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New Projection:
Romney 52, Obama 47

Weekly Standard, by Fred Barnes

Original Article

Posted By:Drive, 10/29/2012 9:04:32 AM

The bipartisan Battleground Poll, in its “vote election model,” is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent. The poll also found that Romney has an even greater advantage among middle class voters, 52 percent to 45 percent. While Obama can close the gap with a strong voter turnout effort, “reports from the field would indicate that not to be the case, and Mitt Romney may well be heading to a decisive victory,” says pollster Ed Goeas.

      


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Reply 1 - Posted by: grayjay, 10/29/2012 9:11:16 AM     (No. 8971094)

Please let this be true! Only one more week. Watch for the dirty tricks.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: NorthernDog, 10/29/2012 9:13:08 AM     (No. 8971100)

Yeah but - I keep reading that Obama will win the electoral college - even if it's a 60/40 Romney advantage. /s off

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Reply 3 - Posted by: MisterDickens, 10/29/2012 9:14:05 AM     (No. 8971103)

So Politico and UPI say OBAMA "retakes" the lead over Romney in the Battleground Poll. Which is it?

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Reply 4 - Posted by: pineledger, 10/29/2012 9:16:24 AM     (No. 8971114)

FTA: According to the poll, Romney is viewed favorably by a majority of independents (59 percent), seniors (57), married voters (61), moms (56), college graduates (54), middle class voters (56), and middle class families (61).

Re: the electoral college. If Obama's a shoe-in there, why does he say he favors its abolition?

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Reply 5 - Posted by: Blackeagle, 10/29/2012 9:34:32 AM     (No. 8971164)

One thing that has occurred to me that I haven't seen mentioned elsewhere: The electoral college outcomes are estimated using state polls while the popular vote is estimated using national polls.

National polls are published multiple times daily while state polls are done much less frequently - on average once a week if that. When a candidate is rising in the polls the newer polls will pick that up - while the state polls - dominated by weeks-old polling - will not fully reflect that.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: FunOne, 10/29/2012 9:50:01 AM     (No. 8971208)

Romney is well aware of the 47%.

Amazing what kind of loyalty a vast amount of "free" cell phones can generate.

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Reply 7 - Posted by: philemon1967, 10/29/2012 10:01:04 AM     (No. 8971236)

The mainstream media is no longer content to report the news. They want to be kingmaker too. If Romney wins by a small margin, you can be sure that the mainstream media will use all its influence to keep Barack in the White House by pointing out all the polls where Barack was ahead with their D+x% skewing.

If Fred Barnes is right, the MSM may not be able to do as much, and they will settle back into their normal routine of nitpicking everything that President Romney does.

What hypocrites!



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Reply 8 - Posted by: J F Ackerman, 10/29/2012 10:03:18 AM     (No. 8971243)

Pray this be true. "Coming in on a wing and a prayer."

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Reply 9 - Posted by: BaseballFan, 10/29/2012 10:19:02 AM     (No. 8971277)

Yes, by all means, pray.

But work, too. Join a local 96-hour victory effort. Don't sit back and do nothing and then wonder what happened.

Go find three people who either won't vote or are (!) undecided.

"Trust God to move your mountain, but keep digging."





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Reply 10 - Posted by: chrisrenegar, 10/29/2012 10:34:53 AM     (No. 8971339)

Also, I don't care how many threats these trashy democrats and black thugs make, go ahead, make our day. We are going to win regardless of your electric immaturity and when it's done, hopefully you'll be met with a lethal force you haven't ever cared to dream of. I'm done with these people. Get the lying king out of America's house now!

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Reply 11 - Posted by: mickturn, 10/29/2012 11:03:25 AM     (No. 8971451)

The dirty tricks have been going on since the beginning...foreign donations to the O campaign by not checking the origin of the ccards, voter fraud using mail in ballots and foreign citizens and who knows what else. These criminals need to not only get kicked out but put in prison!

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Reply 12 - Posted by: GoPack, 10/29/2012 12:53:24 PM     (No. 8971883)

This is the gold standard of polls. Plus, it correlates with a bunch of other stuff: some Romney person said yesterday on this week with George Uglypuss that they would win 53-47. Obama has been at 47 in nearly every poll taken forever. Rove said last week "look at the incumbent's number on the last poll, as that's what he'll end up with on election day." Romney hasn't bothered hitting Obama on Benghazi because he doesn't have to. Obama has been acting like he's behind because he is. Let's just hope Sandy doesn't change anything!

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