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Obama Walloped On
Intrade Early In Debate

Business Insider, by Henry Blodget

Original Article

Posted By:Photoonist, 10/4/2012 12:40:06 AM

Mitt Romney got the better of President Obama in several early exchanges in the first presidential debate, and Obama's Intrade odds reflected it. Obama began the debate with just under a 71% chance of winning reelection. After 50 minutes of sparring, his odds had dropped to 67%. (See right edge of chart. Click here for the latest odds.)

Comments:
0bama was down to 65% a while ago. Intrade takes a while to plummet, it's not like FaceBook.

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: killerbee, 10/4/2012 12:45:36 AM     (No. 8908168)

I have been suspicious of Intrade this time around. It's seemed as cooked as the polls. I mean, what's to stop a campaign from investing heavily in itself?

Good to see some people were paying attention, though. Hopefully that will turn around and -- if there was something shady going on -- it will work itself out as extra cash is no longer so easy to come by.

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Reply 2 - Posted by: horacer, 10/4/2012 12:47:11 AM     (No. 8908172)

An Obama flash crash? Where's fat fingers.

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Reply 3 - Posted by: Bubbasuncle, 10/4/2012 12:48:35 AM     (No. 8908176)

Better yet, Romney is up .87cents!

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Reply 4 - Posted by: chance_232, 10/4/2012 1:16:13 AM     (No. 8908229)

When InTrade became common knowledge, I stopped paying attention too it. Any clown with a few bucks to spend can do so.....and the dems love to skew polls.....and its the clown party.

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Reply 5 - Posted by: 66Strat, 10/4/2012 2:37:20 AM     (No. 8908390)

This thing is probably skewered by Soros. Would be a lot cheaper for the Dems to bet here than buy expensive TV time. Even if it were to swing to Romney, my guess is it's in no way representative of the voting public.

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Reply 6 - Posted by: Malia2012, 10/4/2012 9:00:55 AM     (No. 8909277)

What #4 said.

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Washington - Early returns on Tuesday in what is anticipated to be a dead even presidential election contained no surprises, as CNN projected President Barack Obama will win his home state of Illinois and eight other races while Republican challenger Mitt Romney will win nine states. All races called so far went as expected after the roller-coaster ride of an election campaign that was buffeted by a superstorm and missteps on both sides. Obama and Romney ran dead even in final polls that hinted at a result rivaling some of the closest presidential elections in history, reflecting the deep political

   

 

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As expected, the presidential race is tight in Ohio, where the polls just closed: President Obama is winning women 55 percent to 44 percent in the early CBS News exit poll, while Mitt Romney is leading 52 percent to 46 percent among men. Women made up 51 percent of the electorate, compared to 49 percent among women. Thirty-nine percent of voters so far identified themselves as Democrats, compared to 30 percent calling themselves Republican. Thirty-one percent identified as independent or something else, and Romney has a big edge among this group - 56 percent to 40 percent for Mr. Obama.

   

 

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