A Message From Lucianne  







S-G1




























ST-GC



        
 

 
Home Page | Latest Posts | Links | Must Reads | Update Profile | RSS | Contribute | Register | Rules & FAQs
Privacy Policy | Search | Post | Contact | Logout | Forgot Password | Search Using Google


  Topic: Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst)
in the 2012 Presidential Race
Change your user profile.
If you are having trouble posting, please take the time to register.
Your User Name :
Your Password
  I forgot my password
Your Reply  :
Preview Reply     Post Reply
Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst)
in the 2012 Presidential Race

New York Times, by Nate Silver

Original Article

Posted By:congaree53, 11/11/2012 9:15:12 AM

As Americans’ modes of communication change, the techniques that produce the most accurate polls seems to be changing as well. In last Tuesday’s presidential election, a number of polling firms that conduct their surveys online had strong results. Some telephone polls also performed well. But others, especially those that called only landlines or took other methodological shortcuts, performed poorly and showed a more Republican-leaning electorate than the one that actually turned out.

Comments:
Both Rasmussen and Gallup had a "Dewey Beats Truman, moment.

      


Post Reply  

Reply 1 - Posted by: wendybird, 11/11/2012 9:28:08 AM     (No. 9006823)

Which polls predicted the 140% of the population turnout in Florida? That would be more interesting.
http://www.slcelections.com/Pdf%20Docs/2012%20General/GEMS%20SOVC%20REPORT.pdf




  Click Here if you Like this Comment

   1  person like this.


Reply 2 - Posted by: lakerman1, 11/11/2012 9:40:40 AM     (No. 9006853)

Voter fraud was subtle, but existed, in 2012. And the negro church vans run to the polls had a significant impact on a close election.
The symbol for the president zero second term is that toothless black woman from cleveland, on that video that went viral.
The founders would have wept.

  Click Here if you Like this Comment

    2 persons like this.


   

 

R-G1
  
R-VAR_AD


 
Reply 3 - Posted by: PageTurner, 11/11/2012 10:49:50 AM     (No. 9007013)

Remember this thread? Remember how Mike Flynn wrote that IBD was in bed with Obama with its undoutedly biased leftwingpolls? And how readers fretted that IBD was damaging its brand name with these dreadful polls too?

http://lucianne.com/thread/?artnum=708171

Wonder what Mike Flynn thinks now.

  Click Here if you Like this Comment

    2 persons like this.


Reply 4 - Posted by: chance_232, 11/11/2012 1:26:12 PM     (No. 9007330)

I dont doubt that the early polls were cooked. Remember, polls are used to influence public opinion and generate news.

Which leads to the following observation: We here have been living in a bubble. Look at the news sources that are most often posted here. The majority come from places like Briebart and or are opinion pieces from conservative commentators. News or opinions from other sources are put up where they are mocked. Dont forget....ABCCBSNBCMSNBCPBSNPRCNN are influencing for more people than FOX and Briebart. While I believe the MSM is biased, majorly, for the socialists, we need to understand their opinions to better address the idiocy.

  Click Here if you Like this Comment

   1  person like this.



Post Reply   Close thread 711570




Below, you will find ...

Most Recent Articles posted by "congaree53"

and

Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)




Most Recent Articles posted by "congaree53"



Carville: Days ahead for
Dems not so dark
The Hill, by James Carville    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 2/6/2014 1:53:02 PM     Post Reply
When one has retired from the ranks of American domestic political consulting, as I have, you are not really allowed to just quit. You become emeritus, of counsel, senior status and God knows what. Basically your role becomes one of trying to talk active participating democratic consultants to not, as current politics would have it, “jump off the bridge.” There appears in both public and private to be more than usual pessimism and gloom about Democratic chances in 2014. Allow me to point out the following facts — yes, facts, not opinions. Last week’s Washington Post/ABC News poll found that fewer than

CNN/ORC Poll: Majority say
Obama´s policies will fail
CNN, by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 2/4/2014 10:24:29 AM     Post Reply
Washington (CNN) – President Barack Obama´s approval rating has edged up a bit since the end of last year, according to a new national poll. But a CNN/ORC International survey also indicates the number of Americans who hope that his policies will succeed has dropped 12 points since last year and a majority now predicts that his policies will fail. According to the survey, which was released Monday, 45% of the public gives Obama a thumbs-up on the job he´s doing as President. That´s up from 41% in November and December, when the President was at or near all-time lows

   

 

  


 
GOP ready to surrender
on debt ceiling
Politico, by Jake Sherman and John Bresnahan    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 1/29/2014 1:23:11 PM     Post Reply
House Republicans are getting ready to surrender: There will be no serious fight over the debt limit. The most senior figures in the House Republican Conference are privately acknowledging that they will almost certainly have to pass what’s called a clean debt ceiling increase in the next few months, abandoning the central fight that has defined their three-year majority. The reason for the shift in dynamics in this fight is clear. Congress has raised the debt limit twice in a row without drastic policy concessions from President Barack Obama and Senate Democrats, essentially ceding ground to Democrats. Obama and Senate Majority Leader

Poll: Americans split
on Obama approval
CBS News, by Sarah Dutton    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 1/23/2014 8:47:06 AM     Post Reply
Less than a week before President Obama gives his State of the Union address, the president’s job approval rating is mixed: 46 percent approve, and about the same percentage, 47 percent, disapprove. Over the past year, his approval rating has mostly hovered in the mid 40s and has not hit the 50 percent mark since February of last year. His 46 percent approval is up four points from December (42 percent) and up from his all-time low of 37 percent in November. As the president begins his sixth year in office, his approval rating is slightly higher than that of

What did our wars win?
Human Events, by Patrick J. Buchanan    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 1/22/2014 11:51:53 AM     Post Reply
He ended one war and kept us out of any other,” is the tribute paid President Eisenhower. Ike ended the Korean conflict in 1953, refused to intervene to save the French at Dien Bien Phu in 1954, and, rather than back the British-French-Israeli invasion, ordered them all out of Egypt in 1956. Ending America longest wars may prove to be Barack Obama’s legacy. For, while ending wars without victory may not garner from the historians’ the accolade of “great” or “near great,” it is sometimes the duty of a president who has inherited a war the nation no longer wishes to fight. That was

The Republican Party’s uphill path
to 270 electoral votes in 2016
Washington Post, by Dan Balz    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 1/19/2014 9:56:11 AM     Post Reply
A recent conversation with a veteran of GOP presidential campaigns raised this question: Which, if any, of the recent battleground states are likely to become more Republican by 2016? The consensus: very few. That reality highlights one problem Republicans face as they seek to regain the White House after six years under President Obama. Lots of factors affect elections: the quality of the candidates, the state of the economy, the effectiveness of the campaigns. But in a country whose demographics continue to change, Republicans will begin this campaign with one significant disadvantage. Over the past three decades, the political leanings of

Poll: Tea party favorability hits record low
Politico, by Tal Kopan    Original Article
Posted By: congaree53- 12/12/2013 3:50:33 PM     Post Reply
Views of the tea party are at all-time lows in a new poll, as primary challenges to establishment Republicans continue to heat up Washington. Just 30 percent of Americans view the tea party favorably in a new Gallup poll released Wednesday, the movement’s lowest point since Gallup began polling about it during its rise in 2010. Also in a first, a majority of Americans had an unfavorable view of the tea party, at 51 percent. Similar numbers of respondents described themselves as proponents or opponents of the tea party: Twenty-two percent identified themselves as tea party supporters, while 24 percent said they

   

 

B-G1


 


Most Active Articles (last 48 hours)



Has Rush Limbaugh Finally
Reached the End Of The Road?

46 replie(s)
Forbes Magazine, by Rick Ungar    Original Article
Posted By: EveningStar- 4/16/2014 7:24:05 PM     Post Reply
Like him or hate him, there is no disputing that Rush Limbaugh’s very special brand of mixing right-wing politics with his flare for entertainment has produced one of the most successful radio programs in the medium’s long history. Whatever the burning political question of the day, millions of Americans have relished the opportunity to tune into Rush’s program, knowing that he would quickly take that hot potato, throw a few gallons of verbal kerosene into the mix and elevate the matter into a five alarm fire with a just a few well-chosen words spoken in the style only Rush Limbaugh could

Casual marijuana use linked with
brain abnormalities, study finds

41 replie(s)
Fox News, by Loren Grush    Original Article
Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/15/2014 6:12:53 PM     Post Reply
Casual marijuana use may come with some not-so-casual side effects. For the first time ever, researchers at Northwestern University have analyzed the relationship between casual use of marijuana and brain changes – and found that young adults who used cannabis just once or twice a week showed significant abnormalities in two important brain structures. The study’s findings, to be published Wednesday in the Journal of Neuroscience, are similar to those of past research linking chronic, long-term marijuana use with mental illness and changes in brain development. Dr. Hans Breiter, co-senior study author, said he was inspired to look at the effects of casual

Biden Tells Boston Bombing
Survivors, ´It Was Worth It´ (Video)

41 replie(s)
Breitbart´s Instablog, by Debra Heine    Original Article
Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/15/2014 9:28:18 PM     Post Reply
Less than a minute into his speech at the Boston marathon bombing memorial on Tuesday, Vice President Joe Biden went tragically off script and told the crowd of Boston bombing survivors that "it was worth it." After expressing how impressed he was with the tribute, he said somberly, "let me say to those ´quote survivors,´ my God, you have survived and you have soared. It was worth it. I mean this sincerely - just to hear each of you speak. You´re truly, truly inspiring." The audience sat in stunned silence until Biden declared, "I´ve never heard anything so beautiful than

Which Actor Portrays The
Best James Bond?

38 replie(s)
American Spectator, by Jonah Goldberg and Taki Theodoracopulos    Original Article
Posted By: Drive- 4/16/2014 11:20:22 AM     Post Reply
Look, everyone loves Sean Connery, particularly Sean Connery. That’s why he plays Sean Connery in every movie he’s in. People love that Scottish brogue so much, they don’t mind that he has it when he plays Juan Sánchez Villa-Lobos Ramírez, an immortal Spaniard in Highlander. The guy even won an Oscar for playing an Irish cop with a Scottish accent. Talk about sexist double standards: Meryl Streep has to master foreign dialects to get her golden statuettes. Connery just has to show up on time. In economics you devalue a currency by printing too much of it. In film you

Michelle Obama Riverdances
Through Dublin to the Tune
of $7,921,638

37 replie(s)
Breitbart Big Peace, by Tom Fitton    Original Article
Posted By: JoniTx- 4/17/2014 6:45:16 AM     Post Reply
When it comes to tracking the cost of Obama family vacations, there are two primary challenges. First, the Obamas are prolific jet-setters, so there are many details to track. Second, the Obama administration, clearly embarrassed by these lavish and frequent family vacations, stonewalls the release of records at every turn. But we have been relentless in pursuit of this information. Our attorneys file the lawsuits and make our case, and our investigators pour through pages of records and crunch the numbers. And the information we’ve uncovered – information that would otherwise remain under lock and key – shows that the

   

 

R_DBL_B
  


 
White babies just 15 months old show racial
bias when picking playmates, study found

35 replie(s)
Daily Mail (U.K.), by Staff    Original Article
Posted By: Desert Fox- 4/15/2014 10:23:35 PM     Post Reply
Toddlers show racial bias when picking playmates, a study reveals. They also take account of how fairly others behave. Researchers tested the reaction of white 15-month-olds as toys were distributed. Two white adults divided the toys, one equally and the other unequally. Seventy per cent of the toddlers chose to play with the researcher who distributed the toys fairly. But in a second test, when one researcher favoured a white recipient over an Asian one, they picked the ‘fair’ researcher less often, the journal Frontiers in Psychology reports. And the babies are more likely to help those who share the same ethnicity, which is known as

Why is US Senator Harry
Reid so concerned with
a local Nevada rancher?

35 replie(s)
Fox News, by Wayne Allyn Root    Original Article
Posted By: KarenJ1- 4/16/2014 9:37:12 PM     Post Reply
I live in Las Vegas. I live and breath Nevada politics. Something is very wrong. Something smells rotten in the Nevada desert. And Senator Harry Reid’s fingerprints are all over it. I am of course referring to the Bundy Ranch siege. This was a dispute between a Nevada ranching family with rights to the land in question for 140 years and the BLM (Bureayu of Land Management). The government claims they haven’t paid grazing fees for 20 years. The result was a government assault on the ranch- including snipers with assault rifles, SUV’s, helicopters, airplanes and over 200 heavily armed troops. No

   

Post Reply   Close thread 711570





Home Page | Latest Posts | Links | Must Reads | Update Profile | RSS | Contribute | Register | Rules & FAQs
Privacy Policy | Search | Post | Contact | Logout | Forgot Password | Search Using Google


© 2014 Lucianne.com Media Inc.

~~~c~~~