 AM (No. 530937)
#7, actually Hellary did win "the popular vote"....but "the popular vote" is a fiction, a made up construct of no value, no interest, no significance whatsoever in the American presidential election process.
We vote by STATE, for electors and those electors go to the physically fictional, but otherwise very real, and very important, Electoral College to cast their votes....BY STATE.
There is absolutely no significance of "the popular vote" made up by adding together all the individual votes.
And the reason that Hellary won the fictional popular vote is that she was up some three million votes in California. I'll bet that there were about three million illegal alien votes in California - and that illegals put Hellary in the position of "winning the MEANINGLESS and fictional popular vote".
To the "won the popular vote" folks, the proper response, is "So what? It isn't real and means nothing."
3 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
Daisymay 9/4/2020 8:45:34 AM (No. 531099)
Weird Nate had Egg on his face in 2016 when he predicted Hillary would have a huge win over Trump. Right to Election Day! Then Trump won! I followed him every day and he had me so depressed with his polls. Then Trump won!! After that I never went to his site again. I"m sure he doesn't want to go down again just so he can prop up Biden. Biden is not Hillary! Nate will tell the truth this time! Biden won't like it!
0 people like this.
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