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Coronavirus likely to kill 81K in
US over next four months,
study warns

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Posted By: AltaD, 3/27/2020 1:58:36 PM

The coronavirus is likely to kill more than 81,000 people in the US over the next four months — but the death toll could be twice that if precautions like social distancing are relaxed too soon, according to an alarming new study. Deaths from the contagion are largely expected to peak in the second week of April — later in states where the spread (Snip) an analysis by the University of Washington School of Medicine forecasts.The final death toll is unlikely to be less than 38,000 nationally and could be as high as 162,000 — with the team predicting the most likely number to be 81,114 deaths.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: Bona Fides 3/27/2020 2:01:13 PM (No. 359974)
Let’s have a few more studies. One is not enough.
25 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: F15 Gork 3/27/2020 2:04:25 PM (No. 359980)
That’ll give the Dems 81,000 more voters come November...
39 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: jimincalif 3/27/2020 2:06:51 PM (No. 359983)
Big scary numbers without context are not helpful. CDC say 80,000 people died of flu in the 2017-18 winter. It was apparently the highest in 40 years, but we did not stop the world for it. https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/cdc-us-flu-deaths-winter/
32 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: MattMusson 3/27/2020 2:07:22 PM (No. 359985)
Ideally, we would continue a lockdown of the country. But, Americans are not going to stand for it. So, we are going to have to re-open areas where there are not current hotspots. And, we need to basically give out Hydroxychloroquinine like it is the morning after pill.
13 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: PlayItAgain 3/27/2020 2:07:47 PM (No. 359986)
Studies have show that 60% of all studies are wrong.
47 people like this.

Reply 6 - Posted by: Turninggrey 3/27/2020 2:17:48 PM (No. 360003)
60% of the time it works everytime.
11 people like this.

Reply 7 - Posted by: spacer 3/27/2020 2:18:10 PM (No. 360004)
Change the name of this china flu to seasonal flu and not one person would be any the worse off.
16 people like this.

Reply 8 - Posted by: greggojo 3/27/2020 2:19:48 PM (No. 360008)
I think we will know far more in two weeks, depending on what happens in New York. Right now, I am just not seeing the numbers being forecast in the more pessimistic predictions, and that includes, (although God know, they're likely lying) from Wuhan in particular and overall in China. Also, Mexico (although their reporting could be very inaccurate/incomplete) is reporting very few cases, which might mean, the coronavirus is a cold weather virus, and might decline soon (and might come roaring back in the fall). Meanwhile, note that with all the naysayers in the press (and the governor of Michigan), New York hospitals are using the anti-malaria drug combined with an antibiotic, that President Trump spoke about (which triggered the usual Leftist hysteria, they hate optimism and good news). In regard to New York, as the media is busily promoting Cuomo (since it's becoming clearer that Biden ain't gonna go the distance) the media are just as busily suppressing the fact that it was Cuomo who declined to purchase 16,000 ventilators in 2015. New York's lousy preparedness and failure to protect their residents is New York's fault, i.e. Cuomo's and deBlasio's.
15 people like this.

Reply 9 - Posted by: skacmar 3/27/2020 2:28:50 PM (No. 360018)
How many is this compared to the flu every year? If this were not a Presidential election year with a Republican incumbent, COVID-19 would have been passed off as another flu like virus going around this winter, would have been mentioned on the news for a week or two never to be heard of again.
22 people like this.

Reply 10 - Posted by: Rama41 3/27/2020 2:34:23 PM (No. 360023)
The Atlantic today says COVID-19 could kill as many as 2.2 million Americans. Guess who's fault they say it is? Right. Hope Dr. Birkx addresses these "studies" today as she did yesterday.
11 people like this.

Reply 11 - Posted by: AltaD 3/27/2020 2:38:07 PM (No. 360024)
I should have noted that I didn't post this to be a scaremonger. I posted in the hopes Lucianne's readers would provide the common sense the report left out.
10 people like this.

Reply 12 - Posted by: MindMadeUp 3/27/2020 2:40:47 PM (No. 360026)
um, wait... 81 K, either plus 81 K or minus 42 K ?? What kind of prediction has a margin of error larger than its lowest estimate? This "study" basically tells us nothing.
11 people like this.

Reply 13 - Posted by: jimincalif 3/27/2020 2:47:26 PM (No. 360031)
Re #10 and the Atlantic's 2.2 million report. This comes from the same source that originally predicted 500,000 for the UK. But they've just revised the UK number down by 96% to 20,000. The MSM is selling clicks and eyeballs with big scary numbers, both to make money and get Trump, regardless of the consequences to the country. (excuse the 2nd post)
13 people like this.

Reply 14 - Posted by: zzzghy 3/27/2020 2:48:01 PM (No. 360033)
The final death toll is unlikely to be less than 38,000 nationally and could be as high as 162,000 — with the team predicting the most likely number to be 81,114 deaths. Likely, could, might, maybe, possibly...
6 people like this.

Reply 15 - Posted by: Urgent Fury 3/27/2020 2:56:04 PM (No. 360041)
They keep doubling down.
6 people like this.

Reply 16 - Posted by: jeffkinnh 3/27/2020 2:57:58 PM (No. 360043)
How about a little common sense math? We are at about 250 new deaths a day and that value is leveling off. 250 * 120 days (4 months) = 30,000 deaths, quite a bit less than 81,000 "likely" deaths. Further, most countries show a significant slowdown in the number of deaths starting around 30 days after deaths started being reported, probably as awareness spreads, social isolation is put into effect, treatment stabilizes, and some herd immunity is established. If that pattern holds for the US it will likely be LESS than 30,000 deaths, hopefully significantly less. So many of these studies are garbage in, garbage out and no common sense tests applied to the output. Fear mongering is NOT helpful.
9 people like this.

Reply 17 - Posted by: anniebc 3/27/2020 3:05:18 PM (No. 360049)
Or not.
5 people like this.

Reply 18 - Posted by: qr4j 3/27/2020 3:11:07 PM (No. 360051)
Hitler Stalin And the American Left . . . all hoping/pushing for DEATH.
9 people like this.

Reply 19 - Posted by: unionriverman2316 3/27/2020 3:14:04 PM (No. 360053)
The same cast of culprits continue to spread the message from the DNC. The Atlantic is so bad that even critically short of toilet paper.....I would not use it! My contempt for them knows no bounds.
6 people like this.

Reply 20 - Posted by: Doc1 3/27/2020 3:22:19 PM (No. 360065)
I don't believe it.
5 people like this.

Reply 21 - Posted by: RuckusTom 3/27/2020 3:23:01 PM (No. 360068)
Wasn't it supposed to kill that many by today, two weeks ago?
10 people like this.

Reply 22 - Posted by: Safari Man 3/27/2020 3:33:06 PM (No. 360075)
How many of that 81,000 people would die anyway due to their pre-existing conditions? Maybe 80,000?
8 people like this.

Reply 23 - Posted by: Nimby 3/27/2020 3:47:02 PM (No. 360085)
What a bunch of hooey
5 people like this.

Reply 24 - Posted by: Namma 3/27/2020 3:58:11 PM (No. 360095)
They must have the dr, working with Gov. DeWine doing the statics on this study. She came out and told Ohioans that 100,00 people in the state would die of this virus. The following week she had to back track. Stop with the "this is going to happen" and scaring people. Its a stupid thing to do.And certainly doesn't help people be positive.
5 people like this.

Reply 25 - Posted by: DVC 3/27/2020 4:08:51 PM (No. 360108)
If true, it will be around twice the average annual deaths from common flu.
4 people like this.

Reply 26 - Posted by: His_Highness 3/27/2020 4:09:54 PM (No. 360111)
Aww, it's just another flu. That's what they keep saying. I don't believe it is another flu, but that's what a bunch of supposedly smart people keep saying.
0 people like this.

Reply 27 - Posted by: Chuzzles 3/27/2020 4:17:01 PM (No. 360116)
I do know that the model Fauci has been basing his advice on has been scaled way back because people are not cooperating by dying like the Brit Twit has predicted. I have long been suspicious of the media, I think they will have no problems adding regular flu victims to inflate the CV virus numbers if enough people don't cooperate by dying.
13 people like this.

Reply 28 - Posted by: LadyHen 3/27/2020 4:32:49 PM (No. 360127)
But okay, the veracity of studies aside... let's take this one as gospel truth for the sake of argument. 80,000 deaths while tragic is a bad flu season. And remember, we have a flu vaccine and medicines known to effectively combat flu AND YET tens of thousands still die. We have little to nothing to fight this Chinese virus and it kills the same number. So, by my reasoning the Chinese virus is less dangerous to the vast human cohort than a really bad flu season. What am I missing here?
6 people like this.

Reply 29 - Posted by: JediJerry 3/27/2020 5:09:01 PM (No. 360155)
Or not. Brought to you by the same predictors that said the planet is doomed to destruction due to man-made climate change in twelve years.
6 people like this.

Reply 30 - Posted by: red1066 3/27/2020 5:09:28 PM (No. 360156)
Didn't we just have a story about the Chicken Little forecast from some British doctor forecasting over two million people in the U.S. dying from this virus? Why should we believe this?
5 people like this.

Reply 31 - Posted by: KevinSeattle 3/27/2020 5:56:14 PM (No. 360192)
Liars. Fear mongerer!
4 people like this.

Reply 32 - Posted by: Strike3 3/27/2020 7:47:23 PM (No. 360314)
Likely, unlikely, could be... I go with what Donald Trump always says "We'll see what happens." If we can keep New Yorkers, Californians and New Orleans people in their own nests, the numbers won't come anywhere near that prediction but there seems to be a lot of dummies out there.
2 people like this.

Reply 33 - Posted by: BGray2 3/27/2020 10:06:27 PM (No. 360402)
FTA "The coronavirus is likely to kill more than 81,000 people in the US over the next four months" Which would make it a little more deadly than the regular Flu which annually kills between 60,000 ND 75,000 in the US, but we will not be able to know the truth of that prognostication until the middle of summer and the economy is thoroughly trashed just in time for the election. What a coincidence.
2 people like this.

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The coronavirus is likely to kill more than 81,000 people in the US over the next four months — but the death toll could be twice that if precautions like social distancing are relaxed too soon, according to an alarming new study. Deaths from the contagion are largely expected to peak in the second week of April — later in states where the spread (Snip) an analysis by the University of Washington School of Medicine forecasts.The final death toll is unlikely to be less than 38,000 nationally and could be as high as 162,000 — with the team predicting the most likely number to be 81,114 deaths.
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The coronavirus is likely to kill more than 81,000 people in the US over the next four months — but the death toll could be twice that if precautions like social distancing are relaxed too soon, according to an alarming new study. Deaths from the contagion are largely expected to peak in the second week of April — later in states where the spread (Snip) an analysis by the University of Washington School of Medicine forecasts.The final death toll is unlikely to be less than 38,000 nationally and could be as high as 162,000 — with the team predicting the most likely number to be 81,114 deaths.
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