As Americans’ modes of communication change, the techniques that produce the most accurate polls seems to be changing as well. In last Tuesday’s presidential election, a number of polling firms that conduct their surveys online had strong results. Some telephone polls also performed well. But others, especially those that called only landlines or took other methodological shortcuts, performed poorly and showed a more Republican-leaning electorate than the one that actually turned out.
Comments: Both Rasmussen and Gallup had a "Dewey Beats Truman, moment.
Voter fraud was subtle, but existed, in 2012. And the negro church vans run to the polls had a significant impact on a close election. The symbol for the president zero second term is that toothless black woman from cleveland, on that video that went viral. The founders would have wept.
Remember this thread? Remember how Mike Flynn wrote that IBD was in bed with Obama with its undoutedly biased leftwingpolls? And how readers fretted that IBD was damaging its brand name with these dreadful polls too?
I dont doubt that the early polls were cooked. Remember, polls are used to influence public opinion and generate news.
Which leads to the following observation: We here have been living in a bubble. Look at the news sources that are most often posted here. The majority come from places like Briebart and or are opinion pieces from conservative commentators. News or opinions from other sources are put up where they are mocked. Dont forget....ABCCBSNBCMSNBCPBSNPRCNN are influencing for more people than FOX and Briebart. While I believe the MSM is biased, majorly, for the socialists, we need to understand their opinions to better address the idiocy.
In a new interview with ABC, President Obama concedes that the disastrous rollout of Obamacare has taken a toll on his approval ratings. But he believes the public´s opinion of his work will rise again. "I´ve gone up and down pretty much consistently throughout," Obama said. "But the good thing about when you´re down is that usually you got nowhere to go but up." That certainly sounds comforting for the president and his supporters. But is it true? Actually, there´s no reason Obama´s approval ratings might not continue to slide. In fact, for more than a year, Obama´s ratings have
Americans support the nuclear deal with Iran brokered in Geneva by a two to one margin, according to a new poll. The Reuter/Ipsos survey shows that 44 percent of Americans are in favor of the six-month interim agreement reached in Geneva on Saturday, while 22 percent are opposed to it. Under the temporary agreement, Iran will receive $7 billion in sanctions relief over six months in exchange for accepting restrictions on its nuclear development program. But although the agreement has been touted by the administration as a diplomatic breakthrough, critics have said it could pave the way for Iranian nuclear
On Tuesday, I mocked the Hurricane Katrina/Obamacare comparisons. Hurricane Katrina, after all, killed more than 1,800 people. Obamacare´s Web site isn´t working well yet. Ron Fournier, among others, defends the comparison, arguing that of course the crises themselves aren´t similar. The analogy is really about "the ways that Bush and Obama handled their crises, and [how] those actions changed the public´s view of their presidencies." But that´s precisely the point: The political fallout is driven by the nature of the crises. Or, to put it more starkly, reality drives politics — politics doesn´t drive reality. Start with the basic premise of
WASHINGTON — Despite the disastrous rollout of the federal government´s healthcare website, enrollment is surging in many states as tens of thousands of consumers sign up for insurance plans made available by President Obama´s health law. A number of states that use their own systems, including California, are on track to hit enrollment targets for 2014 because of a sharp increase in November, according to state officials. "What we are seeing is incredible momentum," said Peter Lee, director of Covered California, the nation´s largest state insurance marketplace, which accounted for a third of all enrollments nationally in October. California —
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Some 50 years after John F. Kennedy´s sole presidential term was cut short by an assassin´s bullets, nearly three-quarters of Americans believe Kennedy will go down in history as an outstanding or above-average president. This is the highest retrospective rating given to any of the 11 presidents who have held office since Dwight Eisenhower. Another fifth of the public sees the slain president as average, while just 3% rank him as below average or poor. Kennedy was killed on Nov. 22, 1963, and the 50-year anniversary of his assassination is being marked by a bevy of new
Who cares? That’s a common reaction — particularly in the Democratic wing of the Twitter-sphere — anytime, like this morning, we post a piece detailing President Obama’s sinking poll numbers. The thinking goes something like this: Obama isn’t ever going to have to run for reelection again, so focusing on his poll numbers — whether good or bad — is a meaningless exercise by political journalists. Except that it’s not. At all. Take a look back at the election results from the second midterm elections of presidents, which is what 2014 will be. From the end of World War II
A new poll finds former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie virtually tied in a potential 2016 matchup. Christie takes 43 percent in the Quinnipiac poll, compared with 42 percent for Clinton. Christie’s strength comes in part from his strong showing among independents: he leads among the group by 16 points, 48 percent to 32 percent. He also leads among men and white voters, and comes within 12 points of Clinton among Hispanic voters — far above 2012 GOP candidate Mitt Romney’s performance with that demographic. Clinton’s strength is with women (she leads 48-39 percent)
More young men in California rise in pitch at the end of their sentences when talking, new research shows. This process is known as "uptalk" or "valleygirl speak" and has in the past been associated with young females, typically from California or Australia.But now a team says that this way of speaking is becoming more frequent among men.The findings were presented at the Meeting of the Acoustical Society of America in California. "We found use of uptalk in all of our speakers, despite their diverse backgrounds in socioeconomic status, ethnicity, bilingualism and gender," said Amanda Ritchart, a linguist at the University of
DAVID CORN: I saw a president who remains frustrated with the political-media culture that he has to work within, and that he´s looking to rally people, students here, and supporters, and people within the media. CHRIS MATTHEWS: But David Corn, you skeptic. He came to us today. He came amongst us. CORN: He´s trying to rally people behind this vision that he´s been promoting for a couple years. FINEMAN: By the way, he did it the end here, today, Chris, not by defending specifics, but by explaining why he´s in the game to begin with. And I don´t know about you, he´s
The most curious thing of all about the November jobs report released on Friday was the huge drop in the unemployment rate — and the fact that the Labor Department chose not to disclose that the data going into that figure are under investigation for falsification. On Nov. 19, I broke the news in my column that the Census Bureau, which collects data that goes into the jobless rate on behalf of Labor, had caught one of its enumerators fabricating interviews in 2010. The culprit said back then (and to me during an interview) that he was told to do so by
Denver - A baker who refused to make a wedding cake for a same-sex ceremony must serve gay couples despite his religious beliefs or face fines, a judge said Friday. The order from administrative law judge Robert N. Spencer said Masterpiece Cakeshop in suburban Denver discriminated against a couple "because of their sexual orientation by refusing to sell them a wedding cake for their same-sex marriage." The order says the cake-maker must "cease and desist from discriminating" against gay couples. Although the judge did not impose fines in this case, the business will face penalties if it continues to turn away gay
7. On the U.S. war with Iraq: “If there is a country that has committed unspeakable atrocities in the world, it is the United States of America. They don’t care for human beings.” Via cbsnews.com 6. On Israel: “Israel should withdraw from all the areas which it won from the Arabs in 1967, and in particular Israel should withdraw completely from the Golan Heights, from south Lebanon and from the West Bank.” Via jweekly.com 5. On the U.S. war with Iraq: “All that (Mr. Bush) wants is Iraqi oil.” Via cbsnews.com 4. Mandela on Castro and the Cuban revolution: “From its earliest days, the Cuban Revolution has also been a
Former President Bill Clinton shared an anecdote regarding Nelson Mandela and the aftermath of his impeachment Friday on CNN. Clinton revealed shortly after the “impeachment business” finished on Capitol Hill, Rep. Henry Hyde (R., Ill.) who managed the impeachment trial requested a meeting at the White House. The former president granted the meeting out of lessons of humility and forgiveness he learned from Mandela, he said: BILL CLINTON: I remember one day, oh, about a month after the whole impeachment business was over, Henry Hyde, who had run the whole show, unbelievably enough, maybe a few months after, it was
One definition of a pathological liar is someone who lies where the truth would serve just as well. When President Obama’s uncle, Onyango Obama, was arrested in 2011 for drunk driving, the truth — that Obama had stayed with his uncle years earlier for several weeks as a Harvard law student — would have served the president just fine. No potential Obama voter would have held it against him that an uncle he had stayed with two decades earlier was picked up for DUI. Yet the White House went with a lie, claiming that Obama had never met his uncle. Now that