The Man who Correctly Predicted President
Trump’s 2016 Win Predicts President Trump
has a 91% Chance of Being Reelected in 2020
Gateway Pundit,
by
Joe Hoft
Original Article
Posted By: ladydawgfan,
7/3/2020 1:28:46 AM
Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University told Lou Dobbs on August 16th, 2016, that Donald Trump had an 87% chance of winning the 2016 Presidential election.
Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stoney Brook University.
His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.
We reported that his 2016 forecast rested on a model that tracks cyclical movements in American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle.
Reply 1 - Posted by:
DVC 7/3/2020 2:07:15 AM (No. 465089)
Sounds good, but I will still be working and sending money.
NO time to relax.
85 people like this.
Reply 2 - Posted by:
OBX Pete 7/3/2020 5:59:30 AM (No. 465136)
I don't Know how Professor Norpoth can predict a win without knowing and figuring in the extent of the fraudulent votes that will be cast. This kinda' reminds me of Dr. Fausi's predictions which were based on nothing and were constantly wrong. I predict that this will be the most fraudulent election ever (based on the dims past actions) but I hope I am wrong. Happy fourth to all !!!!!
41 people like this.
Reply 3 - Posted by:
DCGIRL 7/3/2020 6:38:03 AM (No. 465161)
I don't trust models!!!! We must act as if President Trump is losing. Do not let down your guard!!!
62 people like this.
Reply 4 - Posted by:
fhancock 7/3/2020 7:01:31 AM (No. 465190)
I made a contribution to the President's campaign on Tuesday and put my two Trump/Pence signs up yesterday...this election is between the Party of Lincoln and freedom versus the Party of Slavery and marxists...I'm betting freedom wins
44 people like this.
Reply 5 - Posted by:
Rinktum 7/3/2020 7:57:53 AM (No. 465250)
I hope this guy is correct but we must work like President Trump is 20 points behind. One thing I think we can all predict, the democrats intend to do anything to win this election. They will cheat and then cheat some more. My hope is that every American who has been angered by the handling of this pandemic, the absolute lawlessness and the violence that we are witnessing will go to the polls and vote straight Republican. We must deny democrats any victories. The message sent by the electorate must be loud, clear, and incontrovertible. Americans have rejected the failed Godless Marxist philosophy and have chosen freedom from tyranny and government oppression and, once again, embraced the right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Now more than ever, Trump 2020!
42 people like this.
Reply 6 - Posted by:
reefdiver 7/3/2020 8:10:53 AM (No. 465270)
OK folks, it won't happen unless we all go and VOTE. So do it!
32 people like this.
Reply 7 - Posted by:
Dodge Boy 7/3/2020 9:20:34 AM (No. 465358)
Great to hear. But, not relaxing. Not for a millisecond. Still making contributions to the campaign and talking it up with people every chance I get. What to do about voter fraud.
MAGA/KAG/KMAGA
Trump/Pence 2020
21 people like this.
Reply 8 - Posted by:
HotRod 7/3/2020 9:21:58 AM (No. 465360)
Yes, the democrats will commit all the voting fraud they can get away with, and maybe some they don't. They know that, if democrats win, they would just get a slap on the wrist with a wet noodle. We, the patriots of all colors who love America, must turn out and vote in such numbers that we can overcome the fraud.
15 people like this.
Reply 9 - Posted by:
Dodge Boy 7/3/2020 9:22:41 AM (No. 465362)
And the rallying cry should be, "America or Amerika!".
15 people like this.
Reply 10 - Posted by:
Arby 7/3/2020 9:49:31 AM (No. 465396)
Reassuring, but continue to pray, to work, to speak out and to be at the polls the moment they open.
15 people like this.
Reply 11 - Posted by:
bigfatslob 7/3/2020 10:44:25 AM (No. 465475)
Democrats are going to turn out 130% in all districts cheating will be over the top it's why President Trump has to win bigly and yuge.
19 people like this.
Reply 12 - Posted by:
kdog 7/3/2020 11:47:07 AM (No. 465593)
I PRAY there is a RED WAVE on November. There is so much craziness going on to hurt America, but most law abiding citizens ARE NOT going to take to the streets. Hopefully they go express their outrage and dismay at the ballot box.
13 people like this.
I predict that Joe Biden will vote for Trump because he will forget his own name by November
9 people like this.
Reply 14 - Posted by:
Captain Howdy 7/3/2020 12:19:58 PM (No. 465648)
Trump 2024.
8 people like this.
I would agree with the professor as to the outcome of an honest vote. However, the Dhimmis will never permit an honest vote. In Wisconsin, for example, the Dems have prevented by court action the purging of tens of thousands of names from the voting rolls. These names remain even though the people attached to them have filed a Change of Address form with the Postal Service or they have registered to vote in another state or city. The Dems want Absentee Ballot applications mailed to every name on the voting rolls. Those applications will be filled out and returned by "vote harvesters" working for the DNC.
7 people like this.
Veterans for CIC Trump 2016
Veterans for CIC Trump 2020
Truth...Justice...The American way of Life
FOUR MORE YEARS!
MAGA!
KAG!
8 people like this.
Conservatives, keep your powder dry.
7 people like this.
Reply 18 - Posted by:
Submariner 7/3/2020 6:55:39 PM (No. 466081)
Fight like you're losing and be relentless.The probability to corrupt the vote was maximized during the Obama regime, and it failed. The main takeaway from Mr. Norpoth's model prediction is what we know instinctively - enthusiasm. His measurement of this essential element has been accurate.
But fight like you're losing and your family is at stake and do not give up until the Beast is dead.
2 people like this.
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